Here's what Trump is really up to with high-stakes tariff gambit

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I think the author is taking a walk into the technical weeds here, but there is plausibility in his thinking.

Here's what Trump is really up to with high-stakes tariff gambit

Let us be honest: When most people hear "tariffs," they think about price hikes and trade wars. But the Trump administration’s latest tariff rollout is not merely a knee-jerk protectionist move—it is part of a far broader strategy.

What is actually in play here is a high-stakes effort to build up leverage and resources to manage America’s debt, reset its industrial base, and renegotiate its standing in the global order.

And it all begins with a problem most people have not been told enough about.

In 2025, the U.S. government must refinance $9.2 trillion in maturing debt. Some $6.5 trillion of that comes due by June. That is not a typo—that is a debt wall the size of a small continent.

Now, here is the math: According to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, each basis-point (one one-hundredth of a percent) drop in interest rates saves the government roughly $1 billion per year. Since the announcement of tariffs on April 2, 10-year Treasury yields have fallen from 4.2 percent to 3.9 percent—a 30 basis point drop. If that holds, it translates to $30 billion in savings.

So, keeping yields low is not just sound policy—it is a fiscal necessity.

But we are in a difficult environment. Inflation has not fully cooled, and the Federal Reserve remains wary of cutting rates too quickly. So the question becomes: How does one bring yields down without the Fed’s help?

Here is where the strategy becomes interesting.

By introducing sweeping tariffs, the administration is creating precisely the kind of economic uncertainty that drives investors toward safer assets such as long-term U.S. Treasuries. When markets are spooked, capital exits risk and equity assets (as we see with the stock market collapse) and piles into safe assets, primarily the 10-year U.S. treasury bond. That demand pushes yields lower.

It is a counter-intuitive move, but a calculated one. Some have called it a "detox" for the overheated financial system. And it appears to be working.

However, even cheaper debt does not solve everything. The deficit remains massive—and that is where spending cuts come in.


 
Tromp is I am clearly certifiable. His my only plan is to keep his my mouth moving.
So true. Lying, leftist Hamas huggers bloviate inane stupidity on a daily basis.

You should do the world a favor and kill yourself. No one would care. No one would notice. The world's collective IQ would go up.
 
I think the author is taking a walk into the technical weeds here, but there is plausibility in his thinking.

Here's what Trump is really up to with high-stakes tariff gambit

Let us be honest: When most people hear "tariffs," they think about price hikes and trade wars. But the Trump administration’s latest tariff rollout is not merely a knee-jerk protectionist move—it is part of a far broader strategy.

What is actually in play here is a high-stakes effort to build up leverage and resources to manage America’s debt, reset its industrial base, and renegotiate its standing in the global order.

And it all begins with a problem most people have not been told enough about.

In 2025, the U.S. government must refinance $9.2 trillion in maturing debt. Some $6.5 trillion of that comes due by June. That is not a typo—that is a debt wall the size of a small continent.

Now, here is the math: According to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, each basis-point (one one-hundredth of a percent) drop in interest rates saves the government roughly $1 billion per year. Since the announcement of tariffs on April 2, 10-year Treasury yields have fallen from 4.2 percent to 3.9 percent—a 30 basis point drop. If that holds, it translates to $30 billion in savings.

So, keeping yields low is not just sound policy—it is a fiscal necessity.

But we are in a difficult environment. Inflation has not fully cooled, and the Federal Reserve remains wary of cutting rates too quickly. So the question becomes: How does one bring yields down without the Fed’s help?

Here is where the strategy becomes interesting.

By introducing sweeping tariffs, the administration is creating precisely the kind of economic uncertainty that drives investors toward safer assets such as long-term U.S. Treasuries. When markets are spooked, capital exits risk and equity assets (as we see with the stock market collapse) and piles into safe assets, primarily the 10-year U.S. treasury bond. That demand pushes yields lower.

It is a counter-intuitive move, but a calculated one. Some have called it a "detox" for the overheated financial system. And it appears to be working.

However, even cheaper debt does not solve everything. The deficit remains massive—and that is where spending cuts come in.


So if you reduce the money in circulation by taxing Americans via tariffs you are bringing down the national debt? And isn’t that contradictory when you are also planning a massive tax cut which will flood the market with more money?

(Time for “you moron,” “you idiot,” and such in reply)
 
So true. Lying, leftist Hamas huggers bloviate inane stupidity on a daily basis.

You should do the world a favor and kill yourself. No one would care. No one would notice. The world's collective IQ would go up.
Must be “copy and paste” just learned he can edit posts, probably easier than looking for corny GIFs and memes
 
So if you reduce the money in circulation by taxing Americans via tariffs

The money supply has nothing to do with tariffs you ignoramus. This is why I hate arguing with uneducated leftist morons. They have to be educated first.

you are bringing down the national debt?

If the tariff revenue is used for that, then yes. Quite an amazing concept for you isn't it halfwit.

And isn’t that contradictory when you are also planning a massive tax cut which will flood the market with more money?

Tax cuts don't flood the markets with a supply of money. The supply of money is unchanged other than instead of being wasted by Government, it is better utilized by private citizens which increases the velocity of the dollars they spend.

I wish you were educated and not an illiterate fool.

(Time for “you moron,” “you idiot,” and such in reply)

Not only are you stupid and ignorant, but pathetic and whiny too.

th

th
 
Now explain the formula they employed to explain how they came up with those numbers, how, Imports minus Exports over Imports gave them the percentages? Table was busted right after Trump pulled it out
I think you should tell us how they came up with it. I'm sure the idiots on MSNBC gave you the details. Do share them with us witless wonder.
 
What a surprise!

“Trump’s tariff formula used the wrong value in its calculations, conservative think tank says. This whole thing was rigged.”​

:rofl2: Conservative think tank. That's some funny, but dumb fake news there, halfwit.

So has this institute shown their work and how it would be corrected? I see a lot of dumb parroting of this talking point but nothing that shows their work.

Why don't you be the first genius to enlighten us on exactly how the calculation should work? ;)
 
So true. Lying, leftist Hamas huggers bloviate inane stupidity on a daily basis.

You should do the world a favor and kill yourself. No one would care. No one would notice. The world's collective IQ would go up.
Quotation manipulation- hallmark of the lowest scum on JPP. ^
 
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