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Viral Loads In COVID-19 Infected Patients Drop, Along With Death Rate
he severity of COVID-19 — and the viral loads those infected carry — may be fading.
Researchers at Wayne State University say that viral loads, which is the amount of the virus in a patient’s system, continue to drop, which could explain why the death rate is falling.
“Dr. Said El Zein and his team analyzed viral loads of SARS-CoV-2, the virus causing COVID-19, coming from patient nasal swabs over two months,” Study Finds reported on Sunday. “From April 4 to June 5, a downward trend in the amount of virus detected in patients at Detroit Medical Center was discovered.”
To estimate the viral loads coming from nasopharyngeal swabs, study authors use a cycle threshold (Ct) value that comes from the tests on these samples. A higher Ct means a sample has less SARS-CoV-2 in it. Their scale rates a high viral load [VL] as a Ct of 25 and under, intermediate loads as a Ct between 26-36, and low viral loads as a Ct over 37.
During the week of April 4, just under half (49%) of COVID-19 patients had an intermediate viral load (VL). Low and high VL counts both came in at 25.5 percent of the patient samples.
By the fifth week of the study, El Zein said, 70 percent of positive COVID-19 swabs fell into the low VL category. That, in turn, coincided with a decrease in patient deaths, the doctor said.
“Researchers say 45 percent of patients in the high VL group died from the virus. This number falls to 32 percent for COVID-19 patients with intermediate loads and 14 percent for the low VL group,” Study Finds reported.
There have been other reports about “viral loads.” The most used test to determine if someone has COVID-19, known as a PCR test, is either positive or negative, that’s it. But the test does not identify the viral load — the greater the amount of virus, the more likely it is that the patient is contagious or may get severely ill.
“In three sets of testing data that include cycle thresholds, compiled by officials in Massachusetts, New York and Nevada, up to 90 percent of people testing positive carried barely any virus,” The failing New York Times admitted in August after conducting a review of data.
Apoorva Mandavilli, the reporter who wrote the piece, said on Twitter: “NEW: All these months into the pandemic, we may have been testing the wrong way. Data from some state labs suggest up to 90% (!!) of people who get a positive result are no longer contagious and don’t need to isolate.”
“It turns out that the PCR, that old reliable workhorse, is both too slow and too sensitive for what we need. And it all hinges on a metric called the ‘cycle threshold,’” she wrote in another post.
The current PCR test analyzes genetic matter from the virus using 37 or 40 cycles, but health experts say that is too high because it detects even small amounts of the virus that pose no risk of contagion.
“Tests with thresholds so high may detect not just live virus but also genetic fragments, leftovers from infection that pose no particular risk — akin to finding a hair in a room long after a person has left,” Dr. Michael Mina, an epidemiologist at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, told the paper.
https://www.dailywire.com/news/viral-loads-in-covid-19-infected-patients-drop-along-with-death-rate-study-finds?%3
he severity of COVID-19 — and the viral loads those infected carry — may be fading.
Researchers at Wayne State University say that viral loads, which is the amount of the virus in a patient’s system, continue to drop, which could explain why the death rate is falling.
“Dr. Said El Zein and his team analyzed viral loads of SARS-CoV-2, the virus causing COVID-19, coming from patient nasal swabs over two months,” Study Finds reported on Sunday. “From April 4 to June 5, a downward trend in the amount of virus detected in patients at Detroit Medical Center was discovered.”
To estimate the viral loads coming from nasopharyngeal swabs, study authors use a cycle threshold (Ct) value that comes from the tests on these samples. A higher Ct means a sample has less SARS-CoV-2 in it. Their scale rates a high viral load [VL] as a Ct of 25 and under, intermediate loads as a Ct between 26-36, and low viral loads as a Ct over 37.
During the week of April 4, just under half (49%) of COVID-19 patients had an intermediate viral load (VL). Low and high VL counts both came in at 25.5 percent of the patient samples.
By the fifth week of the study, El Zein said, 70 percent of positive COVID-19 swabs fell into the low VL category. That, in turn, coincided with a decrease in patient deaths, the doctor said.
“Researchers say 45 percent of patients in the high VL group died from the virus. This number falls to 32 percent for COVID-19 patients with intermediate loads and 14 percent for the low VL group,” Study Finds reported.
There have been other reports about “viral loads.” The most used test to determine if someone has COVID-19, known as a PCR test, is either positive or negative, that’s it. But the test does not identify the viral load — the greater the amount of virus, the more likely it is that the patient is contagious or may get severely ill.
“In three sets of testing data that include cycle thresholds, compiled by officials in Massachusetts, New York and Nevada, up to 90 percent of people testing positive carried barely any virus,” The failing New York Times admitted in August after conducting a review of data.
Apoorva Mandavilli, the reporter who wrote the piece, said on Twitter: “NEW: All these months into the pandemic, we may have been testing the wrong way. Data from some state labs suggest up to 90% (!!) of people who get a positive result are no longer contagious and don’t need to isolate.”
“It turns out that the PCR, that old reliable workhorse, is both too slow and too sensitive for what we need. And it all hinges on a metric called the ‘cycle threshold,’” she wrote in another post.
The current PCR test analyzes genetic matter from the virus using 37 or 40 cycles, but health experts say that is too high because it detects even small amounts of the virus that pose no risk of contagion.
