Incomes and spending both slow in April

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Incomes and spending both slow in April

Friday May 30, 5:39 PM EDT

WASHINGTON (AP) — The first round of economic stimulus checks gave a boost to personal incomes in April but a huge question remains: Will people spend the checks quickly enough to keep the economy afloat?

The Commerce Department reported Friday that consumer spending barely budged in April, rising a tiny 0.2 percent, and income growth was just as weak, increasing a similar 0.2 percent.

The growth in incomes, restrained by four straight months of job losses, would have been just 0.1 percent had it not been for the first wave of economic stimulus payments the government started sending out April 28.

The impact on incomes should be even larger in the May and June reports, reflecting the bulk of the payments. The Treasury Department reported Friday that so far, 57.4 million payments have been made totaling $50.04 billion, nearly half of the $106.7 billion that will be disbursed this year to 130 million households.

The checks are the centerpiece of a $168 billion stimulus package that Congress passed at President Bush's urging in February with the aim of jump-starting the stalled economy. Analysts said whether they keep the economy out of a recession will depend on how fast people spend the money.

"It will be impressive if consumers can manage to hold on given all the headwinds they are facing," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com. "Nothing is going right. Jobs are down, the stock market is wobbly, home prices are plunging and gasoline prices are at record highs."

All the problems have pushed consumer confidence to recessionary levels. The Reuters/University of Michigan survey of consumer sentiment dropped for a fourth straight month in May, hitting a 28-year low of 59.8, down from a reading of 62.6 in April. The May level was the lowest since June 1980, when Jimmy Carter was in the White House

http://finance.myway.com/jsp/nw/nwdt_rt.jsp?section=news&feed=ap&src=601&news_id=ap-d91079d00&date=20080530
 
Think it's bad now? Wait and see what happens when Obama gets his way with capital gains and dividends taxes, protectionist trade laws, etc.
 
Think it's bad now? Wait and see what happens when Obama gets his way with capital gains and dividends taxes, protectionist trade laws, etc.

What's this? Fear mongering? I thought that's what liberals did. Protectionism is good, maybe some americans will get jobs.
 
What's this? Fear mongering? I thought that's what liberals did. Protectionism is good, maybe some americans will get jobs.
Protectionist trade laws were tried in the late 70s in response to very similar economic woes we see today, including sudden, sharp increase in gasoline prices. They failed miserably.

Targeting investment income for high tax rates was also tried at that time. If Obama starts talking about controlling gas prices, he'll be 3 for 3 of the major failed economic policies of the Carter administration - and will end with the same results. Some of those results we still deal with today. It was because of the high inflation rates that laws were changed to allow high interest rates. Companies still charge those high rates - especially to those who can least afford it - even though inflation came back down.

In fact it probably won't take 3 for 3 to get there again. 2 of 3 of those policies will be plenty considering the current state of the economy.

Double digit unemployment hurts lower wage jobs the most. Double digit inflation hurts everyone, but hurts the poor and retired the most. Both result in more of what democrats have been complaining about the entire Bush administration: an increase in the differential between the wealthy and the poor.

I'd prefer to avoid that scene a second time.
 
It is gonna suck worse before and after Obama gets in there.
Deep groundwork has already been done.
but of course it will all be Obamas fault :D
 
It is gonna suck worse before and after Obama gets in there.
Deep groundwork has already been done.
but of course it will all be Obamas fault :D
Undoubtedly there are those who will put the blame on Obama, just as there are those currently putting the blame on Bush. Like you say, deep groundwork has already been done. Deficit spending has been both practiced by and encouraged in the populace by our government since the end of WWII.

But there are actions which could (minimally) mitigate some of the coming economic adjustment. There are, potentially, some actions which could temporarily make things better, but at the expense of having to face economic readjustment down the line. And there are actions which will make things worse at a time when things will be bad enough on their own.

Based on comparing current economic conditions to economic conditions in the late 70s, and the similarity of some of Obama's proposals to what happened in the 70s, his are the actions which will makes things worse than they have to be.
 
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