Election news update

The Trump Administration

The Trump Administration

Official

Who Is Leading the Polls?​



Polling has shown that Kamala Harris has a significant lead among early voters. In a survey released Monday by USA Today and Suffolk University, the vice president was up 63 percent to 34 percent among those who have already voted.

Nearly equal amounts of registered Democrats and Republicans have voted early in several key battleground states.

In Georgia, 49 percent of all early votes have come from Republicans, while 46 percent have come from Democrats.

The gap was similar in Nevada (40 percent Democrat, 35 percent Republican) and North Carolina (36 percent Democrat, 33 percent Republican) as of Monday.

In Arizona, registered Republican voters are slightly outperforming Democrats, 44 percent to 35 percent.

Democrats are well ahead in Pennsylvania (67 percent to 27 percent), Minnesota (54 percent to 36 percent) and Wisconsin (40 percent to 19 percent).

The former president and his allies are already sowing doubt about the election to mount a challenge.



newsweek.com/2024-presidential-election-early-voting-harris-trump-1972555
 

​
Reuters –

In York, Pennsylvania, a man accosted a group of people rallying for Kamala Harris, punching a 74-year-old man in the head and calling another man a "n— supporter” as he fled.

Other high-profile incidents include three shootings in recent weeks at a Harris campaign office in Arizona.

The recent attacks were among at least 300 cases of political violence identified by Reuters since Trump’s supporters stormed the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, including at least 51 incidents this year.

With just two weeks to go before the Nov. 5 presidential election, these cases are part of the biggest and most sustained increase in U.S. political violence since the 1970s.

The pace of cases has remained remarkably consistent since beginning to rise in 2016, around the time of Trump’s first presidential run.

In 2021, which included the tumult that followed Trump’s efforts to overturn the 2020 election, there were 93 cases of political violence, followed by 79 in 2022, and 76 in 2023.

Trump often uses incendiary rhetoric, threatening to put his political enemies on trial and to deploy the military against the "radical left,” calling them "the enemy within.”

Trump himself has declined to rule out the possibility of violence if he loses in November.

When asked by Time magazine if he expected violence after the election, he said, "If we don’t win, you know, it depends.”

He has told supporters that a loss in this year’s race would be due to fraud.

The Trump campaign, when asked about the steady rise of political violence and the recent attacks against Harris supporters, provided a statement attacking Harris on immigration and criminal justice reform.


japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/10/22/world/politics/political-violence-cases-us-election/
 

With Election Day 2 Weeks Away, 15 Million Voters Have Already Cast a Ballot​



Early voting has become a broadly accepted part of American elections. But it is difficult to glean partisan advantage.



nytimes.com/2024/10/21/us/politics/2024-early-voting.html
 
Tbird19482 said:
The ONLY poll that really matters is the one they finish up with on Election day.
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Unlikely.

The Trump Administration

Thread 'Manage your expectations'

Election result could take weeks or even months to determine

Previous contests have taken days or even weeks to be called.

In 2000, when Al Gore and George W Bush competed for the White House, polling day was on Nov 7 but the election was not called until Dec 12.

It hinged on the result in Florida, where votes were subject to an automatic recount because of Mr Bush’s slim margin of victory.

The battle eventually ended in the Supreme Court, where justices voted to terminate the recount, prompting Mr Gore to concede shortly afterwards...
 
The Harris Administration said:
Unlikely.

The Trump Administration

Thread 'Manage your expectations'

Election result could take weeks or even months to determine

Previous contests have taken days or even weeks to be called.

In 2000, when Al Gore and George W Bush competed for the White House, polling day was on Nov 7 but the election was not called until Dec 12.

It hinged on the result in Florida, where votes were subject to an automatic recount because of Mr Bush’s slim margin of victory.

The battle eventually ended in the Supreme Court, where justices voted to terminate the recount, prompting Mr Gore to concede shortly afterwards...
Click to expand...
WHAT???
The only poll that matters is the Election and when you come right down to it Elections ARE just polls.
 
Tbird19482 said:
The ONLY poll that really matters is the one they finish up with on Election day.
Click to expand...

Agreed. In a lot of ways I'm getting really, really tired of the unending polls. I am not convinced they actually show us what the likely results will be. It's enough to simply know it's strangely a 50/50 shot right now. Don't know how we got here, I mean we were the country that made the atomic bomb, landed a man on the moon, and created the most amazing technology the world has ever seen, but somehow 50% of are going to vote for Trump.
 
Hawkeye10 said:
And just as much fiction it seems.
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I think the MAGA approach of poisoning the well before the election to set up a back-up plan if they lose is pretty smart. If you call into question the election at its very core you can ONLY trust the results that confirm YOUR wishes.

LIke all the folks in the 2020 election who thought Trump was shafted but mysteriously all the down-ballot selections they made on the same ballots came through OK.
 
Daylight63 said:
I think the MAGA approach of poisoning the well before the election to set up a back-up plan if they lose is pretty smart. If you call into question the election at its very core you can ONLY trust the results that confirm YOUR wishes.

LIke all the folks in the 2020 election who thought Trump was shafted but mysteriously all the down-ballot selections they made on the same ballots came through OK.
Click to expand...
FantasyLand is strong with you.

FUCK OFF...I have no use for your kind.
 
"I cant believe that for all those years we listened attentively to all of those lectures from the Americans....what the Hell were we thinking?"
 
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