“Tests with thresholds so high may detect not just live virus but also genetic fragments, leftovers from infection that pose no particular risk — akin to finding a hair in a room long after a person has left,” Dr. Michael Mina, an epidemiologist at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, told the paper.
https://www.dailywire.com/news/viral-loads-in-covid-19-infected-patients-drop-along-with-death-rate-study-finds?%3
NYPD line-of-duty injuries skyrocket amid "93% peaceful" anti-police protests
At least 472 NYPD cops across all ranks have been injured responding to riots and protests since May 28, department data shows.
Officers have been shot at, stabbed, assaulted with rocks, bricks, struck by vehicles and had Molotov cocktails hurled at them.
Of those injured, 319 cops required hospital treatment.
The 472 hurt cops contributed to 7,528 NYPD line-of-duty injuries so far in 2020, up 47 percent from the 5,133 in 2019, NYPD data through Sept. 24 reveals.
https://nypost.com/2020/09/26/nypd-line-of-duty-injuries-soar-amid-violent-anti-police-protests/
At least 472 NYPD cops across all ranks have been injured responding to riots and protests since May 28, department data shows.
Officers have been shot at, stabbed, assaulted with rocks, bricks, struck by vehicles and had Molotov cocktails hurled at them.
Of those injured, 319 cops required hospital treatment.
The 472 hurt cops contributed to 7,528 NYPD line-of-duty injuries so far in 2020, up 47 percent from the 5,133 in 2019, NYPD data through Sept. 24 reveals.
https://nypost.com/2020/09/26/nypd-line-of-duty-injuries-soar-amid-violent-anti-police-protests/
cancel2 2022
Canceled
It's true indeed, but you'll never get the many lefty loonys on here to acknowledge that. They are out to get Trump even if it means putting a smile man in the White House.
https://www.sciencetimes.com/articles/27182/20200905/positive-covid-19-test-results-accurate.htm
Meanwhile Israel has developed a test that detect the virus by scent in 39 seconds.
https://www.sciencetimes.com/articl...-detects-covid-19-smelling-persons-breath.htm
https://www.sciencetimes.com/articles/27182/20200905/positive-covid-19-test-results-accurate.htm
Meanwhile Israel has developed a test that detect the virus by scent in 39 seconds.
https://www.sciencetimes.com/articl...-detects-covid-19-smelling-persons-breath.htm
They don't care.
Malcolm X was a minister and human rights activist. He met his death at the hands of an assassin in 1965. Malcolm X was a courageous advocate for black civil rights, but unlike Martin Luther King, he was not that forgiving of whites for their crimes against black Americans. He did not eschew violence as a tool to achieve civil and human rights. His black and white detractors accused him of preaching racism and violence. Despite the controversy, he has been called one of the greatest and most influential black Americans.
Many black Americans have great respect for Malcolm X. Many schools bear his name, and many streets have been renamed in honor of him, both at home and abroad. But while black Americans honor Malcolm X, one of his basic teachings goes largely ignored. I think it’s an important lesson, so I will quote a large part of it.
Malcolm X said: “The worst enemy that the Negro have is this white man that runs around here drooling at the mouth professing to love Negros and calling himself a liberal, and it is following these white liberals that has perpetuated problems that Negros have. If the Negro wasn’t taken, tricked or deceived by the white liberal, then Negros would get together and solve our own problems. I only cite these things to show you that in America, the history of the white liberal has been nothing but a series of trickery designed to make Negros think that the white liberal was going to solve our problems. Our problems will never be solved by the white man.”
There’s a historical tidbit that those much younger than I are ignorant of. In black history, we have been called — and called ourselves — several different names.
Among the more respectable have been “colored,” “Negro,” “black,” “Afro-American” and “African-American.” Mrs. Viola Meekins, when I was a student at Stoddart-Fleisher Junior High School in the late 1940s, had our class go page by page through a textbook and correct each instance in which Negro was printed with a lowercase “n.” In Malcolm X’s day, and mine, Negro was a proud name and not used derisively by blacks as it is today.
Malcolm X was absolutely right about our finding solutions to our own problems.
The most devastating problems that black people face today have absolutely nothing to do with our history of slavery and discrimination. Chief among them is the breakdown of the black family, wherein 75 percent of blacks are born to single, often young, mothers. In some cities and neighborhoods, the percentage of out-of-wedlock births is over 80. Actually, “breakdown” is the wrong term; the black family doesn’t form in the first place. This is entirely new among blacks.
According to the 1938 Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences, that year only 11 percent of black children were born to unwed mothers.
As late as 1950, female-headed households constituted only 18 percent of the black population.
Today it’s close to 70 percent.
In much earlier times, during the late 1800s, there were only slight differences between the black family structure and those of other ethnic groups.
In New York City in 1925, 85 percent of kin-related black households were two-parent households.
Welfare has encouraged young women to have children out of wedlock. The social stigma once associated with unwed pregnancy is all but gone. Plus, “shotgun” weddings are a thing of the past. That was when male members of a girl’s family made the boy who got her pregnant live up to his responsibilities.
The high crime rates in so many black communities impose huge personal costs and have turned once-thriving communities into economic wastelands.
The Ku Klux Klan couldn’t sabotage chances for black academic excellence more effectively than the public school system in most cities.
Politics and white liberals will not solve these and other problems. As Malcolm X said, “our problems will never be solved by the white man.”
https://www.thetimesnews.com/opinion/20190104/editorial-blacks-biggest-enemy-is-white-liberal
