How the debate didn’t boost Harris, according to our polling expert

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ExpressLane

Verified User

How the debate didn’t boost Harris, according to our polling expert​


Kamala Harris didn’t get much of a post-debate bounce.

Instead of taking a clear lead over Donald Trump, the polls have shifted only slightly in the vice president’s favor — especially in the battleground states — even though voters overwhelmingly crowned her the winner of the high-stakes showdown. It’s nowhere near enough to change the underlying reality: Harris and Trump are still on a collision course for a very close finish in November.




The debate was a huge chance for Harris to prove her mettle on stage with Trump, facing off for the first and likely last time. And by all measures she exceeded expectations, with large majorities calling her the stronger candidate on stage. In a New York Times/Siena College poll, two-in-three likely voters, 67 percent, said she did well at the debate; just 40 percent said the same of Trump.
And a huge swath of voters saw Harris’ decisive victory: Some 67 million Americans watched, on track to be the second-biggest TV audience for a single event this year — behind only the Super Bowl.

But surveys point to just a slight Harris bump, with national polls showing the Democrat’s lead has grown by about 1 percentage point since the day of the debate — even including national polls from NBC News and CBS News on Sunday giving Harris a mid-single-digit lead. Across three major polling averages, Harris’ national lead — which ranged between 1.1 and 2.5 points on Sept. 10 — is now between 2.2 and 3 points, after Sunday’s new surveys were added.

There’s also been an avalanche of battleground state data released over the past few days showing an even more modest improvement for Harris. Dive into the seven core states, and it’s clear that Harris’ lead is still remarkably small and fragile — particularly considering how pollsters have underestimated Trump in recent elections.

In all, Harris has average leads of 1 point or greater in only two battleground states. In the other five, at least one polling average shows the race within a single point.

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Trump is winning the battle ground states. We can't afford 4 more years of Harris.
 
She didn't get ANY "boost" from the debate. How do I know??? Because Harris HERSELF is acting like a SORE LOSER, immediately demanding a REMATCH (another debate). Only SORE LOSERS do that.
 
ExpressLane said:

How the debate didn’t boost Harris, according to our polling expert​


Kamala Harris didn’t get much of a post-debate bounce.

Instead of taking a clear lead over Donald Trump, the polls have shifted only slightly in the vice president’s favor — especially in the battleground states — even though voters overwhelmingly crowned her the winner of the high-stakes showdown. It’s nowhere near enough to change the underlying reality: Harris and Trump are still on a collision course for a very close finish in November.




The debate was a huge chance for Harris to prove her mettle on stage with Trump, facing off for the first and likely last time. And by all measures she exceeded expectations, with large majorities calling her the stronger candidate on stage. In a New York Times/Siena College poll, two-in-three likely voters, 67 percent, said she did well at the debate; just 40 percent said the same of Trump.
And a huge swath of voters saw Harris’ decisive victory: Some 67 million Americans watched, on track to be the second-biggest TV audience for a single event this year — behind only the Super Bowl.

But surveys point to just a slight Harris bump, with national polls showing the Democrat’s lead has grown by about 1 percentage point since the day of the debate — even including national polls from NBC News and CBS News on Sunday giving Harris a mid-single-digit lead. Across three major polling averages, Harris’ national lead — which ranged between 1.1 and 2.5 points on Sept. 10 — is now between 2.2 and 3 points, after Sunday’s new surveys were added.

There’s also been an avalanche of battleground state data released over the past few days showing an even more modest improvement for Harris. Dive into the seven core states, and it’s clear that Harris’ lead is still remarkably small and fragile — particularly considering how pollsters have underestimated Trump in recent elections.

In all, Harris has average leads of 1 point or greater in only two battleground states. In the other five, at least one polling average shows the race within a single point.

========================================
Trump is winning the battle ground states. We can't afford 4 more years of Harris.
Click to expand...
The Polls are skewed. All of these Trumptards that are saying they are undecided, are a mixed bag of those that will vote for Trump anyway, no matter what, and those that won't make up their mind until they get into the poll booth!

There is no way of knowing who they will vote for, and there is no way to know how many of these confused idiots are even out there!

And there is no way to know how much they are fucking up poll data right now, with all of their indecisiveness, as they are responding to these polls.

It will all come out in the wash on election night!
 
