The revenue to support the 22 million American's subsidies has already been collected, so not a deficit. Even if it has not, there is no way that the subsidies could cost $1.5 trillion. That would be $68k per person.
It's not just the enhanced and permanently extended subsidies, Salty Walty.
It is accurate to state that the Democrats' current demands - specifically, their counterproposals for a continuing resolution (CR) to fund the government - are projected to add an additional $1.5 trillion to the national debt over the next decade.
This estimate comes from the nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB), which analyzed the full package as including the repeal of approximately $1.1 trillion in health spending cuts from the earlier "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" (a Republican-led reconciliation measure) and a permanent extension of enhanced Affordable Care Act (ACA) subsidies set to expire at the end of 2025, totaling about $400 billion in additional costs.
The CR itself (the core funding extension) does not drive this figure, but the attached policy riders do, exacerbating the existing $38 trillion national debt amid ongoing shutdown negotiations
.This projection aligns with broader fiscal analyses, such as those from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), which have similarly flagged the ACA subsidy extension alone as costing $400 billion over 10 years, while the health cut repeals would compound borrowing needs without offsetting revenue measures.
No major independent source disputes the $1.5 trillion ballpark for this specific proposal, Salty Walty/