Grind Election Prediction

BRUTALITOPS

on indefiniate mod break
Contributor
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I feel I am being a little risky with Florida, and North Carolina. Most polling data shoves Obama with a slight lead in Florida. From my limited research however, I've noticed there are many unaffiliated voters, who I think could break for mccain in these states.

Some polls have suggested that unaffiliated voters will break for obama, but no such polls have said so for north carolina and florida.

I believe Florida and north carolina are sucestable to the bradley effect and that the youth vote may not turn out. I think obama could be over inflated in these states, though I admit that I am going out on a limb here.

That's all the explaination for now.
 
Yeah, that's my conservative estimate too. But it's honestly the worst case scenario for Obama.

He's just as likely to pick up NC, FL, MO, IN, MT, and ND as he is to win by that little. In a sweep he'd pick up GA too.
 
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