I'm glad I'm not working now or just starting out in my working career. AI would/will replace the field I retired in, which was budget and finance.
Tech entrepreneur and investor Vinod Khosla’s prediction of AI automating 80% of high-value jobs by 2030 coincides with a reckoning for Fortune 500 companies.
Khosla shared his predictions for the future in a wide-ranging interview on the Uncapped With Jack Altmanpodcast. As a venture capitalist and early investor in companies like Square and Instacart, Khosla offered advice for business leaders on navigating unprecedented changes ahead. Companies like Sears and Toys “R” Us collapsed under digital pressure, but Khosla warns the 2030s will see a “faster demise” of giants as AI rewrites industry rules.
See below for an overview of Khosla’s major predictions for AI, the economy, and more.
Key takeaways
Era of unprecedented disruption:Khosla describes the current technology cycle as “crazy and frenetic,” stating, “I’ve never seen a cycle like this…almost every job is being reinvented, every material thing is being reinvented differently with AI as a driver.” He compares the scale of change to the 1960s, noting, “We’re going to see this large change in such a short time, it’s almost hard to imagine how society adjusts.”
AI and the end of work: Khosla predicts, “Within the next five years, any economically valuable job humans can do, AI will be able to do 80% of it…80% of all jobs can be done by an AI.” He believes by 2040, “the need to work will go away. People will work on things because they want to, not because they need to pay their mortgage.”
Health care: “If all medical expertise is free…you have an unlimited number of primary care doctors, oncologists, gastroenterologists, mental health therapists…how would you redesign the health care system?” Khosla argues that entrenched interests and regulatory barriers will slow—but not stop—AI-driven transformation.
Robotics: He predicts that “almost everybody in the 2030s will have a humanoid robot at home…probably starting with something narrow like doing your cooking for you.” The main bottleneck is not hardware, but intelligence.
Energy: Khosla is “very bullish about energy,” especially fusion and super-hot geothermal, which he believes could make power “cheaper than natural gas.”
Advice for entrepreneurs
Societal and geopolitical implications: Khosla warns of the risks of authoritarian regimes using AI for both hard and soft power: “By 2040 the biggest risk we might face…is China using [types of] AI—cyber AI, warfare AI—but also socially good AI, like free doctors to everybody on the planet…to embed their political philosophy.”
Philosophy on venture and innovation: Khosla emphasizes founder-driven innovation: “Innovation only—I can’t think of very many large examples where large innovation came from somebody who was large or in the business…experts are terrible at predicting the future; they extrapolate the past. Entrepreneurs invent the future they want.”
On risk and impact: “Most people reduce risk to increase the probability of success. I do the opposite: Start with [the] high consequences of success. I don’t care about the probability of failure.”
I'm glad I'm not working now or just starting out in my working career. AI would/will replace the field I retired in, which was budget and finance.
Tech entrepreneur and investor Vinod Khosla’s prediction of AI automating 80% of high-value jobs by 2030 coincides with a reckoning for Fortune 500 companies.
Khosla shared his predictions for the future in a wide-ranging interview on the Uncapped With Jack Altmanpodcast. As a venture capitalist and early investor in companies like Square and Instacart, Khosla offered advice for business leaders on navigating unprecedented changes ahead. Companies like Sears and Toys “R” Us collapsed under digital pressure, but Khosla warns the 2030s will see a “faster demise” of giants as AI rewrites industry rules.
See below for an overview of Khosla’s major predictions for AI, the economy, and more.
Key takeaways
Era of unprecedented disruption:Khosla describes the current technology cycle as “crazy and frenetic,” stating, “I’ve never seen a cycle like this…almost every job is being reinvented, every material thing is being reinvented differently with AI as a driver.” He compares the scale of change to the 1960s, noting, “We’re going to see this large change in such a short time, it’s almost hard to imagine how society adjusts.”
AI and the end of work: Khosla predicts, “Within the next five years, any economically valuable job humans can do, AI will be able to do 80% of it…80% of all jobs can be done by an AI.” He believes by 2040, “the need to work will go away. People will work on things because they want to, not because they need to pay their mortgage.”
Health care: “If all medical expertise is free…you have an unlimited number of primary care doctors, oncologists, gastroenterologists, mental health therapists…how would you redesign the health care system?” Khosla argues that entrenched interests and regulatory barriers will slow—but not stop—AI-driven transformation.
Robotics: He predicts that “almost everybody in the 2030s will have a humanoid robot at home…probably starting with something narrow like doing your cooking for you.” The main bottleneck is not hardware, but intelligence.
Energy: Khosla is “very bullish about energy,” especially fusion and super-hot geothermal, which he believes could make power “cheaper than natural gas.”
