My answer radio journalist Jacob Kedmi

Alik Bahshi

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Alik Bakhshi
My answer radio journalist Jacob Kedmi

On the Russian radio program "Full Contact" Vladimir Solovyov, the third ranking after Vladimir Putin and Dmitry Kiselev liar, Israeli radio journalist Yakov Kedmi, a former employee of Mossad ("Office of Intelligence and Special Tasks") categorically stated that the downed Turkish Russian bomber Su-24 is nothing but a provocation. Commenting on the incident, the Kedmi told that the Russian aircraft did not threaten Turkey, in fact, it turns out, is not heading in the direction of Turkey, and the Turks took advantage of a pretext to commit a provocation. http://radiovesti.ru/article/show/article_id/183639
Then there is a natural question, What is the aim of provoking such time? On what the Turks want to provoke Russia? On the back, after which inevitably would start World War III? After all, Turkey is a NATO member. Or, in the hope that Russia will introduce economic sanctions against Turkey, as it actually happened. But why is it necessary to Turkey? Alas, Kedmi did not bother to explain such an important moment. I wonder if the Syrian military plane flew into Israeli territory, what would have been his fate? I have no doubt he would have been immediately destroyed. And it would qualify provocation of Israel? It is clearly the logic Kedmi have a problem. In short, I could not find a reasonable explanation of provocation by Turkey. Output version Kedmi provocation by Turkey is highly questionable.

In order to somehow find the answer to the cause of the incident, look at the facts:
October 3, 2015 Turkish Foreign Minister presents the Russian ambassador a note of protest in connection with the fact that Russian military aircraft violated the airspace of the country in the area of the province of Hatay http://ria.ru/trend/incident_russian_plane_turkey_05102015/#ixzz3uhoX0jv9 Yayladağı After that the Russian embassy has recognized the fact of infringement . The next day, October 4 unidentified Mig-29 makes a very dangerous action, taking aim at the radar, two Turkish F-16 fighter patrolling near the Syrian-Turkish border. This act is classified only as hostile. NATO's reaction to the incident was immediate and harsh. From Russia demanded an end to the invasion of the military aircraft in the territory of Turkey, pointing out the extreme danger of such irresponsible behavior. And November 24 unidentified bomber Su-24 re-invading Turkish airspace. It should be noted that another approaching the border, the Turkish air defense several times warned the pilot of the aircraft of the dangerous direction of flight, but the bomber has not changed course and entered Turkish airspace, and then was shot down a Turkish F-16s engaged on border patrols. Turkey twice expressed a note of protest about the violation of Russian military aircraft Turkish airspace. But Russia ignored the signal of Ankara, brazenly continuing to play with fire. So the next time you abuse the Turkish border Russian SU-24 was shot down. Shot down a military, not civilian aircraft infiltrator. If you remember how Russian ruthlessly shot down deliberately civilian Korean Boeing-747 (269 deaths), and recently the Malaysian Boeing-777 (298 deaths) over the territory occupied by Russian south-eastern Ukraine, then in this case shot down a military offender and not a fighter, and a carrier great danger bomber. Russia was to receive a lesson, and she got it.

So from whose hand was a provocation? On this issue, I believe there are three possible answers.

First - pilot error, immediately ruled out because with modern means of the orientation of the military aircraft in the space of just a single chance to get lost, especially during the daytime. Involuntarily begs the question, what the two previous incident also belong to the negligence of pilots? Three incidents in a relatively short period of time at the Turkish border after coming to the aid of Russian Syrian dictator this is no accident, but intentional.

The second - a provocation from the Russian side. And for what purpose, to do, to abandon gas pipeline project "Turkish Stream" more necessary for a catastrophic incident the Russian economy than Turkey's economic growth rate is higher than that of the "Big Twenty." Or maybe start a war with Turkey? But the war was not followed. War exchanged the Turkish refusal to buy tomatoes, thereby depriving its citizens of vegetables.

The third option - at first glance, has a demonstrative character, namely, to show who is the master in the region. No doubt, the invasion of Russian military aircraft into the airspace of Turkey did not take place without the knowledge of the world-famous political bully Putin. Well, let's say Russian aircraft inadvertently once flew into Turkish territory, for the second time, too, can take a stretch of the accident, but the third - it is already too much, it's obvious malice. It is necessary to take into account that the Turks twice expressed a note of protest to the Russian ambassador in Ankara, and the third time it was necessary to teach a lesson that went like a store. True, Putin lays thunder and lightning, leads the anti-Turkish sanctions against Russia, but it only shows the weakness of his position.

So what was the political plan of Putin's disturbing Turkey constant incursions into its airspace? I think Putin had several objectives. First, get the Turks to adopt a low profile and keep silent, following the example of Lebanon and Syria, as Israeli warplanes freely appear in the sky above their territory. Second, check the reaction of NATO to advance to know how much NATO is ready to stand up for Turkey, if you happen to run a military conflict with Turkey.
Here I want to explain the reason why a possible outbreak of a new Russian-Turkish war. In fact, Russia, as history shows, above all fought it with Turkey. It is known, Russia's economy rests on revenue from oil and gas exports. Today the price of oil is low, more than ever, and with America's decision to sell its oil and Iran's return to the oil market after the lifting of the embargo, is expected to fall even more in the price of oil that Russia turn into a catastrophe. It remains one hope for gas, so Putin is worn with a gas pipe from one project to another. Europe to abandon the project "South Stream", in order to avoid future potential Russian blackmail, as was the case with Ukraine. Instead of the "South Stream" Putin has found an alternative to "the Turkish stream." However, this project was covered after the incident with the Su-24 bombers. By the way, I must say that Turkey, as I think, agreed to the project with the expectation to neutralize the resistance of Moscow on construction of TANAP project pipeline of 3,500 kilometers, whose main purpose is to exclude Russia as a monopolist in the supply of gas to EU countries. This project involves bypassing Russia as a gas supplier countries of the Caspian basin, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and possibly Iran. Putin remains the only hope to save the Russian economy is the project "The Power of Siberia", providing for gas exports to China, but the observed trend of economic slowdown in China could significantly reduce China's demand for Russian gas.

Thus the situation for Russia APB. The only thing that remains is the second Moscow to attempt to cut the gas pipe, as was the case in Georgia in 2008. But this time, Moscow will use glow-Karabakh conflict, and unleashed long been waiting for the Armenian Dashnaks, who dream to build a "Great Armenia" from sea to sea. In this case, inevitably involving Russia and Turkey as a strategic ally of Azerbaijan and Armenia, respectively, which threatens humanity of the Third World War (1.2).

Yakov Kedmi very far from realizing such a catastrophic prospect for Peace, calling the incident with the Su-24 shot down a provocation, there is not a provocation, but a desperate idea Fuhrer Putin (3) to avoid the imminent collapse of the Russian Empire.

1. The Trans-Caspian gas pipeline or the Third World War. http://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/18362.html
2. Nuclear nightmare as the only way the Russian Fuhrer. http://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/24473.html
3. Great Russian chauvinism, and Putin, his Führer. http://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/21133.html

12/23/15
 
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