SILVER BULLETIN

[ExpressLane]

Last update: 6:40 p.m, Monday, July 1: We’ve got a string of polls in late this afternoon, they’re mostly poor for Joe Biden, and they’re beginning to have a bigger impact on the model. Trump now leads by 2.7 points in our national average. And Biden’s win probability has dropped to 28 percent from 35 percent on debate night. Our guess is that more likely than not, there’s some further decline ahead: the model is trying to figure out whether this is random noise, but instead it’s almost certainly caused by a challenging first debate for Biden. It’s not great news for the president. We do have some new custom fonts in the tables, though....

Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast

All the numbers for Trump vs. Harris.

www.natesilver.net

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Biden is a dead man walking.

 

[Jarod]

Unless Biden comes back very strong in the September debate, I do not see how he wins. This is Trumps to lose.

 

[ExpressLane]

Unless Biden comes back very strong in the September debate, I do not see how he wins. This is Trumps to lose.

Should he sequester himself in Camp David and start his debate prep now? Dr. Jill can run the country.

 

[Lionfish]

Any reason for Trump to deal with a second debate? I think not.

 

[Jarod]

Any reason for Trump to deal with a second debate? I think not.

Other than he already agreed.

 

[ExpressLane]

Any reason for Trump to deal with a second debate? I think not.

He risk elder abuse charges.

 

[Lionfish]

Other than he already agreed.

He has a cold.

 

[Geeko Sportivo]

Any reason for Trump to deal with a second debate? I think not.

All he accomplished in the first debate was re-establish what a FUCKING LIAR he is, and how dangerous he would be in the White House.

He didn't even answer one question he was asked, and used his time to SPEW his hateful lies.

Biden showed he is getting old, and Trump showed his ugly ass!

Next!

 

[Nordberg]

Should he sequester himself in Camp David and start his debate prep now? Dr. Jill can run the country.

She has a job. She is a professor at a Comm. College.

 

[Jarod]

He has a cold.

So he’s a pussy!

 

[ExpressLane]

She has a job. She is a professor at a Comm. College.

He took off a week this debate and clearly it wasn't close to enough. It's summer and she does not teach summer school.

 

[ExpressLane]

All he accomplished in the first debate was re-establish what a FUCKING LIAR he is, and how dangerous he would be in the White House.

He didn't even answer one question he was asked, and used his time to SPEW his hateful lies.

Biden showed he is getting old, and Trump showed his ugly ass!

Next!

 

[Text Drivers are Killers]

She has a job. She is a professor at a Comm. College.

HAHAHAHA. Did you really say that?

 

[ExpressLane]

He has a cold.

He is all better now. He is orange now.