Trump Is Up Against a Demographic Time Bomb

Guno צְבִי

Guno צְבִי

We fight, We win, Am Yisrael Chai
In the United States, around 2.7 million people who are old enough to vote die every year, and around 3.8 million to 4 million people turn 18. In the last presidential election — and research since then suggests that this trend will continue — younger people were more likely to vote for Democrats, and older people were more likely to vote Republican. It is more complicated than that in detail, but the basic trend is there. This means that by age alone, between the 2016 and 2018 elections, more potential non-Trump voters will join the electorate, while more potential Trump voters, or non-Democrat voters, will depart from it.
The changing demographic balances of the electorate already manifested in the 2016 election, when millennials and Gen Xers outvoted the baby boomers for the first time, but only by a small margin. That margin grew in the midterms and become a clear lead by the next general election.

https://medium.com/s/story/demographics-show-that-trump-can-only-lose-c55d9f79449
 
guno said:
In the United States, around 2.7 million people who are old enough to vote die every year, and around 3.8 million to 4 million people turn 18. In the last presidential election — and research since then suggests that this trend will continue — younger people were more likely to vote for Democrats, and older people were more likely to vote Republican. It is more complicated than that in detail, but the basic trend is there. This means that by age alone, between the 2016 and 2018 elections, more potential non-Trump voters will join the electorate, while more potential Trump voters, or non-Democrat voters, will depart from it.
The changing demographic balances of the electorate already manifested in the 2016 election, when millennials and Gen Xers outvoted the baby boomers for the first time, but only by a small margin. That margin grew in the midterms and become a clear lead by the next general election.

https://medium.com/s/story/demographics-show-that-trump-can-only-lose-c55d9f79449
Click to expand...

a lot of people got two years older too.
 
Tick tock. Tick tock. Tick tock. The tRump implosion will become an explosion very very soon.



oon







very very soon.
 
I am just really excited by the number of people voting. There is one county in Texas that every single person of voting age is registered to vote, I hope they report how many of them actually voted. It’s always disappointed me how Americans take voting for granted.
 
Yea, sure...

Unless suddenly, somehow, decades upon decades of evidence that young people generally don't bother to vote at all changes, it's going to be the middle-aged, and elderly that will decide things. They have youth outnumbered in that respect by a wide margin.
 
guno said:
In the United States, around 2.7 million people who are old enough to vote die every year, and around 3.8 million to 4 million people turn 18. In the last presidential election — and research since then suggests that this trend will continue — younger people were more likely to vote for Democrats, and older people were more likely to vote Republican. It is more complicated than that in detail, but the basic trend is there. This means that by age alone, between the 2016 and 2018 elections, more potential non-Trump voters will join the electorate, while more potential Trump voters, or non-Democrat voters, will depart from it.
The changing demographic balances of the electorate already manifested in the 2016 election, when millennials and Gen Xers outvoted the baby boomers for the first time, but only by a small margin. That margin grew in the midterms and become a clear lead by the next general election.

https://medium.com/s/story/demographics-show-that-trump-can-only-lose-c55d9f79449
Click to expand...

2amDGeV.jpg
 
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