Advice for entrepreneurs
Societal and geopolitical implications: Khosla warns of the risks of authoritarian regimes using AI for both hard and soft power: “By 2040 the biggest risk we might face…is China using [types of] AI—cyber AI, warfare AI—but also socially good AI, like free doctors to everybody on the planet…to embed their political philosophy.”
Philosophy on venture and innovation: Khosla emphasizes founder-driven innovation: “Innovation only—I can’t think of very many large examples where large innovation came from somebody who was large or in the business…experts are terrible at predicting the future; they extrapolate the past. Entrepreneurs invent the future they want.”
On risk and impact: “Most people reduce risk to increase the probability of success. I do the opposite: Start with [the] high consequences of success. I don’t care about the probability of failure.”
Naval Ravikant gave an excellent interview on Joe Rogan on a similar subject a few years ago. Basically, he said that the purpose of technology is to free up mankind to do what mankind does best: be creative. An example was that Joe's job as a podcaster didn't even exist a decade before.
While life of leisure may create a surplus of people just sitting around playing guitar, it would also create an avenue for people to become painters, write music, explore space, explore the oceans, etc.
In short, the job market will change as it always has but there will be new jobs. How many buggy whip manufacturers survived the automobile age?
I'm glad I'm not working now or just starting out in my working career. AI would/will replace the field I retired in, which was budget and finance.
Tech entrepreneur and investor Vinod Khosla’s prediction of AI automating 80% of high-value jobs by 2030 coincides with a reckoning for Fortune 500 companies.
Khosla shared his predictions for the future in a wide-ranging interview on the Uncapped With Jack Altmanpodcast. As a venture capitalist and early investor in companies like Square and Instacart, Khosla offered advice for business leaders on navigating unprecedented changes ahead. Companies like Sears and Toys “R” Us collapsed under digital pressure, but Khosla warns the 2030s will see a “faster demise” of giants as AI rewrites industry rules.
See below for an overview of Khosla’s major predictions for AI, the economy, and more.
Key takeaways
Era of unprecedented disruption:Khosla describes the current technology cycle as “crazy and frenetic,” stating, “I’ve never seen a cycle like this…almost every job is being reinvented, every material thing is being reinvented differently with AI as a driver.” He compares the scale of change to the 1960s, noting, “We’re going to see this large change in such a short time, it’s almost hard to imagine how society adjusts.”
AI and the end of work: Khosla predicts, “Within the next five years, any economically valuable job humans can do, AI will be able to do 80% of it…80% of all jobs can be done by an AI.” He believes by 2040, “the need to work will go away. People will work on things because they want to, not because they need to pay their mortgage.”
Health care: “If all medical expertise is free…you have an unlimited number of primary care doctors, oncologists, gastroenterologists, mental health therapists…how would you redesign the health care system?” Khosla argues that entrenched interests and regulatory barriers will slow—but not stop—AI-driven transformation.
Robotics: He predicts that “almost everybody in the 2030s will have a humanoid robot at home…probably starting with something narrow like doing your cooking for you.” The main bottleneck is not hardware, but intelligence.
Energy: Khosla is “very bullish about energy,” especially fusion and super-hot geothermal, which he believes could make power “cheaper than natural gas.”
Advice for entrepreneurs
Societal and geopolitical implications: Khosla warns of the risks of authoritarian regimes using AI for both hard and soft power: “By 2040 the biggest risk we might face…is China using [types of] AI—cyber AI, warfare AI—but also socially good AI, like free doctors to everybody on the planet…to embed their political philosophy.”
Philosophy on venture and innovation: Khosla emphasizes founder-driven innovation: “Innovation only—I can’t think of very many large examples where large innovation came from somebody who was large or in the business…experts are terrible at predicting the future; they extrapolate the past. Entrepreneurs invent the future they want.”
On risk and impact: “Most people reduce risk to increase the probability of success. I do the opposite: Start with [the] high consequences of success. I don’t care about the probability of failure.”
I'm glad I'm not working now or just starting out in my working career. AI would/will replace the field I retired in, which was budget and finance.
Tech entrepreneur and investor Vinod Khosla’s prediction of AI automating 80% of high-value jobs by 2030 coincides with a reckoning for Fortune 500 companies.
Khosla shared his predictions for the future in a wide-ranging interview on the Uncapped With Jack Altmanpodcast. As a venture capitalist and early investor in companies like Square and Instacart, Khosla offered advice for business leaders on navigating unprecedented changes ahead. Companies like Sears and Toys “R” Us collapsed under digital pressure, but Khosla warns the 2030s will see a “faster demise” of giants as AI rewrites industry rules.
See below for an overview of Khosla’s major predictions for AI, the economy, and more.
Key takeaways
Era of unprecedented disruption:Khosla describes the current technology cycle as “crazy and frenetic,” stating, “I’ve never seen a cycle like this…almost every job is being reinvented, every material thing is being reinvented differently with AI as a driver.” He compares the scale of change to the 1960s, noting, “We’re going to see this large change in such a short time, it’s almost hard to imagine how society adjusts.”
