Biden-Harris admin says crime is down, but independent data shows violent crime up across 66 cities

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ExpressLane

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Biden-Harris admin says crime is down, but independent data shows violent crime up across 66 cities​


While the Biden-Harris administration touts preliminary data published last week from a coalition of cities as evidence of reduced violent crime under its watch, a crime data expert tells Fox News Digital his analysis of crime reporting data shows violent crime is actually increasing compared to levels prior to the COVID-19 pandemic.


"Americans are safer today than when Vice President Harris and I took office," according to President Biden's office in a statement. "We can’t stop now. That’s why I will continue to urge Congress to fund 100,000 additional police officers and crime prevention and community violence intervention programs, and make commonsense gun safety reforms such as a ban on assault weapons."

The Major Cities Chiefs Association (MCCA), which has been publishing year-by-year data stats on crime in 69 major cities across America since 2014, has released a preliminary data set showing violent crime levels dropped from January to June 2023 compared to 2024 levels, with 3,124 violent crime incidents in 2024, down from 3,783 in 2023.


Laura Cooper, executive director for MCCA, told Fox News Digital they request violent crime data from their member agencies, which include only the largest police departments across the U.S. This data is shared voluntarily every quarter by the departments themselves. MCAA does not use public or open-source data and only includes participating agencies.


However, when examining a longer time frame rather than just year-to-year comparisons, the data — potentially affected by underreporting or changes in crime classification — reveals crime is actually trending upward.

"If you compare pre-COVID, like we're trending in the right direction, but aggravated assault is still up over 16% from from 2019," Cooper said. "That's sizable. And especially when people are feeling unsettled by crime, aggravated assault is a better barometer of sentiment, when it comes to crime than the homicide numbers. Homicide is still up since 2019."

According to an Axios review of MCAA's data, the outlet reported a 6% overall decrease in violent crime across 69 cities during the first half of 2024 compared to the same period last year from the MCCA data. The review found that 54 of these cities reported reductions in violent crimes — such as homicide, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault — during the first six months of 2024.

Police officers investigate a crime scene after a shooting at a backyard party on Sept. 19, 2020 in Rochester, New York. (Rashaad McFadden/Getty Images)

The survey covers Albuquerque, New Mexico; Arlington, Texas; Atlanta, GA; Aurora, Colorado; Austin, Texas; Baltimore; Boston; Buffalo, New York; Charlotte-Mecklenburg, North Carolina; Chicago; Cincinnati; Cleveland; Columbus, Ohio; Dallas; DeKalb County, Georgia; Denver; Detroit; El Paso, Texas; Fairfax County, Virginia; Fort Worth, Texas; Fresno, California; Honolulu; Houston; Indianapolis; Jacksonville, Florida; and Kansas City, Missouri, among others.

However, the independent public policy group, the Coalition for Law, Order, and Safety (CLOS), argues that according to their analysis, violent crime is up across 66 major cities.

CLOS's January to June 2019 data for that same period in 2024 suggests there was a 9.6% increase in total violent crime, with aggravated assault up nearly 25% and murder up by 6.4%.

"The problem is in this game of telephone, the agencies don't always submit correct data or possibly the MCCA creates a typo, or gets the data mangled," Sean Kennedy, the executive director for CLOS told Fox News Digital. "So, that becomes a problem where you see data not matching what the law enforcement agency publicly reports."....
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The bottom line is the narrative that violent crime is down is total BS. Reporting violent crime to the FBI is down.
 
I checked a few statements - Biden/Harris seem to generally claim that it's down since THEY TOOK OFFICE.

Also, it's an interesting cherrypick of 66 cities - to refute a claim that was never made, btw - when there are over 10x that many cities in the U.S.
 
BartenderElite said:
I checked a few statements - Biden/Harris seem to generally claim that it's down since THEY TOOK OFFICE.
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Yes that is what they FALSELY claim . Crime is on the increase not on the decrease. Liberal prosecutors that release criminals who then repeat offend is part of the problem. Cashless bail is part of the problem and refunded police or demoralized police is part of the problem. Some PDs are having a very hard time finding new recruits.
BartenderElite said:
Also, it's an interesting cherrypick of 66 cities - to refute a claim that was never made, btw - when there are over 10x that many cities in the U.S.
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Those are 66 of some of the largest cities in America it is MORE than enough to show a nation wide trend. Political polls use a fraction of that percentage to get results.
 
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ExpressLane said:
Those are 66 of some of the largest cities in America it is MORE than enough to show a nation wide trend. Political polls use a fraction of that percentage to get results.
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But you still get that the Biden/Harris claim is actually since they took office, and not pre-pandemic, right?

At least based on several statements I checked. Do you know if there is one where their starting point is pre-pandemic?
 
ExpressLane said:
Yes Harris is implying that the Biden /HARRIS administration reduced crime. That is probably wrong. It is without logic that crime is up in 66 MAJOR cities but down nationally.
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Probably wrong?

Honestly - and again, I'm not being snarky - I can't figure out the article. The Biden/Harris claim is that crime has reduced since they took office - but the article starts off by stating "pre-pandemic." Which was almost a year before they took office.

It's a pretty significant difference - and doesn't really refute the Biden/Harris claim.
 
BartenderElite said:
Probably wrong?

Honestly - and again, I'm not being snarky - I can't figure out the article. The Biden/Harris claim is that crime has reduced since they took office - but the article starts off by stating "pre-pandemic." Which was almost a year before they took office.

It's a pretty significant difference - and doesn't really refute the Biden/Harris claim.
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Is crime going down since the pandemic? Crime went down during the pandemic because everyone stayed home. Did crime go down even more like Harris claims? This article shows that crime increased not decreased.
 
ExpressLane said:
Is crime going down since the pandemic? Crime went down during the pandemic because everyone stayed home. Did crime go down even more like Harris claims? This article shows that crime increased not decreased.
Click to expand...

But in what timeframe?

It talks about aggravated assault being up since 2019. Why 2019? That was well before Biden took office.

It's a weird article. I don't think it accomplishes what the headline indicates.
 
Crime figures are now skewed due to prosecutors not prosecuting crime in cities controlled by tge far left Democr Socialists.

If a crime is not prosecuted, there is no crime figure for that crime.

In California, you can steal goods worth 999 dollars and you will not be prosecuted…no crime figure.
 
BartenderElite said:
But in what timeframe?

It talks about aggravated assault being up since 2019. Why 2019? That was well before Biden took office.

It's a weird article. I don't think it accomplishes what the headline indicates.
Click to expand...
Because 2019 is prepandemic and crime went down during the pandemic because criminals stayed home. So starting from prepandemic gives the most fair crime baseline to start from. Crime has gone UP from that base line. You are welcome. I'm glad I could help your confusion.
 
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