Polls Are Oversampling Democrats to Pump Up Kamala’s Numbers

Earl

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Polls Are Oversampling Democrats to Pump Up Kamala’s Numbers

The oldest polling trick in the book, over-sample Democrats.




Pollster John McLaughlin Says Polls Are Oversampling Democrats to Pump Up Kamala’s Numbers




One of the most confusing aspects of the 2024 election is the polls. They have been all over the place, especially since Joe Biden was swapped out by Democrats for Kamala Harris.

Every day it seems that polls change, showing Trump ahead, then Harris ahead. The media is pushing the idea that Kamala Harris is ascendant and has all the momentum on her side, yet this woman is the least popular vice president in recent history, so how is she polling so well now?


According to one polling expert, John McLaughlin, polls are oversampling Democrats in a deliberate effort to pump up the numbers for Harris, to make her seem more popular than she really is.

 
Polling showing Harris in lead flagged by industry experts for voter samples


“So what they're doing is they're polling fewer Republicans. They're polling a disproportionate number of Biden 2020 voters

in these states that were dead even,” pollster John McLaughlin said. There does not to be any consensus on any polls' accuracy.




Vice President Kamala Harris has enjoyed a noticeable surge in the polls – particularly national polls – since becoming the Democratic standard bearer, but the rapid shift in her position has left some industry analysts questioning the apparent boost in the formerly quite unpopular vice president’s standing. In her 2020 run, she struggled to break 3% before dropping out, according to The Hill.


Prior to becoming the Democratic nominee, Harris suffered from decidedly poor approval ratings and Trump initially held the lead over her in a head-to-head matchup. The average quickly flipped, however, in the wake of several surveys showing Harris ahead. Those surveys, however, have attracted scrutiny from an array of pollsters either due to their lack of transparency about the sampling methodology or from oversampling Democrats.“So what they're doing is they're polling fewer Republicans. They're polling a disproportionate number of Biden 2020 voters in these states that were dead even,” pollster John McLaughlin said this week on the “Just the News, No Noise” television show.
 
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