Lionfish said:
View attachment 32150
Click to expand...

Well, people can remember the employee that they hired in 2016, who botched his only crisis and lost a record # of jobs. Oh, and he tried to prevent the peaceful transfer of power and incited an attempted insurrection.

Meanwhile, over 15 million jobs were added under Biden/Harris, and the stock market is breaking records. Oh, and they ended a 20-year war that Republicans started.
 
Nordberg said:
She bitch slapped him all over the stage.
Click to expand...
Is that why she's immediately demanding that there be a REMATCH? Is that the sort of actions that "clear winners" take, or is that what SORE LOSERS do?
Nordberg said:
There are lots of different polls.
Click to expand...
I do not accept Marxist state-controlled propaganda as a valid source of anything.
Nordberg said:
Why do we assume the right-wing one you accept is correct? https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-historic-surge-popularity-nbc-news-poll-1957459
Click to expand...
What is "the right-wing one (I) accept"?? This isn't about anything or anybody else other than the specific actions of Harris (namely, immediately demanding a rematch because she believes that she lost the one and only debate that she was willing to show up to) and Trump (namely, seeing no need for another debate because he believes that he won the one and only debate that Harris was willing to show up to).
 
Geeko Sportivo said:
The Polls are skewed. All of these Trumptards that are saying they are undecided, are a mixed bag of those that will vote for Trump anyway, no matter what, and those that won't make up their mind until they get into the poll booth!

There is no way of knowing who they will vote for, and there is no way to know how many of these confused idiots are even out there!

And there is no way to know how much they are fucking up poll data right now, with all of their indecisiveness, as they are responding to these polls.

It will all come out in the wash on election night!
Click to expand...
How can "Trumptards" be "undecided"? Aren't they already voting for Trump? If not, then how can they be a "Trumptard"?

You aren't making any sense, ya Dumb Lizard.........
 
BartenderElite said:
Well, people can remember the employee that they hired in 2016, who botched his only crisis and lost a record # of jobs. Oh, and he tried to prevent the peaceful transfer of power and incited an attempted insurrection.

Meanwhile, over 15 million jobs were added under Biden/Harris, and the stock market is breaking records. Oh, and they ended a 20-year war that Republicans started.
Click to expand...
BULLSHIT
Any loss of jobs was due to the Chinese sending in the Virus to disrupt the election and jobs that Brandon is now taking credit for are people returning to work but you do know that don't you?
Stock market is high but due to the brandon caused inflation, the value of my dollar is 70% of what it was in 2020 sooo.......
 
gfm7175 said:
How can "Trumptards" be "undecided"? Aren't they already voting for Trump? If not, then how can they be a "Trumptard"?

You aren't making any sense, ya Dumb Lizard.........
Click to expand...
Give him a break it is cool outside today and his cold blooded brain ain't working too good today.
 
ExpressLane said:

How the debate didn’t boost Harris, according to our polling expert​


Kamala Harris didn’t get much of a post-debate bounce.

Instead of taking a clear lead over Donald Trump, the polls have shifted only slightly in the vice president’s favor — especially in the battleground states — even though voters overwhelmingly crowned her the winner of the high-stakes showdown. It’s nowhere near enough to change the underlying reality: Harris and Trump are still on a collision course for a very close finish in November.




The debate was a huge chance for Harris to prove her mettle on stage with Trump, facing off for the first and likely last time. And by all measures she exceeded expectations, with large majorities calling her the stronger candidate on stage. In a New York Times/Siena College poll, two-in-three likely voters, 67 percent, said she did well at the debate; just 40 percent said the same of Trump.
And a huge swath of voters saw Harris’ decisive victory: Some 67 million Americans watched, on track to be the second-biggest TV audience for a single event this year — behind only the Super Bowl.

But surveys point to just a slight Harris bump, with national polls showing the Democrat’s lead has grown by about 1 percentage point since the day of the debate — even including national polls from NBC News and CBS News on Sunday giving Harris a mid-single-digit lead. Across three major polling averages, Harris’ national lead — which ranged between 1.1 and 2.5 points on Sept. 10 — is now between 2.2 and 3 points, after Sunday’s new surveys were added.

