Trump Approval 51%

Evmetro said:
Kinda reminds me of all that polling data that was showing how badly Trump was going to lose the election...
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One of the biggest myths about 2016 is that the polling data was "way off."

It was actually pretty consistent w/ previous elections, and pretty accurate nationally. Most polls had Hillary up nationally - but the average was about 2%, which is pretty much exactly what she ended up winning the popular vote by.

For the electoral, most of the state polls were actually pretty close in the end, too - particularly considering the Comey letter & Trump's late surge.
 
Thing1 said:
One of the biggest myths about 2016 is that the polling data was "way off."

It was actually pretty consistent w/ previous elections, and pretty accurate nationally. Most polls had Hillary up nationally - but the average was about 2%, which is pretty much exactly what she ended up winning the popular vote by.

For the electoral, most of the state polls were actually pretty close in the end, too - particularly considering the Comey letter & Trump's late surge.
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yes. the polls always have a + or - and they were at the extreme edge but still in the margin of error. RCP has Trump slowly climbing to about 42.5 now -which is about where he was at the election
 
Probably the only honest thing I recall Frank Luntz ever saying it is that polling is become so unstable that it will be extinct in 20 years.
 
noise said:
yes. the polls always have a + or - and they were at the extreme edge but still in the margin of error. RCP has Trump slowly climbing to about 42.5 now -which is about where he was at the election
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He's pretty locked in there, imo. Biggest divide I've seen in the country ever, by far - over half of Americans will probably never like Trump or think he's a good leader, and the 40%ers are the Park Avenue crowd Trump "joked" about in the campaign. They will never change their minds (until the spell breaks, which will come after he is no longer in power).
 
Thing1 said:
One of the biggest myths about 2016 is that the polling data was "way off."

It was actually pretty consistent w/ previous elections, and pretty accurate nationally. Most polls had Hillary up nationally - but the average was about 2%, which is pretty much exactly what she ended up winning the popular vote by.

For the electoral, most of the state polls were actually pretty close in the end, too - particularly considering the Comey letter & Trump's late surge.
Click to expand...

Lefties were completely blind sided by Trump's victory. Lefty polls and media did a fine job selling the notion that Hillary would win. I still enjoy watching videos of lefties in shock on election night, lol. They had no clue.
 
Thing1 said:
He's pretty locked in there, imo. Biggest divide I've seen in the country ever, by far - over half of Americans will probably never like Trump or think he's a good leader, and the 40%ers are the Park Avenue crowd Trump "joked" about in the campaign. They will never change their minds (until the spell breaks, which will come after he is no longer in power).
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yes. we are now hopelessly divided..I never thought I'd see the day in my 50+ years of following politics that gridlock and obstructionism is the norm ( and I'm blaming both partys)..but now the people as well as the politicians are segmented..not a good thing
 
Evmetro said:
Lefties were completely blind sided by Trump's victory. Lefty polls and media did a fine job selling the notion that Hillary would win. I still enjoy watching videos of lefties in shock on election night, lol. They had no clue.
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But it wasn't the polls that were off - it was the pundits.
 
Thing1 said:
One of the biggest myths about 2016 is that the polling data was "way off."

It was actually pretty consistent w/ previous elections, and pretty accurate nationally. Most polls had Hillary up nationally - but the average was about 2%, which is pretty much exactly what she ended up winning the popular vote by.

For the electoral, most of the state polls were actually pretty close in the end, too - particularly considering the Comey letter & Trump's late surge.
Click to expand...

I hope you saved this in your notes, you have had to type this at least 10 times since the election.
 
Evmetro said:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_apr16
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Rasmussen!​
 
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