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As most surveys show Obama and Romney locked in a virtual dead heat, Gallup finds that the Republican would win by a comfortable six percentage points if the election were held today.
Questions about the gap between Gallup's findings and those of other pollsters is the latest fuss this election season over polling methodology as partisan passions come to a boil in the heated final weeks before the November 6 presidential contest.
With a record of correctly predicting all but three of the 19 presidential races stretching back to 1936, Gallup is one of the most prestigious names in the business and its outlier status has other polling experts scratching their heads.
When Obama opened up a wide lead in polls last month, Republicans accused researchers of interviewing too many Democrats.
Those complaints evaporated when Romney surged ahead after his strong October 3 debate performance.
Republican strategist Karl Rove pointed out on that no candidate who has ever polled more than 50 percent in the Gallup poll at this point in a presidential race has gone on to lose the election. As it happens, Gallup had Romney at 51 percent that day.
The contrast between Gallup and other major polls is stark.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/20/us-usa-campaign-gallup-idUSBRE89J02720121020?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews&rpc=71&google_editors_picks=true
Questions about the gap between Gallup's findings and those of other pollsters is the latest fuss this election season over polling methodology as partisan passions come to a boil in the heated final weeks before the November 6 presidential contest.
With a record of correctly predicting all but three of the 19 presidential races stretching back to 1936, Gallup is one of the most prestigious names in the business and its outlier status has other polling experts scratching their heads.
When Obama opened up a wide lead in polls last month, Republicans accused researchers of interviewing too many Democrats.
Those complaints evaporated when Romney surged ahead after his strong October 3 debate performance.
Republican strategist Karl Rove pointed out on that no candidate who has ever polled more than 50 percent in the Gallup poll at this point in a presidential race has gone on to lose the election. As it happens, Gallup had Romney at 51 percent that day.
The contrast between Gallup and other major polls is stark.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/20/us-usa-campaign-gallup-idUSBRE89J02720121020?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews&rpc=71&google_editors_picks=true