Why Is The Stock Market Doing So Well In A Bad Recession?

Seems a bit baffling.

It's like nobody told Wall Street there is a serious recession going on.

There is lots of bad economic news out there, but investors don't seem to care.

Is it only a recession for vulnerable disadvantaged people?

Have the big corporations they invest in figured out how to make money no matter what happens to the powerless?

How long can that go on?

Are we inching closer to a big crash when the human support mechanisms for all this wealth extraction begin to crack and fail?

Will there be an 'October Surprise?'

Please explain, thanks.

CAPITOLISM!which most white america supports
 
Only you know deep down but my statement isn't bullshit at all. Democrats are defensive because Obama was President and Republicans want to jump on it to point out Obama's failures. You can't avoid that the partisan aspect of it.

But sit down with economists and discuss economic recoveries and how they rank (nothing political) and this is what the numbers say.

At the end of the day there's such a bigger problem out there that this recovery is indicative of but it rarely gets discussed because political partisanship is more important.

Cool, you see into my soul. Thanks Bush.

I do not apologize AT ALL for Obama's most lackluster RECOVERY OF THE ECONOMY. You must be a partisan hack to even rank the good news
and ignore the astounding FAIL of your party.
 
Cool, you see into my soul. Thanks Bush.

I do not apologize AT ALL for Obama's most lackluster RECOVERY OF THE ECONOMY. You must be a partisan hack to even rank the good news
and ignore the astounding FAIL of your party.

Eh, ultimately i don't need to look at your soul. The partisanship is on the surface. And when talking about the weakest recovery since the Great Depression I've blamed no one. In fact I said blame Republicans if you want. But at the end of the day the numbers are the numbers.

(But thank you for making my point in the George Carlin thread about political partisanship)
 
Eh, ultimately i don't need to look at your soul. The partisanship is on the surface. And when talking about the weakest recovery since the Great Depression I've blamed no one. In fact I said blame Republicans if you want. But at the end of the day the numbers are the numbers.

(But thank you for making my point in the George Carlin thread about political partisanship)

Worst recovery beats best recession every hand. End of story.

Now you can move to explaining the glorious 3d chess Republicans used to cause the great recession and what horrible blunders Obama
employed in fixing it.
 
This is what happens when you have a massive wage and wealth gap. The money does not trickle down to those that need it. The money goes into a giant poker game played by the wealthiest Americans. When they get a run of bad cards, they cash out, and wait for things to get better. It is an exchange of billions of dollars that produces absolutely nothing. Of course we can't take that money away from them and actually put it back into the economy. Because we'd be punishing the 'job producers'. That's how stupid the conservative movement has gotten. They're fine with their money going not to create new jobs, but to create more wealth for the already wealthy.

They put the money back in the economy when they spend. About 60% of consumer spending comes from the top 20% (one-third from the top 5%).
 
Is it only a recession for vulnerable disadvantaged people?

Have the big corporations they invest in figured out how to make money no matter what happens to the powerless?

How long can that go on?

Are we inching closer to a big crash when the human support mechanisms for all this wealth extraction begin to crack and fail?

.

This is what governments around the world fear. America hasn't since the 1950s because of the post war prosperity.

I truly believe that if Republican leadership exists we will have actual revolution and suppression like a banana republic.

They will run this shit into the ground until the plutocrats all flee to foreign tax havens and we have a bloody proletariat revolution.

Biden needs to start day one fixing this catastrophe.
 
Hello anonymoose,

Did Angela crash the German economy? Who is responsible for crashing Spain's economy? How about Finland's?
Your post is really no different than anatta's

I don't see the Taiwanese economy crashed. If we had handled things differently we could have been doing a lot better right now. The deaths per million in the whole world is 96. The deaths per million in the USA is 511. We are 5 times worse.

2 months of denials and failure to take proactive action made this far worse than it needed to be. That caused severe and longer shut downs. Trump owns the crash. And if the bottom falls out of the stock market before the election don't be surprised.

