Oil prices are falling fast. Here's why

dukkha

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Oil prices surged to their highest level in over three years last week, and strategists were marveling that prices had shot up so quickly. Now prices are slumping.

US crude oil futures have dropped by nearly 10% to trade around $66.50 per barrel, down from about $73 last week. Global benchmark Brent crude oil has dropped by about 6% to trade around $76, after peaking above $80.

The sharp price decline was triggered on Friday by Saudi Arabia, the biggest oil exporter in the world and de facto leader of oil cartel OPEC. Saudi energy minister Khalid Al-Falih said during a CNN-hosted panel in St. Petersburg, Russia, that he was in intensive discussions with Russia and other OPEC nations to pump more oil to ease global supply concerns.

OPEC oil producers and Russia are due to meet in Vienna on June 22 to discuss easing self-imposed supply caps, which have been in place since 2017.

"It is the intent of all producers to ensure that the oil market remains healthy, and if that means adjusting our policy in June, we are certainly prepared to do it," Al-Falih said.

Al-Falih said OPEC and Russia could supply more oil to world markets "in the near future" to make up for a collapse in Venezuelan output and the impact of US sanctions on Iran.

The downward pressure on oil continued on Monday as traders considered data showing a jump in the number of US oil rigs, indicating potential growth in US production.

US crude production has increased by about 25% since mid-2016 as producers look to capitalize on rising prices.

Oilfield services firm Baker Hughes released data on Friday showing the rig count in North America hit its highest level of the year last week. The current global rig count now stands above the average set in 2017.

Related: Venezuela's once-proud oil industry is collapsing

The drop in oil prices is welcome news for drivers, as well as companies and countries that buy a lot of energy. For example, airlines tend to have higher profits when their fuel prices are lower. And countries like India benefit when crude prices are tamed.

Oil markets hit something of a sweet spot earlier this year as prices bounced between $60 and $70 per barrel. Experts generally consider this price level to be high enough to sustain supply and low enough to sustain demand.

Saudi Arabia knows it has a delicate balance to strike. Higher prices help finance its government programs (and are good for its plans to privatize its state oil company, Saudi Aramco.)

But these higher prices can constrain global economic growth as individuals and companies feel compelled to cut their spending. A slower world economy ultimately leads to lower oil demand, creating a lose-lose situation for the kingdom
http://money.cnn.com/2018/05/28/investing/oil-prices-down-saudi-arabia-opec/index.html
 
The sharp price decline was triggered on Friday by Saudi Arabia, the biggest oil exporter in the world and de facto leader of oil cartel OPEC. Saudi energy minister Khalid Al-Falih said during a CNN-hosted panel in St. Petersburg, Russia, that he was in intensive discussions with Russia and other OPEC nations to pump more oil to ease global supply concerns.

OPEC oil producers and Russia are due to meet in Vienna on June 22 to discuss easing self-imposed supply caps, which have been in place since 2017.
 
Unfortunately for the poor in California, prices will remain higher than normal thanks to a massive hike in the Gas taxes here the Democratic Party of the Jackass passed.

Funny how they always claim to be for the little guy while kicking him at the same time.
 
The sharp price decline was triggered on Friday by Saudi Arabia, the biggest oil exporter in the world and de facto leader of oil cartel OPEC. Saudi energy minister Khalid Al-Falih said during a CNN-hosted panel in St. Petersburg, Russia, that he was in intensive discussions with Russia and other OPEC nations to pump more oil to ease global supply concerns.

OPEC oil producers and Russia are due to meet in Vienna on June 22 to discuss easing self-imposed supply caps, which have been in place since 2017.


Even if KSA pumps another million pbd, the price will still go up.. There is a bottleneck in US production.. so there is a widening gap between WTI and Brent.
 
Even if KSA pumps another million pbd, the price will still go up.. There is a bottleneck in US production.. so there is a widening gap between WTI and Brent.

Are you predicting they'll go up enough to cause the same 96% increase in gas prices that occurred under Obama?
 
Unfortunately for the poor in California, prices will remain higher than normal thanks to a massive hike in the Gas taxes here the Democratic Party of the Jackass passed.

Funny how they always claim to be for the little guy while kicking him at the same time.

Maybe the lefties think all the social welfare received by the poor offsets those taxes.
 
Are you predicting they'll go up enough to cause the same 96% increase in gas prices that occurred under Obama?

I think you will see $90 a barrel next year because VZ's meltdown is nearly total and because of emissions regulations on supertankers.
 
Even if KSA pumps another million pbd, the price will still go up.. There is a bottleneck in US production.. so there is a widening gap between WTI and Brent.
it looks like they are trying to get Russia to pump more as well.
I'm not an expert at all on oil terminology. i'll take your word on that
 
it looks like they are trying to get Russia to pump more as well.
I'm not an expert at all on oil terminology. i'll take your word on that

I think Russia will pump more too. and I think prices will hover between $75 and 80 all year.

WTI is West Texas Intermediate... Brent is North Sea... Historically both of those are higher than the OPEC price basket.
 
I think you will see $90 a barrel next year because VZ's meltdown is nearly total and because of emissions regulations on supertankers.

That's not what I asked. You have a problem in providing answers to questions that weren't asked and avoid answering those that were asked.

I wasn't asking about a price/barrel of oil. I asked about a price/gallon of gasoline.

Care to answer that one?
 
I think Russia will pump more too. and I think prices will hover between $75 and 80 all year.

WTI is West Texas Intermediate... Brent is North Sea... Historically both of those are higher than the OPEC price basket.

I predict you will be wrong once again; as always. ;)
 
That's not what I asked. You have a problem in providing answers to questions that weren't asked and avoid answering those that were asked.

I wasn't asking about a price/barrel of oil. I asked about a price/gallon of gasoline.

Care to answer that one?

The price of gasoline is up everywhere from 29 cents to 31 cents a gallon. You do know that gas is still a bargain.. It hasn't kept pace with housing, education, groceries, healthcare or anything else in the past 40 years.
 
The price of gasoline is up everywhere from 29 cents to 31 cents a gallon. You do know that gas is still a bargain.. It hasn't kept pace with housing, education, groceries, healthcare or anything else in the past 40 years.

Still an answer to something that wasn't asked.
 
US oil production doubled during the Obama administration because the ppb was high.. When its low, they don't drill or invest.

So?

When Floriduhfan "thanked" Trump for high gas prices, you didn't correct her, did you?

You also posted the following in a thread as a response to Americans reporting stronger finances in Trump's first year:

Gasoline is $5,00 a gallon in NYC.

When I proved that was far from the lowest available price in Manhattan, you went off a tangent.
 
Oil production is much due to speculation in the commodity markets. When Trump threatens Iran with a war, the prices go up,. When he threatens war with NK, it goes up. When he threatens tariff wars, it goes up. Then when he does not follow through, it goes back down.
 
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