Nearly Half Of Americans Surveyed Say Trump Is Corrupt As Approval Slides In New UMass Poll

鬼百合

One day we will wake to his obituary :-)

Trump’s job approval rating has taken a major hit since spring, sliding six points and now sitting 20 points underwater, according to a national survey conducted by the University of Massachusetts Amherst.


The poll, involving 1,000 adults nationwide and conducted between Friday, July 25 and Wednesday, July 30, found that only 38 percent of Americans approve of Trump’s performance, compared to 58 percent who disapprove.

In April, Trump’s approval stood at 44 approving, 51 percent disapproving, buoyed in part by support for his immigration agenda.

That support has since eroded: just 41 percent now approve of his handling of immigration, down from 50 percent four months ago.

In a broad breakdown of policy areas, Trump now holds net-negative approval ratings on jobs (37-55), inflation (31-63), civil rights (32-58), tariffs (31-63), and natural disasters (37-53).

Even on immigration — long considered his stronghold — he’s underwater by 13 points.

The survey also reveals significant slippage among voters once considered reliably pro-Trump. Among men, approval has dropped from 48 percent in April to 39 percent.

And among independents — a crucial swing voting bloc — support has cratered, falling from 31 percent to 21 percent.

But one of the most politically potent developments may be public opinion surrounding Trump’s handling of the Jeffrey Epstein case.

The poll found that 70 percent of Americans believe Trump has mishandled the scandal, and 63 percent believe his administration is hiding information.

In total, 81 percent of respondents blame Trump personally for concealing key Epstein-related documents.

The poll also explored broader public sentiment around Trump’s honesty and transparency.

Nearly half of respondents (49 percent) said Trump is “very dishonest,” and 45 percent said he is “very corrupt.” Just 23 percent said the president is “very transparent.”

Despite these troubling signs, Trump retains core support: 58 percent of respondents said they still view him as a “strong” leader, and more than 85 percent of 2024 Trump voters said they would cast the same vote again.

Still, the poll director noted the warning signs are growing.

“Six months into his second term as president, Donald Trump looks to be on the ropes with the American public,” says Tatishe Nteta, provost professor of political science at UMass Amherst and director of the poll. “Trump’s approval ratings, already historically low for a newly elected president, continue to sink with close to six-in-10 Americans (58 precent) expressing disapproval of the job that Trump is doing in office.

"While Trump remains a popular figure among Republicans and conservatives, Trump’s time in office is viewed more negatively across genders, generations, classes and races, with majorities of each of these groups disapproving of Trump’s performance.

"With over three years left in the Trump administration, there is still time for him to right the ship and fulfill the promises that catapulted him to the presidency, but the president is not off to the start he or his supporters envisioned.”
 
Trump should be down to 3% or 4% approval ratings by now...and that only if institutionalized mental patients are included in the polled population. The fact that more than 10% rate him favorably says terrible things about our population.
 

Trump’s job approval rating has taken a major hit since spring, sliding six points and now sitting 20 points underwater, according to a national survey conducted by the University of Massachusetts Amherst.


The poll, involving 1,000 adults nationwide and conducted between Friday, July 25 and Wednesday, July 30, found that only 38 percent of Americans approve of Trump’s performance, compared to 58 percent who disapprove.

In April, Trump’s approval stood at 44 approving, 51 percent disapproving, buoyed in part by support for his immigration agenda.

That support has since eroded: just 41 percent now approve of his handling of immigration, down from 50 percent four months ago.

In a broad breakdown of policy areas, Trump now holds net-negative approval ratings on jobs (37-55), inflation (31-63), civil rights (32-58), tariffs (31-63), and natural disasters (37-53).

Even on immigration — long considered his stronghold — he’s underwater by 13 points.

The survey also reveals significant slippage among voters once considered reliably pro-Trump. Among men, approval has dropped from 48 percent in April to 39 percent.

And among independents — a crucial swing voting bloc — support has cratered, falling from 31 percent to 21 percent.

But one of the most politically potent developments may be public opinion surrounding Trump’s handling of the Jeffrey Epstein case.

The poll found that 70 percent of Americans believe Trump has mishandled the scandal, and 63 percent believe his administration is hiding information.

In total, 81 percent of respondents blame Trump personally for concealing key Epstein-related documents.

The poll also explored broader public sentiment around Trump’s honesty and transparency.

Nearly half of respondents (49 percent) said Trump is “very dishonest,” and 45 percent said he is “very corrupt.” Just 23 percent said the president is “very transparent.”

Despite these troubling signs, Trump retains core support: 58 percent of respondents said they still view him as a “strong” leader, and more than 85 percent of 2024 Trump voters said they would cast the same vote again.

Still, the poll director noted the warning signs are growing.

“Six months into his second term as president, Donald Trump looks to be on the ropes with the American public,” says Tatishe Nteta, provost professor of political science at UMass Amherst and director of the poll. “Trump’s approval ratings, already historically low for a newly elected president, continue to sink with close to six-in-10 Americans (58 precent) expressing disapproval of the job that Trump is doing in office.

"While Trump remains a popular figure among Republicans and conservatives, Trump’s time in office is viewed more negatively across genders, generations, classes and races, with majorities of each of these groups disapproving of Trump’s performance.

"With over three years left in the Trump administration, there is still time for him to right the ship and fulfill the promises that catapulted him to the presidency, but the president is not off to the start he or his supporters envisioned.”
I tried to look up the actual data used in this poll to no luck. I suspect that it is heavily biased as the polling group is the political science department at UM Amherst that hews hard to the Left. But without their actual data--and most of what is available is just academic gobbledygook it's not possible to tell how biased or unbiased it is.


This University of Massachusetts Amherst Poll of 1,000 respondents nationally was conducted by YouGov July 25-30. YouGov interviewed 1,057 total respondents who were then matched down to a sample of 1,000 to produce the final dataset. The frame was constructed by stratified sampling from the full 2023 American Community Survey (ACS) one-year sample with selection within strata by weighted sampling with replacements (using the person weights on the public use file).

The matched cases were weighted to the sampling frame using propensity scores. The matched cases and the frame were combined, and a logistic regression was estimated for inclusion in the frame. The propensity score function included age, gender, race/ethnicity, years of education, region, and home ownership. The propensity scores were grouped into deciles of the estimated propensity score in the frame and post-stratified according to these deciles.

The weights were then post-stratified on 2020 and 2024 presidential vote choice as ranked on gender, age (4-categories), race (4-categories) and education (4-categories), to produce the final weight. The demographic marginals and their interlockings were based on the sample frame. The marginal distribution of 2020 presidential vote choice and its demographic interlockings were based on a politically representative “modeled frame” of US adults, using the 2019 American Community Survey (ACS) public use microdata file, public voter file records, the 2020 Current Population Survey (CPS) Voting and Registration supplements, the 2020 National Election Pool (NEP) exit poll, and the 2020 CES surveys, including demographics and 2020 presidential vote.

That jargon and academic drivel is what they say about the poll's methodology. Nowhere I can find do they link the actual data they supposedly used for it.
 
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