The new administration, if elected, is going to have to get serious about putting the house into order, and that is going to mean taxing the rich more. That is going to hurt the stock market. If all those big wheeler dealer investors see the writing on the wall and pull out before the election there could be an October surprise... The bears are getting restless.
 
Your response, plus Rana thanking the post, shows me this is 100% partisan. Blame Republicans 100% if you want, that doesn't change the fact this was the slowest economic recovery since the Great Recession. That's just a fact, not a trope and not partisan. It's not like it hasn't been discussed for years. I'm not saying something out of line. Usually I would post articles backing my point but in this case it's something you know already so google yourself if you want reinforcement.

What I wrote is pretty clear regarding savings. I've seen others argue QE doesn't hurt savers. If that's your position state so.

I didn't say anything about Republicans. So you are projecting. I said conservatives, and specifically those that believe in supply side economics. If the shoe fits, wear it. Supply side does not work. QE tends to be inflationary, because eventually, the excess reserves have to enter the money supply. That happens gradually in an environment where overnight lending between banks is slow and the central bank is paying interest on excess reserves. Also, QE increases demand for treasuries, and therefore lowers interest rates on those treasuries. So in that respect, QE could apply pressure to push interest rates downward, but it isn't a driving factor of interest rates. What I'm saying is that QE is one of many factors that can impact inflation and interest rates, but it has been the cudgel that the right wing has used (and used poorly) to make a partisan attack on the Fed.
 
Hello anonymoose,



I don't see the Taiwanese economy crashed. If we had handled things differently we could have been doing a lot better right now. The deaths per million in the whole world is 96. The deaths per million in the USA is 511. We are 5 times worse.

2 months of denials and failure to take proactive action made this far worse than it needed to be. That caused severe and longer shut downs. Trump owns the crash. And if the bottom falls out of the stock market before the election don't be surprised.

The new administration, if elected, is going to have to get serious about putting the house into order, and that is going to mean taxing the rich more. That is going to hurt the stock market. If all those big wheeler dealer investors see the writing on the wall and pull out before the election there could be an October surprise... The bears are getting restless.

I'll ride the stock market out. They will get back in. My advice? Just don't look.
 
They put the money back in the economy when they spend. About 60% of consumer spending comes from the top 20% (one-third from the top 5%).

False. The greater the income, the less of that income by percentage goes to consumer spending. That's why the increasing wealth gap is so destructive. It is anti growth.

Lots of evidence of this, but here is one that is easily illustrated. The bottom 20% spend 100% of their income, the top 20% spend 53.3% of their income.

https://www.visualcapitalist.com/how-americans-make-spend-money/

The wage/wealth gap is slowly eroding growth. It is unsustainable.
 
I didn't say anything about Republicans. So you are projecting. I said conservatives, and specifically those that believe in supply side economics. If the shoe fits, wear it. Supply side does not work. QE tends to be inflationary, because eventually, the excess reserves have to enter the money supply. That happens gradually in an environment where overnight lending between banks is slow and the central bank is paying interest on excess reserves. Also, QE increases demand for treasuries, and therefore lowers interest rates on those treasuries. So in that respect, QE could apply pressure to push interest rates downward, but it isn't a driving factor of interest rates. What I'm saying is that QE is one of many factors that can impact inflation and interest rates, but it has been the cudgel that the right wing has used (and used poorly) to make a partisan attack on the Fed.

I've heard what has been done with rates has emptied the monetary policy tool-kit. What happens when the impetus for lowering rates still exists and there is not room to lower them?
Could the government set an interest rate by law higher up, untethered to the overnight rate then fuck with that to regain some torque? Trying to think outside the box when interest rates are zero.
 
Goodbye anonymoose,

PoliSquaker is a she? I thought it was an effeminate old guy.

It's been nice, sometimes, but that crossed the line. And there is no going back.

Do have a nice life.

