Dixie - In Memoriam
New member
The latest buzz is over an ABC/Washington Post poll which shows Obama up by 9. The pollsters are quick to attribute the rise for Obama on the current economic calamity, and have found that an amazing number of Americans "trust Obama" on the economy, despite his complete lack of experience with economic issues. They lament how the polls show most Americans blame the Republicans for the mess, and go on and on about how we are to believe this poll indicates what most people think in America.
The problem is, they don't tell you about their methodology. To insure the poll reflects an 'average snapshot' of America, they purposely poll extra black Americans, and also do a thing called 'weighting' where they reason that we have more Democrats than Republicans, so 38% of the poll are people identifying themselves as Democrat, and 28% identifying as Republican. Another 23% identified as Independent, however, people who identify as "independent" are mostly Democrats. This means that nearly 60% of the participants in the poll, are Democrats, and the remainder are everything else out there, including Republicans. But wait... it gets even more sinister....
Anyone who has ever listened to a right-wing radio talk show, is familiar with what Rush Limbaugh calls "seminar callers." These are Democrats who claim to be 'converted' Republicans... they have been voting republican their whole life, but suddenly had the epiphany that every principle they ever stood for, is now irrelevant, and they have joined 'the other side' because they are sick of the Republican party. These people are total and complete frauds, and are almost always exposed as such on the air. Well, these same people, this same group of militant liberals, will knowingly lie to a pollster, telling them they are Republican, then proceed to answer the poll questions like a koolaid drenched Liberal. This means, the 28% identifying as Republican, are not all Republican at all. Some of them, perhaps as many as 10%, are Democrats posing as Republicans, further skewing the 'weight' of the poll in favor of the Democrats.
This is how major news media polls can show John Kerry with a 10 point lead, just days before the election in 2004, and he still loses. Not to mention, some hidden aspects of polling, which never are considered. Like the fact that most polls are conducted during the daytime hours, when most Republicans are at work, and most Democrats are where they always are, at home. Also, most polling is conducted in major metro areas, which is by-far more Liberal and Democratic than rural outlying areas, which are almost never targeted for polling.
The cumulative effects of the polls are clear, because human behavior is predictable. The more people see polls favoring Obama, the more they are inclined to think, hey... I want to be a part of the winning team here, maybe I should change my mind and vote for who everyone else is going for? Granted, it's not an overwhelming majority of people who think like this, but in a close election, it is certainly enough to swing the election. This is why the Liberals put such an effort into presenting the polls in such a biased and slanted manner. It helps their candidate tremendously, and it is seemingly benign. No one is going to hold ABC or The Washington Post responsible for a faulty poll. No one is going to demand explanations or answers for the slanted perspective, they are just going to keep accepting what is happening.
Now, some will say, well... don't Republicans pose as Democrats in these polls too? And the answer is, no! They simply don't do this, it is a purely Liberal strategy. Oh, Republicans do engage in dishonesty, they will register as Democrats to vote for Obama in the primaries, in order to knock Hillary out of the nomination, no doubt some of that happened this election cycle, but they don't typically lie in the general election polls, they have no reason to. For Democrats, it's a 'perception strategy' they have used since Clinton's re-election campaign, and there is some indication it might gain some votes for their candidate.
Look... take off your partisan party hats for a moment and think objectively about this. Never before in history, have we had two political ideologies so diametrically opposed to each other, than now. How in the hell can 20% of the people out there, actually swing their vote from one ideology to the other in a matter of a few weeks? It's just not logical, which means, there must be something more to it. My argument is, it's liberal bias in the polling, from the pollsters themselves, to the actual chosen participants. I am not buying what the polls show, regardless of how much elation I see on part of the pinheads.
The problem is, they don't tell you about their methodology. To insure the poll reflects an 'average snapshot' of America, they purposely poll extra black Americans, and also do a thing called 'weighting' where they reason that we have more Democrats than Republicans, so 38% of the poll are people identifying themselves as Democrat, and 28% identifying as Republican. Another 23% identified as Independent, however, people who identify as "independent" are mostly Democrats. This means that nearly 60% of the participants in the poll, are Democrats, and the remainder are everything else out there, including Republicans. But wait... it gets even more sinister....
Anyone who has ever listened to a right-wing radio talk show, is familiar with what Rush Limbaugh calls "seminar callers." These are Democrats who claim to be 'converted' Republicans... they have been voting republican their whole life, but suddenly had the epiphany that every principle they ever stood for, is now irrelevant, and they have joined 'the other side' because they are sick of the Republican party. These people are total and complete frauds, and are almost always exposed as such on the air. Well, these same people, this same group of militant liberals, will knowingly lie to a pollster, telling them they are Republican, then proceed to answer the poll questions like a koolaid drenched Liberal. This means, the 28% identifying as Republican, are not all Republican at all. Some of them, perhaps as many as 10%, are Democrats posing as Republicans, further skewing the 'weight' of the poll in favor of the Democrats.
This is how major news media polls can show John Kerry with a 10 point lead, just days before the election in 2004, and he still loses. Not to mention, some hidden aspects of polling, which never are considered. Like the fact that most polls are conducted during the daytime hours, when most Republicans are at work, and most Democrats are where they always are, at home. Also, most polling is conducted in major metro areas, which is by-far more Liberal and Democratic than rural outlying areas, which are almost never targeted for polling.
The cumulative effects of the polls are clear, because human behavior is predictable. The more people see polls favoring Obama, the more they are inclined to think, hey... I want to be a part of the winning team here, maybe I should change my mind and vote for who everyone else is going for? Granted, it's not an overwhelming majority of people who think like this, but in a close election, it is certainly enough to swing the election. This is why the Liberals put such an effort into presenting the polls in such a biased and slanted manner. It helps their candidate tremendously, and it is seemingly benign. No one is going to hold ABC or The Washington Post responsible for a faulty poll. No one is going to demand explanations or answers for the slanted perspective, they are just going to keep accepting what is happening.
Now, some will say, well... don't Republicans pose as Democrats in these polls too? And the answer is, no! They simply don't do this, it is a purely Liberal strategy. Oh, Republicans do engage in dishonesty, they will register as Democrats to vote for Obama in the primaries, in order to knock Hillary out of the nomination, no doubt some of that happened this election cycle, but they don't typically lie in the general election polls, they have no reason to. For Democrats, it's a 'perception strategy' they have used since Clinton's re-election campaign, and there is some indication it might gain some votes for their candidate.
Look... take off your partisan party hats for a moment and think objectively about this. Never before in history, have we had two political ideologies so diametrically opposed to each other, than now. How in the hell can 20% of the people out there, actually swing their vote from one ideology to the other in a matter of a few weeks? It's just not logical, which means, there must be something more to it. My argument is, it's liberal bias in the polling, from the pollsters themselves, to the actual chosen participants. I am not buying what the polls show, regardless of how much elation I see on part of the pinheads.
