Long road getting shorter Mutt... 227-170

Derp Derp said:
The poll numbers for the States Tinkerbell. I'm not suprized your unaware of those. Be that as it may, your interpretation is wrong. Mitts road to the white house has not gotten any shorter. It's still the same. He's at 170. Has been for some time. That hasn't changed. What has changed is Obama's road just got a little longer. It's still far, far shorter than Mitts but read into those numbers what ever you want. I don't care. My point still remains, on an electoral vote basis Obama still commands a substantial lead on Romney.
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No moron... the road is shorter. The gap is less between him and Obama. Thus it is shorter. He no longer needs to win as high a percentage of the current swing states that he did before WI and MI flipped from Obama to swing. So by that measure it is also shorter.

But do explain Mutt... what 'statistics' are you referring to? The poll numbers by state are not related to each other. They reflect that individual state. the 'swing' states are typically within the margin of error. Meaning each can go either way (hence the swing state label). Winning 7 of those states in no way changes the probability of winning in the remaining swing states.
 
Jarod said:
Its going to be a close election, the lead will likely change several times between now and November.
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Define what you consider "the lead". I consider "The Lead" as the electoral vote count and not the popular vote as that doesn't mean squat. In the electoral vote, it's not close as the moment. Obama has a substantial lead. The size of that lead has varied over the last six months but it has remained a substantial lead and unless something happens to change the current electoral count dramatically, Romney will lose. It's certainly a long time between now and then and that can certainly happen (a point I've made multiple times that Tinkerbell convienantly ignores.). Time will tell but right now it's not very close Obama has over a 70 electoral vote lead on Mitt.
 
Superfreak said:
No moron... the road is shorter. The gap is less between him and Obama. Thus it is shorter. He no longer needs to win as high a percentage of the current swing states that he did before WI and MI flipped from Obama to swing. So by that measure it is also shorter.

But do explain Mutt... what 'statistics' are you referring to? The poll numbers by state are not related to each other. They reflect that individual state. the 'swing' states are typically within the margin of error. Meaning each can go either way (hence the swing state label). Winning 7 of those states in no way changes the probability of winning in the remaining swing states.
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Where did you study statistics? Pre-school? The gap between the two is utterly irrelevent. What matters is how far each is from the magic # (270 electoral votes). That simply has not changed for Mitt. He's been stuck at 170 for quite a while. He has a much farther road than Obama does. That's a fact. Deal with it.
 
Derp Derp said:
Where did you study statistics? Pre-school? The gap between the two is utterly irrelevent. What matters is how far each is from the magic # (270 electoral votes). That simply has not changed for Mitt. He's been stuck at 170 for quite a while. He has a much farther road than Obama does. That's a fact. Deal with it.
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LMAO... are you just spouting off the word statistics because you hope it sounds like you know what you are talking about? Statistically it is easier now for Romney to get to 270 as there are now more electoral votes in the swing category you fucking retard.
 
Superfreak said:
LMAO... are you just spouting off the word statistics because you hope it sounds like you know what you are talking about? Statistically it is easier now for Romney to get to 270 as there are now more electoral votes in the swing category you fucking retard.
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LOL I'm a retard? Hell you can't even count to 270 Tinkerbell! LOL
 
The Dude said:
Romney seems hopelessly behind despite repubs probably making gains in congress.
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Well like I said, a lot can happen between now and then. Dukakis had a large lead in the summer of 88 until he imploded. McCain was running very tight against Obama until The Bush housing bubble broke.
 
I agree electorialy its not close currently and I am encouraged by that, the American people may be smarter than I thought!~

But I suspect it will tighten in the comming months.
 
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