As far as my forum participation goes, you no longer exist. Erased.

And on the way out, you just became the latest example that I mean exactly what I say in my PIP, and I stand behind my word.

Poof!
 
Hello anonymoose,



I don't see the Taiwanese economy crashed. If we had handled things differently we could have been doing a lot better right now. The deaths per million in the whole world is 96. The deaths per million in the USA is 511. We are 5 times worse.

2 months of denials and failure to take proactive action made this far worse than it needed to be. That caused severe and longer shut downs. Trump owns the crash. And if the bottom falls out of the stock market before the election don't be surprised.

The new administration, if elected, is going to have to get serious about putting the house into order, and that is going to mean taxing the rich more. That is going to hurt the stock market. If all those big wheeler dealer investors see the writing on the wall and pull out before the election there could be an October surprise... The bears are getting restless.
Re: first paragraph - yada yada, the Obama recovery was the slowest ever , Trump crashed the economy, blah blah.
I really don't care who wins in November they will have a mess to deal with.
Let's say Biden wins and dems get control of the house and senate. It will be damn interesting to see them print more money and give it out freely making it *still* more profitable in the short run to stay home and not work.
 
False. The greater the income, the less of that income by percentage goes to consumer spending. That's why the increasing wealth gap is so destructive. It is anti growth.

Lots of evidence of this, but here is one that is easily illustrated. The bottom 20% spend 100% of their income, the top 20% spend 53.3% of their income.

https://www.visualcapitalist.com/how-americans-make-spend-money/

The wage/wealth gap is slowly eroding growth. It is unsustainable.

The equation seems pretty straight forward. If you want to increase spending of X amount using monetary policy
give to those who spend. If you want the population to save money, give it to the rich. If you don't want to fuck with it, then don't.
The merit of trickle down depends on whether the "job creators" are anxious or are feeling bullish. When you need to "fix" the economy
then those people are probably anxious and will just save the money, say thank you and sleep better while most people don't get any relief.
 
Goodbye anonymoose,



It's been nice, sometimes, but that crossed the line. And there is no going back.

Do have a nice life.

As far as my forum participation goes, you no longer exist. Erased.

And on the way out, you just became the latest example that I mean exactly what I say in my PIP, and I stand behind my word.

Poof!

All good with me. I'll still respond to your posts for the benefit of others to see.
 
Goodbye anonymoose,



It's been nice, sometimes, but that crossed the line. And there is no going back.

Do have a nice life.

As far as my forum participation goes, you no longer exist. Erased.

And on the way out, you just became the latest example that I mean exactly what I say in my PIP, and I stand behind my word.

Poof!

Yep
 
The equation seems pretty straight forward. If you want to increase spending of X amount using monetary policy
give to those who spend. If you want the population to save money, give it to the rich. If you don't want to fuck with it, then don't.
The merit of trickle down depends on whether the "job creators" are anxious or are feeling bullish. When you need to "fix" the economy
then those people are probably anxious and will just save the money, say thank you and sleep better while most people don't get any relief.

Yep. If trickle down actually worked, you would not have seen a change in the percentage of wealth held by each quintile. But that isn't the case. This is like one of those fountains that circulates water from the bottom to the top and it flows back down. If it doesn't flow back down as fast as it's pumped up, eventually the bottom becomes dry. Since the bottom in this case drives consumer spending, if it's dry, everyone is screwed. The answer if you are on the top? Pour more water in the bottom via consumer debt. But that eventually runs (ran) out too. The outcome is completely predictable. The only way to fix it is to adjust the flow AND take a bunch of water from the top and move it to the bottom in a one time correction. Pretty simple analogy.
 
Because it's really not a bad recession? It's a temporary halting of the economy in part due to government fiat. Once that is lifted, the economy will return to what it was previously doing most likely with a roar.

On a political note, the Democrats definitely would not want that to happen until after the election as they would perceive keeping things clamped down will aid Biden in getting elected.
 
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