There’s also been an avalanche of battleground state data released over the past few days showing an even more modest improvement for Harris. Dive into the seven core states, and it’s clear that Harris’ lead is still remarkably small and fragile — particularly considering how pollsters have underestimated Trump in recent elections.

In all, Harris has average leads of 1 point or greater in only two battleground states. In the other five, at least one polling average shows the race within a single point.

========================================
Trump is winning the battle ground states. We can't afford 4 more years of Harris.
Click to expand...
Certainly didn’t help Donnie any

And with such a small number of voters deciding this race a “slight shift” can be significant
 
It was another example of how even the most important things are now rigged against the people, that MAGA is right.
 
archives said:
Certainly didn’t help Donnie any

And with such a small number of voters deciding this race a “slight shift” can be significant
Click to expand...
He went up in Arizona to + 5 and North Carolina plus 2 and stayed the same in Georgia up by +4
archives said:
Certainly didn’t help Donnie any

And with such a small number of voters deciding this race a “slight shift” can be significant
Click to expand...

New York Times/Siena Sunbelt Polls – Siena College Research Institute

scri.siena.edu scri.siena.edu

Posted By: Siena College Research Institute September 23, 2024

  • Arizona: Trump 50-45% Over Harris, Gallego by 6 Leads Lake, Georgia: Trump 49-45% Over Harris, North Carolina: Trump 49%, Harris 47%, Stein 10 points ahead of Robinson
  • Trump Trusted More by Voters across AZ, GA, NC by 12-14 points on Top Issue, Economy
  • Harris Trusted More by Voters across AZ, GA, NC by 9-13 points on Abortion
  • Voters Evenly Split on Which Candidate Better on Democracy
 
ExpressLane said:
He went up in Arizona to + 5 and North Carolina plus 2 and stayed the same in Georgia up by +4

New York Times/Siena Sunbelt Polls – Siena College Research Institute

scri.siena.edu scri.siena.edu

Posted By: Siena College Research Institute September 23, 2024

  • Arizona: Trump 50-45% Over Harris, Gallego by 6 Leads Lake, Georgia: Trump 49-45% Over Harris, North Carolina: Trump 49%, Harris 47%, Stein 10 points ahead of Robinson
  • Trump Trusted More by Voters across AZ, GA, NC by 12-14 points on Top Issue, Economy
  • Harris Trusted More by Voters across AZ, GA, NC by 9-13 points on Abortion
  • Voters Evenly Split on Which Candidate Better on Democracy
Click to expand...
And tomorrow there will be another poll
 
ExpressLane said:

How the debate didn’t boost Harris, according to our polling expert​


Kamala Harris didn’t get much of a post-debate bounce.

Instead of taking a clear lead over Donald Trump, the polls have shifted only slightly in the vice president’s favor — especially in the battleground states — even though voters overwhelmingly crowned her the winner of the high-stakes showdown. It’s nowhere near enough to change the underlying reality: Harris and Trump are still on a collision course for a very close finish in November.




The debate was a huge chance for Harris to prove her mettle on stage with Trump, facing off for the first and likely last time. And by all measures she exceeded expectations, with large majorities calling her the stronger candidate on stage. In a New York Times/Siena College poll, two-in-three likely voters, 67 percent, said she did well at the debate; just 40 percent said the same of Trump.
And a huge swath of voters saw Harris’ decisive victory: Some 67 million Americans watched, on track to be the second-biggest TV audience for a single event this year — behind only the Super Bowl.

But surveys point to just a slight Harris bump, with national polls showing the Democrat’s lead has grown by about 1 percentage point since the day of the debate — even including national polls from NBC News and CBS News on Sunday giving Harris a mid-single-digit lead. Across three major polling averages, Harris’ national lead — which ranged between 1.1 and 2.5 points on Sept. 10 — is now between 2.2 and 3 points, after Sunday’s new surveys were added.

There’s also been an avalanche of battleground state data released over the past few days showing an even more modest improvement for Harris. Dive into the seven core states, and it’s clear that Harris’ lead is still remarkably small and fragile — particularly considering how pollsters have underestimated Trump in recent elections.

In all, Harris has average leads of 1 point or greater in only two battleground states. In the other five, at least one polling average shows the race within a single point.

========================================
Trump is winning the battle ground states. We can't afford 4 more years of Harris.
Click to expand...
Then there's this:

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

National Polls

The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com
 
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