A wry squint into our grim future

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by George Will March 4, 2017 8:00 PM @GeorgeWill


Although America’s political system seems unable to stimulate robust, sustained economic growth, it at least is stimulating consumption of a small but important segment of literature. Dystopian novels are selling briskly — Aldous Huxley’s Brave New World (1932), Sinclair Lewis’s It Can’t Happen Here (1935), George Orwell’s Animal Farm (1945) and 1984 (1949), Ray Bradbury’s Fahrenheit 451 (1953), and Margaret Atwood’s The Handmaid’s Tale (1985), all warning about nasty regimes displacing democracy.

There is, however, a more recent and pertinent presentation of a grim future. Last year, in her 13th novel, The Mandibles: A Family, 2029–2047, Lionel Shriver imagined America slouching into dystopia merely by continuing current practices.

Shriver, who is fascinated by the susceptibility of complex systems to catastrophic collapses, begins her story after the 2029 economic crash and the Great Renunciation, whereby the nation, like a dissolute Atlas, shrugged off its national debt, saying to creditors: It’s nothing personal. The world is not amused, and Americans’ subsequent downward social mobility is not pretty

Florence Darkly, a Millennial, is a “single mother,” but such mothers now outnumber married ones. Newspapers have almost disappeared, so “print journalism had given way to a rabble of amateurs hawking unverified stories and always to an ideological purpose.” Mexico has paid for an electronic border fence to keep out American refugees. Her Americans are living, on average, to 92, the economy is “powered by the whims of the retired,” and, “desperate to qualify for entitlements, these days everyone couldn’t wait to be old.” People who have never been told “no” are apoplectic if they can’t retire at 52. Antibiotic-resistant bacteria are ubiquitous, so shaking hands is imprudent.

Soldiers in combat fatigues, wielding metal detectors, search houses for gold illegally still in private hands. The government monitors every movement and the IRS, renamed the Bureau for Social Contribution Assistance, siphons up everything, on the you-didn’t-build-that principle: “Morally, your money does belong to everybody. The creation of capital requires the whole apparatus of the state to protect property rights, including intellectual property.”

Social order collapses when hyperinflation follows the promiscuous printing of money after the Renunciation. This punishes those “who had a conscientious, caretaking relationship to the future.” Government salaries and Medicare reimbursements are “linked to an inflation algorithm that didn’t require further action from Congress. Even if a Snickers bar eventually cost $5 billion, they were safe.”

In a Reason magazine interview, Shriver says, “I think it is in the nature of government to infinitely expand until it eats its young.” In her novel, she writes:

The state starts moving money around. A little fairness here, little more fairness there. . . . Eventually social democracies all arrive at the same tipping point: where half the country depends on the other half. . . . Government becomes a pricey, clumsy, inefficient mechanism for transferring wealth from people who do something to people who don’t, and from the young to the old — which is the wrong direction. All that effort, and you’ve only managed a new unfairness.


Florence learns to appreciate “the miracle of civilization.” It is miraculous because “failure and decay were the world’s natural state. What was astonishing was anything that worked as intended, for any duration whatsoever.” Laughing mordantly as the apocalypse approaches, Shriver has a gimlet eye for the foibles of today’s secure (or so it thinks) upper middle class, from Washington’s Cleveland Park to Brooklyn. About the gentrification of the latter, she observes:

Oh, you could get a facelift nearby, put your dog in therapy, or spend $500 at Ottawa on a bafflingly trendy dinner of Canadian cuisine (the city’s elite was running out of new ethnicities whose food could become fashionable). But you couldn’t buy a screwdriver, pick up a gallon of paint, take in your dry cleaning, get new tips on your high heels, copy a key, or buy a slice of pizza. Wealthy residents might own bicycles worth $5K, but no shop within miles would repair the brakes. . . . High rents had priced out the very service sector whose presence at ready hand once helped to justify urban living.


The (only) good news from Shriver’s squint into the future is that when Americans are put through a wringer, they emerge tougher, with less talk about “ADHD, gluten intolerance and emotional support animals.” Speaking to Reason, Shriver said: “I think that the bullet we dodged in 2008 is still whizzing around the planet and is going to hit us in the head.” If so, this story has already been written.

Read more at: http://www.nationalreview.com/article/445502/lionel-shriver-dystopian-novel-the-mandibles

Looks like we're there already.
 
