Early polling of Biden’s State of the Union doesn’t quite match the hype

[volsrock]

It’s not so clear the American public saw the home run that they did.

Biden’s campaign and some media outlets have pointed to a post-speech instant CNN poll showing 65 percent of viewers offered a positive review of Biden’s speech. Viewers also shifted 17 points toward believing the country is headed in the right direction — from 45 percent the speech to 62 percent afterward.

Both of these are true. What’s also true is that State of the Union speeches almost always receive strongly favorable views, in part because viewership tends to draw disproportionately from their allies.



The 65 percent who had a positive view of the speech was actually lower than any such speech CNN has polled in the past quarter-century — the previous low being Donald Trump’s 2018 address (70 percent).

And the 35 percent who offered a “very” positive review was effectively tied with Biden’s speech last year (34 percent) for the lowest on record. The next lowest were Biden’s 2022 speech and George W. Bush’s 2007 speech, which each earned “very” positive marks from 41 percent of viewers.



https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/08/biden-state-of-the-union-polling/



lower than any such speech CNN has polled in the past quarter-century

 

[martin]

It's already changed the narrative and the narrative has been part of Biden's problem. Let's wait and see. Fivethirtyeight polling yesterday showed a sudden sharp rise in Trump's disapproval rating, pushing it above fifty percent.

 

[Port Tack]

It’s not so clear the American public saw the home run that they did.

Biden’s campaign and some media outlets have pointed to a post-speech instant CNN poll showing 65 percent of viewers offered a positive review of Biden’s speech. Viewers also shifted 17 points toward believing the country is headed in the right direction — from 45 percent the speech to 62 percent afterward.

Both of these are true. What’s also true is that State of the Union speeches almost always receive strongly favorable views, in part because viewership tends to draw disproportionately from their allies.



The 65 percent who had a positive view of the speech was actually lower than any such speech CNN has polled in the past quarter-century — the previous low being Donald Trump’s 2018 address (70 percent).

And the 35 percent who offered a “very” positive review was effectively tied with Biden’s speech last year (34 percent) for the lowest on record. The next lowest were Biden’s 2022 speech and George W. Bush’s 2007 speech, which each earned “very” positive marks from 41 percent of viewers.


lower than any such speech CNN has polled in the past quarter-century

You keep forgetting all those voters who say they don't like Biden but when asked "so, you voting for Trump?" say, No fucking way! Yes, lot's of people don't like electing someone 81 years old, that doesn't mean they will vote for Muammar Gaddafi.