U.S. Economy May Avoid Recession: Freddie Mac

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U.S. Economy May Avoid Recession: Freddie Mac
Topics:Subprime Lending * Economy (U.S.) * Mortgages * Stock Picks * Stock Market * Corporate Restructuring * Corporate Fraud * Corporate Governance * Corporate News * CEOs and CFOs
Companies:Fannie Mae * Freddie Mac * CompaniesBy Reuters * 26 Sep 2007 * 05:55 AM ET Font size: Freddie Mac, the No. 2 U.S. mortgage financing company, does not expect the economy to fall into recession from the housing market downturn and even sees opportunities in the shake-up, its treasurer said on Wednesday.

Timothy Bitsberger told Reuters in an interview that he expects the housing market troubles, sparked by the spike in defaults on subprime mortgages, will hamper the pace of U.S. growth but should not lead to a sustained contraction.

"The economy will definitely weaken and slow down somewhat, but we are not forecasting a recession," Bitsberger said, adding that low unemployment, a strong global economy and solid corporate profitability will help underpin growth.

Bitsberger said Freddie Mac Freddie MacFRE
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[FRE 59.53 --- UNCH (0%) ] is well positioned to take advantage of the credit market turbulence of the past few months, such as regaining some pricing power in buying assets.

"I would characterise our position as exceptionally strong," said Bitsberger, who is visiting Tokyo, Hong Kong and Beijing in a regular trip to the region. "The competitive landscape is changing in our favour."

Calls have grown from lawmakers to give Freddie Mac and its sister company Fannie Mae Fannie MaeFNM
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[FNM 61.68 --- UNCH (0%) ] more leeway in providing funding to the housing market, such as lifting caps on the size of their mortgage portfolios and letting the firms temporarily buy large-sized housing loans of more than $417,000.

The federal regulator of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae has already eased some restrictions on their portfolios and has said it may lift the portfolio caps as soon as February.

Freddie Mac has suffered no losses yet on its small holdings of subprime securities but has had to set aside more reserves against potential write-downs on its nearly $2 trillion mortgage portfolio as the housing market has swooned.

The housing market troubles were highlighted by data on Tuesday showing existing home sales in August were the slowest in five years and inventories of unsold homes and condos soared to the highest since records of the combined inventory data began in 1999.

The housing crisis and ripple effects leading to the credit market crunch prompted the Federal Reserve to slash short-term rates by 50 basis points last week, and more monetary easing is expected to stem the fallout on the economy.

Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae fund their purchases and holdings of mortgages by selling bonds whose credit quality is seen as close to that of U.S. Treasuries.

Freddie and Fannie compete with major banks and companies like Countrywide Financial, the largest U.S. mortgage lender, which has taken a hit in the housing crisis.

Bitsberger said investors in Asia remained keen to buy the agency bonds of Freddie Mac. Asian investors including central banks with swelling stocks of dollar reserves typically buy about 30 to 40% of new Freddie Mac bond issues, including at a five-year note sale earlier this month.

He also said the dollar's slide to a 15-year low on a trade-weighted basis and a record low against the euro was not deterring Asian investors from agency bonds.

"I don't see that a weaker dollar means lower U.S. debt investment," he said.
 
im having the best couple weeks on the market yet this year for my portfolios. Im loving it right now.
 
Yep MAY avoid recession....

But why would they mention the R word, unless other GED types thought it might happen too ?
 
That's great guys...almost orgasmic. I'm happy for you.

Here's a story about some people who won't be doing so well this winter while you guys are collecting dividends or whatever it is that you do.

Consumers face record winter heating costs Tue Sep 25, 10:44 AM ET



U.S. consumers are expected to pay record prices for heating oil, electricity and propane to warm their homes this winter, and low-income families will need government help to cover those bills, government energy officials said on Tuesday.

Heating fuel expenses this winter will be highest for heating oil, with the average family paying $1,834 for the season, up 28 percent or $402 from last year, according to the National Energy Assistance Directors' Association.

The group expects propane costs to average $1,732, up 30 percent or $384. Consumers that rely on electricity for heat will pay $883 this winter, up 7 percent or $58.

Natural gas expenses will be the cheapest of the major heating fuels, averaging $881, up 5 percent or $50, the group said.

Mark Wolfe, the group's executive director, called on the Bush administration to immediately release money from the government's Low Income Home Energy Program, commonly known as LIHEAP, to help poor families pay their heating bills as well as cover past-due high cooling bills from the summer.

"These record prices will place a significant burden on low and moderate income families this winter with record high prices," Wolfe said.

The group points out that poor households pay a higher share of their income for heating costs than other families.

During 2005, energy expenses accounted for 20 percent of the income of households that received LIHEAP assistance, compared to only 3 percent for higher income families.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070925...c&printer=1;_ylt=AvgDWIozFpmo..47DSRkfpcXIr0F
 
But Darla those higher heating costs will make the economic numbers look better.
So according to some that is a good thing.
 
Its a damm good thing, oh shit stupid people can't pay some bills. Lets pass them out cookies.
Duhla again with the economic ignorance blue haired people like USC get dividends. I get Capital gains.
 
They have a couple options.

1) if they are able.. get of there lazy asses and burn wood. I buy $500 of logs and its enough after i cut and split it for me to not touch my thermostat for 2 entire winters. Thus i only fill up my oil take 3 times over 2 years for hot water.
Savings. I would fill up like 4times over the winter at $600 a pop 2400 per winter versus the $250 and my tired back.

2) Lock into prices and do payment plan for year. Is what i did in past. Pay in summer and winter to spread cost out and minimize the energy price risk.

BTW i live in a valley in MA. last winter was so cold we had 2feet of ice on the lake. Tho the winter before that was so mild the lake didnt freeze.
 
Its a damm good thing, oh shit stupid people can't pay some bills. Lets pass them out cookies.
Duhla again with the economic ignorance blue haired people like USC get dividends. I get Capital gains.

Not stupid, poor people won't be able to pay the bills. BUT, the "fat and happy" middle class wont' be so happy about it either. All but the very well off feel this, even if they can still pay it. It hurts. Hurts people Top.
 
Its a damm good thing, oh shit stupid people can't pay some bills. Lets pass them out cookies.
Duhla again with the economic ignorance blue haired people like USC get dividends. I get Capital gains.

Hey microprick janitor man, I get capital gains.
 
They have a couple options.

1) if they are able.. get of there lazy asses and burn wood. I buy $500 of logs and its enough after i cut and split it for me to not touch my thermostat for 2 entire winters. Thus i only fill up my oil take 3 times over 2 years for hot water.
Savings. I would fill up like 4times over the winter at $600 a pop 2400 per winter versus the $250 and my tired back.

2) Lock into prices and do payment plan for year. Is what i did in past. Pay in summer and winter to spread cost out and minimize the energy price risk.

BTW i live in a valley in MA. last winter was so cold we had 2feet of ice on the lake. Tho the winter before that was so mild the lake didnt freeze.

Burn wood? What world do you guys live in?

Payment plans. Jesus. Well, that's better than the burn wood "solution" I guess, though, not by much.
 
Ive really done well with my GM over the past month. I was going to call it a day, sell and leave well enough alone, because of the strike. But I am glad I did not... Up big again today. I have a 20% gain from when I bought.
 
I do love a fire, but not much call for it here. Sometimes in the winter its cold enough to have a fire in the backyard and sit around roasting marshmellows.
 
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