Dixie - In Memoriam
New member
I've been crunching some numbers on the Iraq war lately, and I derived a startling conclusion. This war in Iraq, is al Qaeda's Vietnam. When you look at the number of alQaeda who have been killed or captured since the invasion, and compare it with the total number of alQaeda forces in the 'field of battle', it is remarkably similar to the ratio of fatalities we encountered during Vietnam. Not only that, but alQaeda has no 'base of support' or headquarters, like Saigon, to effectively control any aspect of the war. Unlike the incompetent Democratic administration which botched it in Vietnam, alQaeda is very intelligent and has compensated for the lack of military might, but they have encountered enormous losses, particularly in the area of field generals and leadership. In spite of haranguing from the left, the US and coalition forces, have managed to defeat alQaeda in every battle, and fully control most areas of the country, while eliminating the majority of effective alQaeda cells. Compound these losses with al Qaeda's losses in other theaters, and they have certainly been dealt a blow to their overall strength.
Iraq is al Qaeda's Vietnam, it is quickly becoming a quagmire they can't win, and they are reaching a point of not being able to withstand further losses. Recruitment might be on the rise, but in Vietnam, we had a draft, so fresh bodies were never an issue, it was the carnage of war... families concerned about their loved ones, or tired of grieving over the dead loves ones... Humanity kicked in, and people just wanted the killing to stop. Now, granted, alQaeda is a little short on Humanity, and it might take them longer to reach the point that we reached in Vietnam, but the power of humanity is inescapable, and sooner or later they will decide that Iraq is just not worth "winning" and they would do better to cut their losses and withdraw.
Iraq is al Qaeda's Vietnam, it is quickly becoming a quagmire they can't win, and they are reaching a point of not being able to withstand further losses. Recruitment might be on the rise, but in Vietnam, we had a draft, so fresh bodies were never an issue, it was the carnage of war... families concerned about their loved ones, or tired of grieving over the dead loves ones... Humanity kicked in, and people just wanted the killing to stop. Now, granted, alQaeda is a little short on Humanity, and it might take them longer to reach the point that we reached in Vietnam, but the power of humanity is inescapable, and sooner or later they will decide that Iraq is just not worth "winning" and they would do better to cut their losses and withdraw.