McCains going to win the election. See below

Superfreak said:
He was at 50% in Gallups recent poll, 51% in Rasmussens.
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Were those pre or post Palin polls? I ask because I think you will begin to see many of the woman that supported Hillary and SAID they were supporting McCain begin to poll for Obama.
 
Socrtease said:
Were those pre or post Palin polls? I ask because I think you will begin to see many of the woman that supported Hillary and SAID they were supporting McCain begin to poll for Obama.
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http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

Looks like Rasmussen ticked down to 50% today.

The polls I mentioned are all post convention AND post Palin pick.

I think it is too early to see the shift you are talking about as most of the polls that specifically mention Palin show that the vast majority don't know enough about her to shift their vote yet.

Though I do agree the women from Hillarys camp who were threatening to vote McCain will shift to Obama now.
 
Which still means nothing.

It is mathematically possible Obama could lose the general election despite polling at 50%.

Polls in swing states are what matter.
 
Epicurus said:
Which still means nothing.

It is mathematically possible Obama could lose the general election despite polling at 50%.

Polls in swing states are what matter.
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Thank you Epic. I'm glad to see someone else has graduated electoral politics 101.
 
ZOMG I'M A CONSERVATIVE SPAZZING B/C THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE, MOST PERFECT SYSTEM EVA, ISN'T BEING GIVEN SOLE PRIORITY, MERELY PRIORITY ZOMG?!

Popular vote polls are useful because whoever wins the popular vote is likely to landslide the college. If Obama were at 50% and McCain were at 45% there is no way in hell he could win the college.
 
The electoral college is NOT the best system ever, and I would vote to abolish it.

But it is in place right now so acting like a nationwide poll by Yahoo matters is stupid.

Stop being such a spaz.
 
Epicurus said:
Which still means nothing.

It is mathematically possible Obama could lose the general election despite polling at 50%.

Polls in swing states are what matter.
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True, however, we were talking about the general level of support that Obama currently has. We all understand that it is just a general poll. I would imagine we both know just as much if not more than you and grind as far as how the electoral college works.
 
Watermark said:
ZOMG I'M A CONSERVATIVE SPAZZING B/C THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE, MOST PERFECT SYSTEM EVA, ISN'T BEING GIVEN SOLE PRIORITY, MERELY PRIORITY ZOMG?!

Popular vote polls are useful because whoever wins the popular vote is likely to landslide the college. If Obama were at 50% and McCain were at 45% there is no way in hell he could win the college.
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That is not necessarily true. You can win the popular vote and still have a close election... see Al Gore/GW Bush.
 
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