Signs that the market found its bottom

Chapdog

Abreast of the situations
There are signs that the market found its bottom.
VIX hit all time 80
Libor rates fell
Liquidity is returning to the banking system
S&P Business yield is climbing over 5%
Commodity prices are plunging making everything cheaper
5/10yr Treasury spreads are peaking
 
There are signs that the market found its bottom.
VIX hit all time 80
Libor rates fell
Liquidity is returning to the banking system
S&P Business yield is climbing over 5%
Commodity prices are plunging making everything cheaper
5/10yr Treasury spreads are peaking

I would agree with the above. I do think we may test that 7880 level from last Friday one more time before we see a move up. If it breaks that, then we will trend to the 7280 level (2002 low) in an all out capitulation sell off.

This sell off in gold is amusing. With all the liquidity being pumped into the market by the central banks around the world, it should be setting itself up for a nice bull run.
 
I would agree with the above. I do think we may test that 7880 level from last Friday one more time before we see a move up. If it breaks that, then we will trend to the 7280 level (2002 low) in an all out capitulation sell off.

This sell off in gold is amusing. With all the liquidity being pumped into the market by the central banks around the world, it should be setting itself up for a nice bull run.
Oh... yes...

Many of the things people are selling off are making no sense to me. I think that there is huge opportunity here...
 
But yet, we're in the worst financial crisis in fifty years. Or that just a scare tactic to get people to agree to massive bailouts?
 
bailout wasn't as big as one would think if you stop to think about it. We run a deficit thats over 50% of the bailout every year.
 
This sell off in gold is amusing. With all the liquidity being pumped into the market by the central banks around the world, it should be setting itself up for a nice bull run.

The sell off in gold is predictable. People are taking their profits and now are going to take those profits and invest in a stable company until this market fear subsides. Look for companies like Coke, Microsoft, Yum, McDonalds, etc. (basically companies with a nice brand) to start climbing. Get out now before gold crashes back down to 400.
 
The sell off in gold is predictable. People are taking their profits and now are going to take those profits and invest in a stable company until this market fear subsides. Look for companies like Coke, Microsoft, Yum, McDonalds, etc. (basically companies with a nice brand) to start climbing. Get out now before gold crashes back down to 400.

Um... No.

With all of the fiat money being pumped into the market, gold is much more likely to be at the start of a bull run than a bear. It may pull back further in the short term, but over the next several years it is likely to continue its bull run.
 
Is it? they will likely get back like 500B in resales.. And potentially the entire amount and run a profit.


IF they were that valuable a private interest would have wanted these shit assets.

Do you really believe these lies? You are dumber than a post.
 
Um... No.

With all of the fiat money being pumped into the market, gold is much more likely to be at the start of a bull run than a bear. It may pull back further in the short term, but over the next several years it is likely to continue its bull run.

Umm.. yeah.

After it drops to 400, you'll see a bull run.
 
Liquidity from the central banks, LOL

So much for that story. A few days ago, when Hank Paulson called the heads of the nine families to Washington and shoved cash down their throats, he announced that the banks would use this new taxpayer cash to lend. They won't, of course. They'll hoard it like a starving family who has just been given a grocery cart full of food.

And after a few days of silence, even the banks are finally admitting that. So it's back to the drawing board for Paulson & Co.

Next steps? Find a way to force the banks to write their assets down to nuclear winter levels, so 1) private investors don't have to worry about getting sandbagged and therefore invest more in the banks, and 2) the banks know they won't be forced to take more multi-billion dollar losses. Only then will the banks begin to lend again. And at that point, the only challenge will be finding people and companies to lend to, in an economy headed straight into the tank.)

NYT: , John Thain, the chief executive of Merrill Lynch, said on Thursday that banks were unlikely to act swiftly. Executives at other banks privately expressed a similar view.

“We will have the opportunity to redeploy that,” Mr. Thain said of the new capital on a telephone call with analysts. “But at least for the next quarter, it’s just going to be a cushion."...

“I don’t think that the market wants to see that capital being put to work to leverage the business up again,” said Roger Freeman, an analyst at Barclays Capital, which acquired parts of the now-bankrupt Lehman Brothers last month. “My expectation is it’s quarters off, not months off, before you see that capital being put to work.”...

Jamie Dimon, the chairman and chief executive of JPMorgan, said his bank was in a stronger position to use the money than some of its competitors.

“It’s clear that the government would like us to use the capital,” Mr. Dimon said on a conference call with analysts on Wednesday. “If you are a bank that is filling a hole, you obviously can’t do that.”

Who is "a bank that is filling a hole"? Seven of the nine that just got taxpayer money.
 
http://georgewashington2.blogspot.com/2008/10/october-21st-is-pay-day.html


Can you guys fill me in on this October 21 st date and its impact?



October 10th was "D-Day", where D stands for "derivatives". That was the day that an auction for Lehman's $400 billion dollars worth of credit default swaps determined that sellers of swaps would have to pay out 91.375 cents on the dollar.

October 21st is "Pay Day", when those liabilities actually have to be paid by the counterparties to Lehman's CDS.
 
Back
Top