Mark my Words Romney 52% Obama 47% final
- Thread starter SJJRSJJS
- Start date
Rationalist
Hail Voltaire
51.4% / 295EV Romney
47.5% / 243EV Obama
1.1% Other
Romney will take NH, VA, CO, WI, and IA...and of course OH. Obama will take MN, MI, and NV.
PA remains a tossup. I watched a Romney speech in PA tonight and the turnout was huge and enthusiastic. I think the momentum is building for Romney in PA, but there may not be sufficient time to pull off a win. We'll see. One thng is for sure - I will be keeping my eyes on PA as the polls close.
Romney will win Ohio with a minimum of 50.25% to Obama's maximum of 47.75%, with probably around 1% for third party candidates. I'm basing this on 2010 exit polls, the fact that Romney leads by at least 6 points amongst independents, and subtracting 0.6% from Romney and 0.4% from Obama to account for third party candidates. I'm also leaving out several pro-Romney factors, like higher overall enthusiasm amongst Republican voters and population declines in urban centers.
47.5% / 243EV Obama
1.1% Other
Romney will take NH, VA, CO, WI, and IA...and of course OH. Obama will take MN, MI, and NV.
PA remains a tossup. I watched a Romney speech in PA tonight and the turnout was huge and enthusiastic. I think the momentum is building for Romney in PA, but there may not be sufficient time to pull off a win. We'll see. One thng is for sure - I will be keeping my eyes on PA as the polls close.
Romney will win Ohio with a minimum of 50.25% to Obama's maximum of 47.75%, with probably around 1% for third party candidates. I'm basing this on 2010 exit polls, the fact that Romney leads by at least 6 points amongst independents, and subtracting 0.6% from Romney and 0.4% from Obama to account for third party candidates. I'm also leaving out several pro-Romney factors, like higher overall enthusiasm amongst Republican voters and population declines in urban centers.
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SJJRSJJS
Verified User
You and I see the light, but Libs think differently. Listen to Allan Colms on Fox, no matter what fact you present to him, he tries to spin it, his irrational brain has been fried to many times in LSD.
signalmankenneth
Verified User
Blowing smoke up your ass?
$10,000 bet, you're blowing smoke up your ass? (52%/47%)
After reading these posts, I feel that the Board Libs are talking out of their hats about Obama winning. The Libs know down deep that Obama will lose, I know it and you Libs know it is what it is. Of course, that depends on what the meaning of "IS" is.
$10,000 bet, you're blowing smoke up your ass? (52%/47%)
Althea
Althea told me...
Well, then...I guess we can ignore your prediction.
And Romney may very well get over 50% of the popular vote.
He still loses.
DamnYankee
Loyal to the end
Anyone want to bet how many libs commit suicide on Wednesday?
SJJRSJJS
Verified User
$10,000 bet, you're blowing smoke up your ass? (52%/47%)
After I collect my long standing bet with Zappy, then we can talk, butt Zappy lost a bet to me and never even attempted to pay up, he just "B" itch ed for a week about how he thought that he(ZAPPY) had won, so can I trust you? Anyway I will give you an entire Crow pie on Wednesday, that is if Zappy does not eat it first. Zappy is an eating machine, he told me once on the Rate Bush Board that he had downed 3 Big Macs a Large Frie, a Strawberry Malt and a large coke, refilled 4 times, and was still thinking about ordering a Extra Large Pepperoni Pizza and have it delivered.
cawacko
Well-known member
Then you haven't been paying attention or not reading their threads.
cawacko
Well-known member
Yeah dude, I'm going to go through thousands of post over the past month to find them. I can't help you if you weren't paying attention to them.
I see.
Airstrip One
Completely Effed
Not enough.
canceled.2021.1
#AMERICAISDEAD
Not enough
Cancel 2016.11
Darla
I don't think that's totally true Jarod. I agree that no one can be "so sure" who is going to win, but predicting an Obama win and being right would be far more than odd chance. Predicting a Romney win and being right would be an odd chance.
Electorally Obama is the heavy favorite to win this. That does not mean for one second Romney can't win, he can. He just has a much narrower path. I would not say that it's for sure Obama is going to win, of course not.
But I have taken screen shots of damnedinbredyankee wondering how many libs are going to kill themselves on wednesday, and 3D and alias both having the same response "not enough". I don't know of any libs who have wondered how many cons were going to kill themselves wednesday or any who have said that no matter how many do it won't be enough of them dead.
So those screen shots will be around in case anyone deletes those posts. And there are NO liberal equivalents.
Mott the Hoople
Sweet Jane
If Obama wins tomorow I'm just going to post a headline about it with a smile. I won't need to needle the wingnuts anymore than that....probably will though. 
PostmodernProphet
fully immersed in faith..
lol, two weeks ago it was you.....