Biden Takes Lead in 538 Poll

M

martin

Well-known member
It's as small as a lead can be but it marks the first time in months Biden has not been behind in the gold standard of Presidential polling.
Trump's lead was never more than a few points. It got smaller after the felony verdicts and today Biden squeezed on top by a tenth of a percentage point.
Maybe all this tells us is the race is more fluid than it seemed for a while.

abcnews.go.com

ABC News – Breaking News, Latest News and Videos

538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
abcnews.go.com abcnews.go.com
 
Early yet... but this seems more consistent with my feel for the race. As Trumps conviction sinks in, the polling reflects the drop.
 
martin said:
It's as small as a lead can be but it marks the first time in months Biden has not been behind in the gold standard of Presidential polling.
Trump's lead was never more than a few points. It got smaller after the felony verdicts and today Biden squeezed on top by a tenth of a percentage point.
Maybe all this tells us is the race is more fluid than it seemed for a while.

abcnews.go.com

ABC News – Breaking News, Latest News and Videos

538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
abcnews.go.com abcnews.go.com
Click to expand...
no he doesn't.
 
The World shakes their heads, ashamed that they took American lectures on good governance and democracy seriously for all those years.
 
martin said:
It's as small as a lead can be but it marks the first time in months Biden has not been behind in the gold standard of Presidential polling.
Trump's lead was never more than a few points. It got smaller after the felony verdicts and today Biden squeezed on top by a tenth of a percentage point.
Maybe all this tells us is the race is more fluid than it seemed for a while.

abcnews.go.com

ABC News – Breaking News, Latest News and Videos

538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
abcnews.go.com abcnews.go.com
Click to expand...
But Gardner said 538 gives trump a 70% chance of winning!?
 

Trump rails against ‘TRASH’ Fox News poll ahead of Mar-a-Lago classified documents hearing: Live updates​

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Meanwhile, Trump has fallen two points behind Joe Biden in the latest Fox News national presidential election poll, the first time the president has led the survey since October.

A furious Trump has lashed out at the conservative network on Truth Social, calling the poll “TRASH” and complaining that “nobody can ever trust Fox News”, and telling the Murdoch family “all you need is Trump”.
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Actually, the latest 538 polling has Trump beating Biden 51 to 49

MSN

www.msn.com

The trend, as 538 acknowledges, is that Trump is gaining ground on Biden over the last couple of months when Biden was leading by like 53 to 47,
 
T. A. Gardner said:
Actually, the latest 538 polling has Trump beating Biden 51 to 49

MSN

www.msn.com

The trend, as 538 acknowledges, is that Trump is gaining ground on Biden over the last couple of months when Biden was leading by like 53 to 47,
Click to expand...
Actually it doesn’t. The link in the lead post speaks for itself. Not that hard to open it.

p.s. Kindly show us that 538 “acknowledgement”.
 
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