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Fox News Poll: New matchup, same result — Trump bests Harris by one point
Despite all the twists and turns, the state of the presidential race remains shockingly consistent, Donald Trump beats his Democratic opponent by one point.
www.foxnews.com
Fox News Poll: New matchup, same result — Trump bests Harris by one point
Despite all the twists and turns, the state of the presidential race remains shockingly consistent, Donald Trump beats his Democratic opponent by one point.
www.foxnews.com
No matter how many major events intervene, and goodness knows there have been several, the state of this year’s presidential race doesn’t seem to change.
Vice President Kamala Harris trails former President Donald Trump by one percentage point in the latest Fox News national survey, 49-50%.
Last month, she was also behind Trump by one point, 48-49% -- as was President Joe Biden, with the same 48-49% result.
Between those two surveys, there was an assassination attempt on Trump, the Republican National Convention was held, Ohio Sen. JD Vance was chosen as Trump’s running mate, Biden dropped out and endorsed Harris, she was certified as the Democratic presidential nominee and selected Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate, and they held several campaign events with record-breaking attendance.
By one percentage point, more Democrats back Harris (94%) than Republicans support Trump (93%), while the small subgroup of Independents goes for him by 8 points.
Trump retains 95% of his 2020 backers and Harris carries 93% of 2020 Biden supporters, while new voters (those who haven’t voted in the four most recent general elections) split 49% each. Last month, new voters preferred Trump over Biden by 7 points.
There is a 22-point gender gap, as men favor Trump by 12 points and women favor Harris by 10.
Trump’s best groups include men, White evangelical Christians, rural voters, and White men without a college degree.
For Harris, it is women, Black voters, those under age 30, and college graduates. Her numbers among each of these groups are a touch higher than Biden’s were in the July head-to-head against Trump, but they generally lag what Biden received closer to Election Day in 2020.
The new survey also shows that those living in union households favor Harris by 10 points, while voters who have served in the military prefer Trump by 22 points.
The Biden-Trump double haters (those with unfavorable views of both) favor Harris by 41 points, but the small group of Harris-Trump double haters prefer Trump by 15 points.
In the expanded presidential ballot, Harris and Trump received 45% each, while support for Kennedy stands at 6%. All others are at 1%. Support for RFK is down from 10% in July and a high of 15% in November 2023. Seven percent of those backing Harris in the head-to-head matchup defect to third-party candidates compared to 9% of those favoring Trump.
Harris has an edge on the important measure of personal likeability. She’s 3 points underwater, viewed favorably by 48% of voters and unfavorably by 51%. Trump is 6 points underwater, 47-53% -- his best ratings in more than four years. In fact, ratings of both candidates have improved since last month, when Harris’ net rating was negative by 10 and Trump’s was negative by 12. ....
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This is closer than you think. RFK's endorsement may make a lot of difference.
