Guno צְבִי
We fight, We win, Am Yisrael Chai
The presidential election will pit the Democratic herald of a younger, more tolerant, multiracial America against a Republican tribune of white fear and grievance.
For Democrats, there is good news. The data suggests we may be moving toward the reassembly of the latest great Democratic congregation—the Obama coalition that captured the White House, the Senate, and the House in 2008.
It is much more diverse than Trump’s coalition—more liberal, coastal, educated, younger, single, dark-skinned, urban, and female. The GOP base is more Southern, married, older, male, and white (and ignorant).
Overall, the Democratic advantage among white men and women voters with college degrees has grown under Trump. Citing Pew Research Center polls, the authors note that in the 2014 midterm vote, the Democratic margin in this demographic was just 1 point. In 2016, it rose to 5 points, and shot up to 13 points in 2017. These increases—also cited in Identity Crisis—outpaced the Republican gains among whites with no college degree, and showed dramatic results in the 2018 midterms, when Democratic victories in the suburbs flipped the House of Representatives.
https://newrepublic.com/article/157173/2020-election-referendum-trumpism-white-grievance-politics
For Democrats, there is good news. The data suggests we may be moving toward the reassembly of the latest great Democratic congregation—the Obama coalition that captured the White House, the Senate, and the House in 2008.
It is much more diverse than Trump’s coalition—more liberal, coastal, educated, younger, single, dark-skinned, urban, and female. The GOP base is more Southern, married, older, male, and white (and ignorant).
Overall, the Democratic advantage among white men and women voters with college degrees has grown under Trump. Citing Pew Research Center polls, the authors note that in the 2014 midterm vote, the Democratic margin in this demographic was just 1 point. In 2016, it rose to 5 points, and shot up to 13 points in 2017. These increases—also cited in Identity Crisis—outpaced the Republican gains among whites with no college degree, and showed dramatic results in the 2018 midterms, when Democratic victories in the suburbs flipped the House of Representatives.
https://newrepublic.com/article/157173/2020-election-referendum-trumpism-white-grievance-politics