Brexit: What does Yellowhammer say about no-deal impact?
The government has released an assessment of the possible effects of a no-deal Brexit on the UK, after MPs demanded that it be made public.
Transport
What Yellowhammer document says:
Between 50-85% of UK lorries travelling to the EU may not be ready for French customs
Lack of readiness and limited space in French ports could cut HGV traffic by 40-60% and lead to disruption lasting three months
This would lead to significant queues in Kent. In a worst-case scenario, it could take lorries up to two-and-a-half days before being able to cross into France
Food
What Yellowhammer document says:
Certain types of fresh food supply will decrease
Key ingredients may be in shorter supply
There will not be an overall shortage of food in the UK, but may be reduced availability and choice
Prices may increase "which could impact vulnerable groups"
Healthcare
What Yellowhammer document says:
Supply chains for medicines and medical products are "particularly vulnerable" to disruption at the Channel ports
While some products can be stockpiled, others cannot because they have a short shelf life
It will not be practical to stockpile products to cover expected delays of up to six months
An increase in inflation would "significantly impact" adult social care providers and may lead to some failing, with smaller providers impacted within two-three months.
Energy
What Yellowhammer document says:
There will be no immediate disruption to electricity or gas supplies
However, there are likely to be significant price rises if the UK splits from the EU single energy market, which could happen months or years after Brexit
This could lead to some energy companies leaving the market
Public water supplies are likely to remain largely unaffected
Irish border
What Yellowhammer document says:
The government's planned short-term solution for the border is likely to be unsustainable because of the "economic, legal and biosecurity risks" it presents
Trade between Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic will be "severely disrupted"
Some businesses will stop trading, some will move and some will experience higher costs that they may pass on to customers
Agriculture will be hardest hit, leading to job losses, protests and direct action with road blockages
Growth of the "illegitimate economy" around the border "where criminal and dissident groups already operate"
Public order
What Yellowhammer document says:
Protests and counter-protests likely across the UK
May be a rise in public disorder and community tensions
Information-sharing between UK and EU law enforcement will be disrupted
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-47652280