Trump has been courting young Black men, but data suggests it won’t work

鬼百合

One day we will wake to his obituary :-)
Political experts and organizers – who are also Black men under 50 – said the hysteria about their demographic defecting to the Republican party is overblown.

Trump has been courting young Black men, but data suggests it won’t work

Political experts and organizers – who are also Black men under 50 – said the hysteria about their demographic defecting to the Republican party is overblown.


At a talk with the National Association of Black Journalists in Philadelphia, Harris addressed Black men specifically.

"I'm working to earn their vote, not assuming I'm going to have it because I'm Black," Harris said.

When Trump hit the political scene as a brash businessman and first-time politician, Gamble, who is from Philadelphia's Logan neighborhood, felt like Trump was talking to him.

"I liked what Donald Trump was saying, especially as someone who knew nothing about politics," said Gamble. "He resonated more with people who were not as familiar with politics because he was an outsider."

Mount Airy truck driver John McAuley said he doesn't feel that either party has done a good job reaching out to young Black men like him. But after twice voting for Obama and skipping the 2016 election, McAuley, 36, is now all in for Trump and the Republican Party. He said Democrats became too liberal, highlighting the party's support for the LGBTQ community as an example. McAuley is a professed Christian, and said he's drawn to the Republican Party's talk about God and emphasis on self-accountability.

"I feel like [the Democratic Party] has feminized men," McAuley said. "If you bring back the role of the man, then I think the woman would be protected, the children would be cared for."

Cassius James, 38, of South Philadelphia, doesn't have plans to vote in November and hasn't voted in a presidential election since 2012, when he cast a ballot for former President Barack Obama.

The reason for his disengagement? "It's just what they're talking about," he said, "I feel like I want to vote for Harris because she's a Black woman, that's the only reason."

Politicians need to physically come to the community more to reach people like him, James said.

"They should be among us and just show face," he said. "Be outside with us."

Obama, the first Black president, was set to campaign for Harris in Pittsburgh on Thursday evening.

In past elections, Black men support for Trump actually dropped​

Anyone who wants to predict how Black men will vote in November should look at how they have been voting already, said Robinson.

"All we've seen is a decrease in Black men's support for [Trump] every election cycle," said Robinson. "So even though Black men continue to show the world that we don't f— with Donald Trump, the world keeps trying to push on Black men that you are becoming more conservative."

Black men nationally supported the Democratic presidential candidate at a rate of about 86% on average in 2000, 2004, and 2012, according to surveys of voters leaving the polls compiled by the Joint Center for Political and Economic Activities.

The only major shift in Black men's vote came in 2008, when the group spiked with 95% support for Obama's first election.

In Pennsylvania in 2016, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had a 69-percentage-point lead over Trump among Black male voters, according to exit polls. Trump got 14% of their vote.

As Robinson suggested, Black men's support for Trump in Pennsylvania dropped in 2020 to just 10%, compared with 89% support for President Joe Biden.

"Eighty-eight to 90% of Black men are doing something, and people are still spending this much time on the 8 to 10% that aren't," said Robinson. "What are you asking of Black men that you're not asking anybody else?"
 
The left knows this will not work for trump but it is amusing to watch the right try.
 
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