AI and the end of work: Khosla predicts, “Within the next five years, any economically valuable job humans can do, AI will be able to do 80% of it…80% of all jobs can be done by an AI.” He believes by 2040, “the need to work will go away. People will work on things because they want to, not because they need to pay their mortgage.”
Health care: “If all medical expertise is free…you have an unlimited number of primary care doctors, oncologists, gastroenterologists, mental health therapists…how would you redesign the health care system?” Khosla argues that entrenched interests and regulatory barriers will slow—but not stop—AI-driven transformation.
Robotics: He predicts that “almost everybody in the 2030s will have a humanoid robot at home…probably starting with something narrow like doing your cooking for you.” The main bottleneck is not hardware, but intelligence.
Energy: Khosla is “very bullish about energy,” especially fusion and super-hot geothermal, which he believes could make power “cheaper than natural gas.”
Advice for entrepreneurs
Societal and geopolitical implications: Khosla warns of the risks of authoritarian regimes using AI for both hard and soft power: “By 2040 the biggest risk we might face…is China using [types of] AI—cyber AI, warfare AI—but also socially good AI, like free doctors to everybody on the planet…to embed their political philosophy.”
Philosophy on venture and innovation: Khosla emphasizes founder-driven innovation: “Innovation only—I can’t think of very many large examples where large innovation came from somebody who was large or in the business…experts are terrible at predicting the future; they extrapolate the past. Entrepreneurs invent the future they want.”
On risk and impact: “Most people reduce risk to increase the probability of success. I do the opposite: Start with [the] high consequences of success. I don’t care about the probability of failure.”
Microsoft to lay off around 9,000 workers in its largest cuts since 2023
The staff reduction also comes as tech companies, including Microsoft, are using artificial intelligence to make their workforce more efficient. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said earlier this year that 20% to 30% of the company’s code was being generated by AI, and the company is pouring billions into AI infrastructure investments.
I'm glad I'm not working now or just starting out in my working career. AI would/will replace the field I retired in, which was budget and finance.
Tech entrepreneur and investor Vinod Khosla’s prediction of AI automating 80% of high-value jobs by 2030 coincides with a reckoning for Fortune 500 companies.
Khosla shared his predictions for the future in a wide-ranging interview on the Uncapped With Jack Altmanpodcast. As a venture capitalist and early investor in companies like Square and Instacart, Khosla offered advice for business leaders on navigating unprecedented changes ahead. Companies like Sears and Toys “R” Us collapsed under digital pressure, but Khosla warns the 2030s will see a “faster demise” of giants as AI rewrites industry rules.
See below for an overview of Khosla’s major predictions for AI, the economy, and more.
Key takeaways
Era of unprecedented disruption:Khosla describes the current technology cycle as “crazy and frenetic,” stating, “I’ve never seen a cycle like this…almost every job is being reinvented, every material thing is being reinvented differently with AI as a driver.” He compares the scale of change to the 1960s, noting, “We’re going to see this large change in such a short time, it’s almost hard to imagine how society adjusts.”
AI and the end of work: Khosla predicts, “Within the next five years, any economically valuable job humans can do, AI will be able to do 80% of it…80% of all jobs can be done by an AI.” He believes by 2040, “the need to work will go away. People will work on things because they want to, not because they need to pay their mortgage.”
Health care: “If all medical expertise is free…you have an unlimited number of primary care doctors, oncologists, gastroenterologists, mental health therapists…how would you redesign the health care system?” Khosla argues that entrenched interests and regulatory barriers will slow—but not stop—AI-driven transformation.
Robotics: He predicts that “almost everybody in the 2030s will have a humanoid robot at home…probably starting with something narrow like doing your cooking for you.” The main bottleneck is not hardware, but intelligence.
Energy: Khosla is “very bullish about energy,” especially fusion and super-hot geothermal, which he believes could make power “cheaper than natural gas.”
Advice for entrepreneurs
Societal and geopolitical implications: Khosla warns of the risks of authoritarian regimes using AI for both hard and soft power: “By 2040 the biggest risk we might face…is China using [types of] AI—cyber AI, warfare AI—but also socially good AI, like free doctors to everybody on the planet…to embed their political philosophy.”
Philosophy on venture and innovation: Khosla emphasizes founder-driven innovation: “Innovation only—I can’t think of very many large examples where large innovation came from somebody who was large or in the business…experts are terrible at predicting the future; they extrapolate the past. Entrepreneurs invent the future they want.”
On risk and impact: “Most people reduce risk to increase the probability of success. I do the opposite: Start with [the] high consequences of success. I don’t care about the probability of failure.”
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