Iran War Watch
- Thread starter Hawkeye10
- Start date
Scott Ritter
@RealScottRitter
Let’s make this as clear as possible:Iran is a signatory to the NPT.It has been since 1970.Iran is not allowed to have nuclear weapons.Iran has said it is not seeking nuclear weapons.Iran’s Supreme Leader has issued a religious edict prohibiting Iran from having nuclear weapons.So everyone should be in agreement:Iran is committed to adhering to a treaty obligation which prohibits it from having nuclear weapons.There is no clause that provides an exception to this obligation because Israel has nuclear weapons.Not even Iran makes that argument.Last year a succession of Iranian leaders made statements which, when viewed in totality, call into question Iran’s intent when it comes to nuclear weapons.In February 2024 Ali Akbar Salehi, a former leader of Tehran's nuclear program, said that Iran possesses all the necessary components for a nuclear weapon.In April 2024 Ahmad Haghtalab, an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) commander who serves as the head of security for Iran’s nuclear sites declared “It is possible and conceivable to revise the Islamic Republic of Iran’s nuclear doctrine and policies to deviate from previously declared considerations.”And in October 2024 nearly 40 members of parliament sent a letter to Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, its top security policymaking body, requesting that the council revise the defense doctrine of the Islamic Republic of Iran to permit development of nuclear weapons.Statements such as these have prompted President Trump to make the denuclearization of Iran a top priority.Trump recently sent a letter to Iran’s Supreme leader in which a stark choice was offered: negotiate or go to war.Iran has indicated any attack against its nuclear facilities would likely cause them to change their nuclear doctrine.It is believed Iran could rapidly move to build a believable nuclear weapon within a few weeks once the decision was made.It is believed Iran’s critical nuclear infrastructure is buried deep underground.So deep no conventional munitions could destroy them.If Trump were to attack Iran’s nuclear infrastructure with conventional munitions that failed to achieve their objective of destruction, an Iranian nuclear weapon would be all but assured.This is why Trump ordered the US nuclear posture and employment plans to be altered so that low-yield nuclear weapons possessing the ability to destroy underground facilities such as those housing Iran’s nuclear program would be developed and deployed.Today the US has two nuclear weapons specifically fielded for this purpose: the B61-12 gravity bomb and the W-76-2 low yield nuclear warhead for use on the Trident submarine launched missile.Both weapons are operational and deployed where they could readily be used against Iran.If Trump were to attack Iran’s nuclear infrastructure with the goal of guaranteeing its destruction, he would have to use nuclear weapons preemptively.This fits in with both the nuclear posture and implementation plan Trump signed off on which Iran specifically in mind.There are those who say that by making this assessment, I am advocating for a nuclear strike on Iran by the US.This simply isn’t true.I’m providing an assessment, not soliciting in favor of war.A war with Iran would be a disaster.A nuclear attack on Iran by the US would be catastrophic.I am firmly against both.But that won’t stop me from providing the most accurate analysis of what I believe is actually happening today regarding Iran, whether I support such policies or not.
Mcgovern is an economist in denial that Bibi needs to bomb Iran to delay being prosecuted by israeli courts.
Alastair Crooke said today on Judge Nap that the Zionist Bastards are desperate for an attack on Iran because Israel is so fractured that only war with Iran would would to unify the country.
McGovern hopes that Trump believes in America first enough that once it is pointed out to him how catastrophic this would go for America that he will tell the Zionists no.
They are not interested in making nukes, they stopped that in 2003.....this is going to war over a false claim just as much as Iraq WMD was.
Alastair Crooke knows about war. McGovern is a failed austrian economics.
I cast a wide net.
It may be to your advantage to let McGovern go.
I have found him very helpful in many ways.
I can never forgive McGovern for his decades of austrian economics.
Libhater
Verified User
Take a breather, for Trump like nobody else has the determination/intelligence/will power and peace making attributes that
will eventually lead to the end of that war. Sure, he's dealing with Putin who is determined to take over most if not all of
Ukraine, but if anyone can make a deal its the guy (TRUMP) that gave us the art of the deal.
Libhater
Verified User
Oil price just dropped $10 a barrel.
Libhater
Verified User
Did you hear about the new super fighter that outranks every other air
That's total bullshit as Trump gets peace through peace talk strength. Remember, no wars while Trump was pres #45.
Also remember, that its biden's fecklessness in dealing with the Ukraine/Russia war that has caused the death of some
million or so people for some 4 years now. Trump was put in an almost impossible situation with this ongoing war, but
if anyone can straighten it out, it will be Trump.
If we go to war with Iran his Presidency is over.