Published: March 23, 2012
Off the Charts: Among the Best Presidents or the Worst, in Economic Terms
Measured by stock market performance since he entered office, President Obama’s administration has been among the most successful of the last hundred years. Measured by economic growth, it ranks near the bottom. The charts show the changes in gross domestic product for the first three years of each administration, and in the stock market from Inauguration Day through March 20 of the next election year. All figures are adjusted for inflation and annualized.
PERFORMANCE DURING EACH PRESIDENTIAL TERM SINCE 1913
Stock market return
F. D. Roosevelt 1ST TERM
1933-36
+32.8%
Eisenhower 1ST TERM
1953-56
+21.6
Clinton 2ND TERM
1997-00
+19.2
Coolidge
1925-28
+18.2
Obama
2009-12
+16.4
Wilson 1ST TERM
1913-16
+12.4
Reagan 2ND TERM
1985-88
+12.0
Truman
1949-52
+11.4
Harding-Coolidge
1921-24
+10.8
Clinton 1ST TERM
1993-96
+10.5
Kennedy-Johnson
1961-64
+7.8
G.H.W. Bush
1989-92
+7.2
Eisenhower 2ND TERM
1957-60
+4.7
Reagan 1ST TERM
1981-84
+0.7
G.W. Bush 2ND TERM
2005-08
+0.3
F. D. Roosevelt 3RD TERM
1941-44
–1.8
Johnson
1965-68
–2.1
Nixon
1969-72
–2.9
Roosevelt-Truman
1945-48
–6.4
G.W. Bush 1ST TERM
2001-04
–7.8
Carter
1977-80
–9.4
F. D. Roosevelt 2ND TERM
1937-40
–11.2
Wilson 2ND TERM
1917-20
–12.2
Nixon-Ford
1973-76
–12.9
Hoover
1929-32
–27.1
Change in gross domestic product
F. D. Roosevelt 3RD TERM
1941-43
+17.3%
F. D. Roosevelt 1ST TERM
1933-35
+6.0
Truman
1949-51
+5.5
Harding-Coolidge
1921-23
+5.4
Kennedy-Johnson
1961-63
+5.2
Johnson
1965-67
+5.1
Clinton 2ND TERM
1997-99
+4.7
Carter
1977-79
+4.3
Reagan 2ND TERM
1985-87
+3.8
Coolidge
1925-27
+3.4
Eisenhower 1ST TERM
1953-55
+3.2
F. D. Roosevelt 2ND TERM
1937-39
+3.1
Clinton 1ST TERM
1993-95
+3.0
Eisenhower 2ND TERM
1957-59
+2.5
G.W. Bush 2ND TERM
2005-07
+2.5
Reagan 1ST TERM
1981-83
+2.4
Wilson 2ND TERM
1917-19
+2.2
Nixon 1ST TERM
1969-71
+2.1
G.W. Bush 1ST TERM
2001-03
+2.1
Nixon-Ford
1973-75
+1.5
G.H.W. Bush
1989-91
+1.4
Obama
2009-11
+1.4
Wilson 1ST TERM
1913-15
–0.6
Hoover
1929-31
–3.0
Roosevelt-Truman
1945-47
–4.4
Note: The stock returns are based on the Dow Jones industrial average until 1928 and the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index after that. The calculations do not include dividends and are adjusted for changes in the Consumer Price Index. G.D.P. figures for all administrations since 1948 are based on changes from the fourth quarter of the election year through the fourth quarter of the year before the next election. G.D.P. figures for earlier terms are based on annual, rather than quarterly figures.
Off the Charts: Among the Best Presidents or the Worst, in Economic Terms
Measured by stock market performance since he entered office, President Obama’s administration has been among the most successful of the last hundred years. Measured by economic growth, it ranks near the bottom. The charts show the changes in gross domestic product for the first three years of each administration, and in the stock market from Inauguration Day through March 20 of the next election year. All figures are adjusted for inflation and annualized.
PERFORMANCE DURING EACH PRESIDENTIAL TERM SINCE 1913
Stock market return
F. D. Roosevelt 1ST TERM
1933-36
+32.8%
Eisenhower 1ST TERM
1953-56
+21.6
Clinton 2ND TERM
1997-00
+19.2
Coolidge
1925-28
+18.2
Obama
2009-12
+16.4
Wilson 1ST TERM
1913-16
+12.4
Reagan 2ND TERM
1985-88
+12.0
Truman
1949-52
+11.4
Harding-Coolidge
1921-24
+10.8
Clinton 1ST TERM
1993-96
+10.5
Kennedy-Johnson
1961-64
+7.8
G.H.W. Bush
1989-92
+7.2
Eisenhower 2ND TERM
1957-60
+4.7
Reagan 1ST TERM
1981-84
+0.7
G.W. Bush 2ND TERM
2005-08
+0.3
F. D. Roosevelt 3RD TERM
1941-44
–1.8
Johnson
1965-68
–2.1
Nixon
1969-72
–2.9
Roosevelt-Truman
1945-48
–6.4
G.W. Bush 1ST TERM
2001-04
–7.8
Carter
1977-80
–9.4
F. D. Roosevelt 2ND TERM
1937-40
–11.2
Wilson 2ND TERM
1917-20
–12.2
Nixon-Ford
1973-76
–12.9
Hoover
1929-32
–27.1
Change in gross domestic product
F. D. Roosevelt 3RD TERM
1941-43
+17.3%
F. D. Roosevelt 1ST TERM
1933-35
+6.0
Truman
1949-51
+5.5
Harding-Coolidge
1921-23
+5.4
Kennedy-Johnson
1961-63
+5.2
Johnson
1965-67
+5.1
Clinton 2ND TERM
1997-99
+4.7
Carter
1977-79
+4.3
Reagan 2ND TERM
1985-87
+3.8
Coolidge
1925-27
+3.4
Eisenhower 1ST TERM
1953-55
+3.2
F. D. Roosevelt 2ND TERM
1937-39
+3.1
Clinton 1ST TERM
1993-95
+3.0
Eisenhower 2ND TERM
1957-59
+2.5
G.W. Bush 2ND TERM
2005-07
+2.5
Reagan 1ST TERM
1981-83
+2.4
Wilson 2ND TERM
1917-19
+2.2
Nixon 1ST TERM
1969-71
+2.1
G.W. Bush 1ST TERM
2001-03
+2.1
Nixon-Ford
1973-75
+1.5
G.H.W. Bush
1989-91
+1.4
Obama
2009-11
+1.4
Wilson 1ST TERM
1913-15
–0.6
Hoover
1929-31
–3.0
Roosevelt-Truman
1945-47
–4.4
Note: The stock returns are based on the Dow Jones industrial average until 1928 and the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index after that. The calculations do not include dividends and are adjusted for changes in the Consumer Price Index. G.D.P. figures for all administrations since 1948 are based on changes from the fourth quarter of the election year through the fourth quarter of the year before the next election. G.D.P. figures for earlier terms are based on annual, rather than quarterly figures.