Russia's Gazprom Predicts $250 Oil by 2009

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Russia's Gazprom Predicts $250 Oil by 2009
Topics:Environment * Energy * Commodities * Russia
Sectors:Oil and Gas
Companies:GazpromBy Reuters * 10 Jun 2008 * 08:02 AM ET Font size: Russia's Gazprom, the supplier of a quarter of Europe's natural gas, expects the price of crude oil to almost double as the decade draws to a close, taking gas prices with it.

"We think it will reach $250/bbl in the foreseeable future," Chief Executive Alexei Miller told reporters at a presentation in France.



Officials said the prediction was for 2009.

Alexander Medvedev, deputy CEO of Russia's dominant gas group, said gas prices for Europe would rise to reflect the cost of crude.

Europe's gas prices are mainly based on long term contracts and tied to price of crude.

The comments came as the oil price sat at around $134 a barrel, a few dollars short of last week's record level.

Gazprom, already the world's largest gas producer with a stock market value of over $330 billion, expects to triple in size to become a $1 trillion company within seven to 10 years.

It will be investing heavily to that effect, with total investments estimated at $30 billion for 2008 and set to rise in the years after that, company officials said.

Medvedev sought to allay concerns that the company's European investments might be politically motivated, and said EU efforts to diversify its gas supplies would not solve anything.

"Why should we invest money to create the possibility to shut off the gas supply," he said at the presentation in the resort town of Deauville in northern France.

Gazprom sells the EU around a quarter of its gas and wants to raise this to around a third.

Brussels has sought to diversify supplies to avoid over reliance on Russia and improve the security of energy supplies.

"If you diversify suppliers, it will not solve the problem," Medvedev said.


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He also said Gazprom will only consider investing in Russian oil major TNK-BP after shareholders BP and a group of Russian billionaires have settled a dispute over ownership.

Industry sources say Gazprom is interested in buying control of TNK-BP, where the world's third-largest non-government controlled oil company by market value, BP, is locked in battle with its Russian oligarch partners over control of the joint venture.

Earlier, Miller told a French newspaper that by 2020, Gazprom sees about half of its gas production coming from new fields in arctic seas, Yamal peninsula in Western Siberia and the Far East.

"By then (2020), about half of gas production will come from new fields on the continental shelf of arctic seas and from the Yamal peninsula in Western Siberia and the Far East," he told Le Figaro newspaper.

The Russian gas producer also said it aimed to become a major player in France and targeted corporate customers.

Miller said Gazprom did "not exclude" making major acquisitions in France but organic growth was the priority for now.

The company has indicated it would like to buy more gas pipelines and storage facilities across the continent and some EU politicians fear the gas giant's westward expansion will allow the Kremlin to exert more control over Europe's energy markets.
 
Oil doomer.

the slick bubble will burst and we will be back down to $40 oil. Now who was it saying that stuff about a year ago?....
 
What will stop that price from becoming reality will be the introduction of new technology.

The US is already behind the curve on manufacture of solar power (China recently became the largest producer of solar cells), we need to ride this wave if we wish to continue to produce economic numbers like we have in the past.

Already there are electric cars on their way to production, Electric/Hybrid conglomerations can net a body up to 100 MPG right now.

The reality is costs like that will decrease demand, which will drop the price...
 
I aggree with solar, hybrids, and diesel. Don't think you'll see a large percentage on the road in the next 5yrs so maybe the Russian is right.
 
I aggree with solar, hybrids, and diesel. Don't think you'll see a large percentage on the road in the next 5yrs so maybe the Russian is right.
Whether you think they'll be there in the next 5 years or so, prices of that sort will effect how people use the fuel and reduce demand regardless.
 
IT already is reducing demand. I'm just saying the volume won't be there to have a signifiacant reduction in the future oil price. 10yrs from now we might be over 50% on these vehicles. I might buy the next gen prius.
 
IT already is reducing demand. I'm just saying the volume won't be there to have a signifiacant reduction in the future oil price. 10yrs from now we might be over 50% on these vehicles. I might buy the next gen prius.
I recently bought the Civic Hybrid. I'm averaging 47 MPG, I'm liking it...

:D
 
how much you pay, I'm driving the LX (to cheap to buy the hybrid).
I get 37mpg and paid $17,000
I was thinking about the hybrid to have a quieter hwy car
 
Dude, this makes no sense, elaborate please.

Umm buying a new more efficient hybrid, buying solar cells, paying more for electricity to pay for their costs of upgrading to renewable energy sources, converting from oil heat to heat pumps, etc.
WE will pay, there is no free lunch on this.
 
Umm buying a new more efficient hybrid, buying solar cells, paying more for electricity to pay for their costs of upgrading to renewable energy sources, converting from oil heat to heat pumps, etc.
WE will pay, there is no free lunch on this.
You keep saying that, even repeat it and you might convince yourself, the reality is you pay less.

They hybrid is saving me over $600/month while I pay only $400/month for it. Net saving = $200.

You are attempting to say I will pay the same regardless and it is a preposterous assumption. You make no sense because you want so desperately to be alarmist you can't see the good news for what it is.

(Disclaimer: Others will not see the savings I do because they are unlikely to drive as much as I do. One must carefully consider their own circumstances.)
 
I keep tellin you tennis twinkie that I don't have a GED.
And on the obvious part, well damo did not understand....

20k will buy a lot of gas. Now if your car was due for replacement..and even then hybrids cost more so it is an increased cost to the consumer.

What is the payback period on a Hybryd ?

Don't get me wrong I love em, they are part of my business and greener, but my pooint is we will be paying more whichever way we go.
 
You keep saying that, even repeat it and you might convince yourself, the reality is you pay less.

They hybrid is saving me over $600/month while I pay only $400/month for it. Net saving = $200.

You are attempting to say I will pay the same regardless and it is a preposterous assumption. You make no sense because you want so desperately to be alarmist you can't see the good news for what it is.

(Disclaimer: Others will not see the savings I do because they are unlikely to drive as much as I do. One must carefully consider their own circumstances.)

You are not the world Damo. A hybrid would save me about maybe $50 a month. I get 35 mpg out of my old subie and dont drive a lot.
 
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