Dems with data are 'extremely bullish' on Trump winning, Harris may lose six swing states: analyst

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Dems with data are 'extremely bullish' on Trump winning, Harris may lose six swing states: analyst​

Political analyst Mark Halperin said this week that both Democrats and Republicans believe former President Trump’s chances of winning the election are looking strong after seeing recent private polling data.

Appearing on a livestream on his media platform 2WAY, Halperin said people on both sides of the political aisle familiar with the polls have told him they’ve seen Vice President Kamala Harris’ electoral prospects slip, and that they’re leaning towards a Trump victory being in the cards.

"In the conversations I'm having with Trump people and Democrats with data, they are extremely bullish on Trump's chances in the last 48 hours. Extremely bullish," Halperin said.

The pundit characterized the Harris campaign as an "experiment" that's encountering issues.

Can you win a short campaign with an untested candidate? And what I’m telling you is happening in private polling is she’s got a problem now," he said.

He pointed to a recent New York Times poll showing that Harris is up over Trump by three points nationally. However, he noted this lead is just on the cusp of the poll’s margin of error and that her team would rather her be at +4 to be confident she’s winning.

Halperin then mentioned a Wall Street Journal report on internal polling done by Sen. Tammy Baldwin’s, D-Wis., re-election campaign showing that Harris is down by three points in Wisconsin.

"There’s no path without Wisconsin," he said, bringing up the numbers from Baldwin’s camp. He added, "We all said yesterday, Wisconsin and Michigan are looking worse for Harris than before."

Halperin added that internal polling reveals that Vice President Kamala Harris' campaign is in "a lot of trouble." (ABC/The View)

He then spoke to his fellow pundits, including former Trump White House press secretary Sean Spicer and Democratic political strategist Dan Turrentine, about how Baldwin publishing these numbers is an "alarm bell" for the rest of the party.

"And so you do it to sound the alarm bell, you are sounding the alarm bell in the party," Turrentine added.

Further on in the stream, Halperin chastised his pro-Harris viewers, stating, "For you Harris people on here complaining that we’re talking about problems in the Harris campaign, you’re welcome to put your head in the sand about it. If you want to go watch MSNBC primetime and hear how great things are going for the Harris campaign, you’re welcome...
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Dems are losing in the swing states. Kamala is in big trouble.
 
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polling companies are hitting the period where the polls they release are used to evaluate their ability to poll

all the cheerleading about how joy exists in the Scamala camp will vanish as a result of this.
 
You ignore the polls when they don't favor Trump, and create threads when they do.

Fact it, the race is extremely tight, and a month is an eternity in politics. I've seen other prognostications that favor Harris, but I'm not shouting from the rooftops. It's likely to be a tense election night for both sides, though I'm sure Trump will declare victory long before the final tallies are in.
 
Not that it matters, there will always be another poll, but your source here, Mark Halperin, works for Newsmax, so any “private polling” he offers should be taken with a grain of salt
 
archives said:
Not that it matters, there will always be another poll, but your source here, Mark Halperin, works for Newsmax, so any “private polling” he offers should be taken with a grain of salt
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I was thinking that, too. Ignore all of the endless public polling we have - because there are private/secret polls going on.

Seems like fake news.
 
trumpers will say anything if they think it will help trump.

In this case, I'm guessing the goal is to get as many Harris voters as possible to believe she doesn't have a chance anyway, and just stay home.
 
archives said:
Not that it matters, there will always be another poll, but your source here, Mark Halperin, works for Newsmax, so any “private polling” he offers should be taken with a grain of salt
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:blah: :blah: :blah:

..... yet you remain silent on all of the leftist "polling" (Quinnipiac, Marist, YouGov, NBC, CBS, state university polls, etc etc

But oh nooooo, a person who works for Newsmax had something to say... :npcmad:
 
BartenderElite said:
I was thinking that, too. Ignore all of the endless public polling we have - because there are private/secret polls going on.

Seems like fake news.
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And apparently Democrats think that they are LOSING.

How do I know??

Not only has Kamala been whining about wanting another debate, as a sore LOSER whines about wanting a REMATCH, but Democrats are spending money and campaigning in states that they are trying to HOLD ONTO, not advance into... Democrats are playing DEFENSE, not offense.
 
Nordberg said:
Odd that nearly everyone says polling has become unreliable or bad until it backs their candidate, then it is perfect.
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Polling sucks as much as it has always sucked. It is STILL not "backing Trump", but Trump is going to win regardless.
 
BartenderElite said:
You ignore the polls when they don't favor Trump, and create threads when they do.

Fact it, the race is extremely tight, and a month is an eternity in politics. I've seen other prognostications that favor Harris, but I'm not shouting from the rooftops. It's likely to be a tense election night for both sides, though I'm sure Trump will declare victory long before the final tallies are in.
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We'll see how Independents feel about trump sending Covid test machines to Putin when Americans were being kept in the dark about the extent of the virus.

We know that trump shared classified information with our enemies. All we need is the documented proof, which may very well be released soon.

I don't ever pay attention to polling, save for the fact that the trend is better than it was before Biden stepped down.
 
Nomad said:
trumpers will say anything if they think it will help trump.

In this case, I'm guessing the goal is to get as many Harris voters as possible to believe she doesn't have a chance anyway, and just stay home.
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Except it doesn't work that way. Big leads in polling might keep a candidate's supporters home. Which is why intelligent candidates always downplay results of polls.
 
gfm7175 said:
Trump is going to win, and you are going to be BIG MAD.
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Know what I'll do?

Accept it and move on. Because that's what people NORMALLY do in elections, realizing that they win some & lose some.

I certainly won't stomp my feet, riot and say "rigged" for the next 4 years. Like the babies do.
 
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