I think it's a lot more likely that the federal government fades away, and the United States is replaced by a series of feuding, warring fascistic states constantly trying to pursue racist policies to keep their populations in check.
 
I think the reference to the gold standard is lame.

Actually the gold standard is one of the biggest checks on government growth there ever was. That is why governments are always in such a hurry to eliminate.

Personally I prefer junk silver for TEOTWAWKI

Silver coins are easier to stash and their value can be determined easily unlike walking around with a block of gold
 
I think it's a lot more likely that the federal government fades away, and the United States is replaced by a series of feuding, warring fascistic states constantly trying to pursue racist policies to keep their populations in check.

I should've banned you from this thread when I started it. Oh well, a mistake is only made when you don't learn from it.
 
Actually the gold standard is one of the biggest checks on government growth there ever was. That is why governments are always in such a hurry to eliminate.

Personally I prefer junk silver for TEOTWAWKI

Silver coins are easier to stash and their value can be determined easily unlike walking around with a block of gold

:good4u:
 
What reference? I didn't see any. Could you copy and paste it?

The plot referenced the government kicking in doors and confiscating any gold that was found to be in possession by the people.

Soldiers in combat fatigues, wielding metal detectors, search houses for gold illegally still in private hands. The government monitors every movement and the IRS, renamed the Bureau for Social Contribution Assistance, siphons up everything, on the you-didn’t-build-that principle: “Morally, your money does belong to everybody. The creation of capital requires the whole apparatus of the state to protect property rights, including intellectual property.”

Social order collapses when hyperinflation follows the promiscuous printing of money after the Renunciation. This punishes those “who had a conscientious, caretaking relationship to the future.” Government salaries and Medicare reimbursements are “linked to an inflation algorithm that didn’t require further action from Congress. Even if a Snickers bar eventually cost $5 billion, they were safe.”
 
There's an old Chemist joke. Pessimist (which includes dystopians) think the glass is half empty, optimist believe it is half full but the chemist knows the glass is completely full. Half full of water and half full of air.

The Greeks had a concept Kyklos in which governments cycled from Monarchy to Aristocracy to Democracy. These cycles tend to be follows by cycles of tyranny or anarchy which would prestage one of the three forms of Government.

Democratic stages tended to be the shortest and are amost always followed by anarchy which is ended by a dictator that becomes a Monarchy with following generations of Monarchy being less virtuous become tyranny that are replaced by an Aristocracy with following generations of the Aristocracy becoming less virtuous that leads to more tyranny that is replaced by Democracy which degenerates into anarchy which is ended by a dictator who establishes a Monarchy, repeat and rinse.

Democracy is noted by constitutional rule and it's interesting to note that longest lived Democracies were only around 200 hundred years old. There are things that do indicate if a constitutional Democracy is strong. They are;

Are the tenures of rulers kept short?
Does the Democracy blend the strengths of Monarchy and Aristocracy into its Constitution?
Is power limited?
Are Judges and Magistrates prohibited from accepting money for making decisions?
Does the Democracy have a large middle class?
Are citizens of the Democracy educated in law, history and the constitution?

Though there are certainly signs of decline with money's involvement in politics and some evidence of decline in the strength of our middle class and education the answer to all those questions is yes.

Therefore I feel optimistic about our Democracies future.
 
Therefore I feel optimistic about our Democracies future.
You have to admit, we live in very interesting times, politically.
There is absolutely no compromise by either party.
And nobody ever dreamed Trump would actually get elected. Like him or hate him, he heard from the electorate what no other pols heard.
 
There's an old Chemist joke. Pessimist (which includes dystopians) think the glass is half empty, optimist believe it is half full but the chemist knows the glass is completely full. Half full of water and half full of air.

I prefer the engineer joke: To the optimist, the glass is half full. To the pessimist, the glass is half empty. To the engineer, the glass is twice as big as it needed to be.
 
You should read The Machine Stops, it was written in 1909 and predicts television and the internet!!

Anybody who uses the Internet should read E.M. Forster's*The Machine Stops. It is a chilling, short story masterpiece about the role of technology in our lives. Written in 1909, it's as relevant today as the day it was published. Forster has several prescient notions including instant messages (email!) and cinematophoes (machines that project visual images)



http://archive.ncsa.illinois.edu/prajlich/forster.html


Sent from Lenovo K5 Note:
To piss off snowflakes, bottom feeders and racists
 
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