JPMorgan: 60% recession chance after tariff hikes

Dutch Uncle

* Tertia Optio * Defend the Constitution
I expect this to only worsen by the end of next week. Thanks Trump! :thup:


JPMorgan now says there’s a 60% chance of a recession after tariff hikes​

JPMorgan’s economics team has just raised their recession probability to 60% following the aggressive tariff stance announced by U.S. President Donald Trump.

In a note entitled, “there will be blood,” chief economist Bruce Kasman and his team said this year’s 22-percentage tariff increase amounts to the largest tax hike since 1968.

“The effect of this tax hike is likely to be magnified — through retaliation, a slide in U.S. business sentiment, and supply chain disruptions. The shock is likely to be only modestly dampened by the flexibility tariff hikes afford for further fiscal policy easing,” they say.
 
Back
Top