Florida oddly seems to be getting more conservative. I think maybe it's just the Cuban exile community overreacting to Obama's leniency to the Cuban state.
All that really matters in this election is Ohio and Iowa. And Obama is favored 1 to 4 to win Iowa and 1 to 3 to win Ohio. Florida doesn't really matter in this case. Or any of the other states, but it's likely to be a landslide, as a number of western and southern states defect to the Obama camp.