3 trends that powered Dems in 2022 — and could help Biden in 2024

Guno צְבִי

We fight, We win
As the demographic change kicks in, things don't look too promising for the white christian nationalist party

The generation is largely in favor of LGBT rights, gender equality, and access to abortion. Economically, Generation Z has a more favorable outlook on socialism than previous generations.

Trends in party affiliation among demographic groups

https://www.pewresearch.org/politic...n-party-affiliation-among-demographic-groups/



Democrats’ biggest improvement in the key swing states compared to 2020 came among white women without college degrees, a group that had trended Republican in recent years but had misgivings about GOP plans on abortion rights after the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision.

Young voters turned out in force and broke for Democrats
Voters aged 18-29 voted for Democrats at a 65% clip in 2022, according to the Catalist report, three percentage points better than Biden's showing in the last presidential race. But young voters' turnout really stood out, even without Trump on the ballot.

Across almost every birth year, Gen Z and Millennial registered voters turned out in greater numbers in 2022 than in the anti-Trump backlash midterm of 2018, the data shows. Raw turnout wasn't nearly as high as in the 2020 presidential race, but the high rate compared to the last midterm suggests the emerging generation of young voters has established a strong habit of voting that's unlikely to change — and a strong, consistent antipathy toward the Trump-era GOP compared to the past.


https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-pr...s-powered-dems-2022-help-biden-2024-rcna84955
 
Right now Biden has the lowest approval ratings among 18-37 year olds than any democrat in history.

He also now has a record he has to defend which isn’t very good.

Big differences from 2020 where the turnout was due to mostly anti Trump folks.

Nobody liked Biden then and they loathe him now.
 
Right now Biden has the lowest approval ratings among 18-37 year olds than any democrat in history.

He also now has a record he has to defend which isn’t very good.

Big differences from 2020 where the turnout was due to mostly anti Trump folks.

Nobody liked Biden then and they loathe him now.

So fascists don't like Biden. Good.
 
Higher educational attainment is increasingly associated with Democratic Party affiliation and leaning.

By contrast, Republicans have been gaining ground over the past several years with those who do not have bachelor’s degrees.

Democrats enjoy a 27-percentage-point advantage among Millennial voters (59% are Democrats or lean Democratic, 32% are Republican or lean Republican). In 2014, 53% of Millennial voters were Democrats or leaned Democratic, 37% tilted toward the GOP.

Millennials remain more likely than those in older generations to call themselves independents (44% vs. 39% of Gen Xers, 32% of Boomers and 27% of Silents); still, the roughly two-to-one Democratic advantage among Millennials is apparent both in “straight” and “leaned” partisan affiliation.


Not Americas future

The Silent Generation (born 1928 to 1945) is the only generational group that has more GOP leaners and identifying voters than Democratic-oriented voters. About half (52%) of Silent Generation voters identify with or lean toward the Republican Party, a larger share than a decade ago; 43% identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party.
 
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