The Trump Administration
Official
Whether or not tariffs drive up costs, ecompanies are likely to use them as an excuse to raise prices.
"It's something we saw in this inflationary period," says Lindsay Owens, the executive director of the Groundwork Collaborative, a progressive think tank.
"It does contribute to this kind of vicious circle in terms of prices for Americans and a virtuous circle in terms of profits for companies."
In 2018, when President Trump imposed tariffs on washing machines, they got more expensive. So did dryers, even though they weren't subject to tariffs — companies figured customers would assume that two related products were subject to the same forces.
If the cost of imports goes up, even companies whose products are American-made are likely to get in on the price hiking.
"It's like a Christmas gift," says Ernie Tedeschi, the director of economics at the Yale Budget Lab, who previously worked for the Biden administration. "They have this windfall given to them in their lap. They're like: 'Wait, you're telling me that my competitors are now forced to raise their prices 20%? Well, I'm going to raise my prices 19% and I've still got the competitive edge. But now I have 19% of pure profit I can just add on top.' I think that's where it's really going to sting."
So if Trump winds up imposing tariffs, can consumers expect to see price hikes?