How much you willing to bet? I will bet you that in 6 months, they will not have replaced the existing SSA programs or if they have attempted to do so they will have caused problems with people receiving their SS payments.
How about you agree to donate $100 to JPP if they don't have it up and running perfectly in 6 months? I'll donate $200 if they do.
This has nothing to do with wanting them to fail. It is called reality. SSA spent hundreds of millions dollars and over 2 years starting to upgrade the systems and then COVID hit and they had to change priorities.
Then as is pointed out in the 2024 audit, one of the biggest concerns with the modernization is cybersecurity.