signalmankenneth
Verified User
Polymarket now has a 13% chance of JD Vance being replaced as Vice President by Aug. 31.
"Polymarket has a political futures contract on whether Sen. J.D. Vance will remain as Donald Trump’s running mate." noted Political Wire this morning. I think the odds of that happening are 0%, but some people don't and are willing to put up real money that it will happen, despite the implications of such a decision.
We shall see.
Sen. JD Vance of Ohio has had a rough week and a half since he was announced as former President Donald Trump's vice-presidential candidate. While Trump insists he's sticking with Vance, the senator's poor polling combined with Vice President Kamala Harris' momentum has led some to ask: Could Trump replace Vance? And if so, how would it work? For those wondering, the answers lie in recent history and the fine print of Republican Party rules.
It's still technically possible that Trump could choose a new No. 2. But such a decision would have to happen very soon.
The Democratic and Republican National Committees have separate rules governing how they fill vacancies of presidential or vice-presidential nominees. Under Rule 9, the Republican National Committee explains how it fills a vice-presidential vacancy "which may occur as the result of death, declination, or otherwise."
The rule allows the party to reconvene its national convention if it chooses or to move ahead with a vote of the smaller group of Republican National Committee members who would determine Vance's replacement.
https://crooksandliars.com/2024/07/betting-markets-already-taking-wagers-jd
"Polymarket has a political futures contract on whether Sen. J.D. Vance will remain as Donald Trump’s running mate." noted Political Wire this morning. I think the odds of that happening are 0%, but some people don't and are willing to put up real money that it will happen, despite the implications of such a decision.
We shall see.
Sen. JD Vance of Ohio has had a rough week and a half since he was announced as former President Donald Trump's vice-presidential candidate. While Trump insists he's sticking with Vance, the senator's poor polling combined with Vice President Kamala Harris' momentum has led some to ask: Could Trump replace Vance? And if so, how would it work? For those wondering, the answers lie in recent history and the fine print of Republican Party rules.
It's still technically possible that Trump could choose a new No. 2. But such a decision would have to happen very soon.
The Democratic and Republican National Committees have separate rules governing how they fill vacancies of presidential or vice-presidential nominees. Under Rule 9, the Republican National Committee explains how it fills a vice-presidential vacancy "which may occur as the result of death, declination, or otherwise."
The rule allows the party to reconvene its national convention if it chooses or to move ahead with a vote of the smaller group of Republican National Committee members who would determine Vance's replacement.
https://crooksandliars.com/2024/07/betting-markets-already-taking-wagers-jd
