As to whether we are the primary cause. That is clearely stated in the quote referenced by Tom.
Worse still, he misrepresents the claims of that paper (he implies the 97% believe CO2 will cause major climate change in the coming decades, while Anderegg et al say 97% agree that most of the warming of the 20th C was very likely due to man-made greenhouse gases – two very different statements). (Yale - here)
Superfreaks comments have been addressed. Whatever strawman he will erect next, no. I will have to wait until he is done wasting his time trying to think his way out of it. That could be a while.
But the credibility of these computer model predictions took a significant hit in June 2007 when Dr. Jim Renwick, a top UN IPCC scientist, admitted that climate models do not account for half the variability in nature and thus are not reliable. "Half of the variability in the climate system is not predictable, so we don’t expect to do terrifically well," Renwick conceded. (LINK)
Theon declared “climate models are useless.” “My own belief concerning anthropogenic climate change is that the models do not realistically simulate the climate system because there are many very important sub-grid scale processes that the models either replicate poorly or completely omit,” Theon explained. “Furthermore, some scientists have manipulated the observed data to justify their model results. In doing so, they neither explain what they have modified in the observations, nor explain how they did it. They have resisted making their work transparent so that it can be replicated independently by other scientists. This is clearly contrary to how science should be done. Thus there is no rational justification for using climate model forecasts to determine public policy,” he added.
Award-winning NASA Astronaut and Physicist Walter Cunningham of NASA’s Apollo 7 also recently chastised Hansen. “Hansen is a political activist who spreads fear even when NASA’s own data contradict him,” Cunningham wrote in an essay in the July/August 2008 issue of Launch Magazine. “NASA should be at the forefront in the collection of scientific evidence and debunking the current hysteria over human-caused, or Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW). Unfortunately, it is becoming just another agency caught up in the politics of global warming, or worse, politicized science,” Cunningham wrote.
IPCC reviewer and climate researcher Dr Vincent Gray, of New Zealand, an expert reviewer on every single draft of the IPCC reports going back to 1990 and author of The Greenhouse Delusion: A Critique of "Climate Change 2001," declared “The claims of the IPCC are dangerous unscientific nonsense” in an April 10, 2007 article. (LINK)
“All [UN IPCC does] is make ‘projections’ and ‘estimates’. No climate model has ever been properly tested, which is what ‘validation’ means, and their ‘projections’ are nothing more than the opinions of ‘experts’ with a conflict of interest, because they are paid to produce the models. There is no actual scientific evidence for all these ‘projections’ and ‘estimates,'” Gray noted.
Many prominent scientists have spoken out in 2007 to debunk many fears relating to increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Climatologist Dr. Timothy Ball recently explained that one of the reasons climate models are failing is because they overestimate the warming effect of CO2 in the atmosphere. Ball described how CO2’s warming impact diminishes. “Even if CO2 concentration doubles or triples, the effect on temperature would be minimal. The relationship between temperature and CO2 is like painting a window black to block sunlight. The first coat blocks most of the light. Second and third coats reduce very little more. Current CO2 levels are like the first coat of black paint,” Ball explained in a June 6, 2007 article in Canada Free Press. (LINK)
Boston College paleoclimatologist Dr. Amy Frappier recently explained how carbon dioxide in the atmosphere can cease to have a warming impact. Frappier noted in a February 1, 2007 article in Boston College’s newspaper The Heights, that greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere do not consistently continue to have a warming effect on Earth, but the impact of the gases instead stabilize and cease having a warming effect.
"At some point the heat-trapping capacity of [CO2] and its effect gets saturated," said Frappier, "and you don't have increased heating." (LINK) "The geologic record shows that many millions of years ago, CO2 levels were indeed higher - in some cases many times higher - than today," Frappier, who believes mankind is having an impact on the climate, explained. According the article, Frappier criticizes Gore because “the movie (An Inconvenient Truth) fails to mention any ancient incongruity between carbon dioxide and temperature.
Sorry but that is not testing according to the accepted scientific method. Allow me to give you a hint. It involves a control which means you would need another planet earf.
BTW I can change your name too![]()
Do explain how you think the above are all agreeing that Man is the primary cause of the warming?
Once again moron, I did not address the OP's fucking paper. That is your pathetic strawman.
Again, you don't know what you are talking about. You begin with limited information and all you have done since kindergarten is speed read.
I went back over the thread very carefully. This is all I can find of what Voltaire said on the subject but you can point me to a post number if you like.
There is evidence to support the theories surrounding evolution and global warming. It has produced science that is testable. That is NOT true of intelligent design.
Do you go to unfrozen caveman doctor for medical care?
In conclusion, science.
Did you change your name to keep from being called tamponstring? How thenthitive.
You said the key word about evolution and global warming. They are theories. I have a theory that you are a dipshit blowhard. But I can't say I can prove it scientifically. Believe in man made global warming with all of your heart but do not claim it is science and do not claim it is testable because it is not. Without a control, you cannot control for all of the variation. Hell the fuckers don't even know everything that effects out climate so to say that you know with certainty that any change in climate is caused by man is the height if arrogance and in and of itself not science
Do explain how you think ANY of them address THAT issue. They don't. Strawman.
Ad hom. No, you ignored the topic just as you ignored Mott's comments and mine and instead insist that we support your strawmen.
I don't support Kyoto.
I don't even support cap n trade, though I might if I thought there were reasonable safeguards against gaming this MARKET based system.
Mott (and Mott please feel free to correct me if I misunderstood) said he does not yet feel comfortable enough with the science to make policy proposals.
I am NOT discussing solutions here.
That cannot happen until we get past the mental roadblocks that have stopped you and others from acknowledging the problem.
I give up on trying to sway you. You are CERTAIN you know the answer
and it is based on some nonsense that I and everyone who disagrees is part of some sinister plot.
again moron... they specifically address the comments Mutt made. NO ONE HAS EVER DISPUTED WHAT YOU SEEM TO WANT THEM TO DISPUTE. YOU FUCKING RETARD.
Again moron, the topic was global warming. Mutt made comments on global warming. I highlighted those and addressed those. You are a fucking idiot and the only one that is creating straw men.
NO ONE SAID YOU DID
NO ONE SAID YOU DID
ES, MUTT said that. That was not the point of his that I disputed. AGAIN MORON, I HIGHLIGHTED SPECIFICALLY WHAT I DISPUTED. YOU SIMPLY ARE NOT INTELLIGENT ENOUGH TO GET IT.
NO ONE SAID YOU WERE
and HERE moron is your problem. My entire point is that you are basing your religious belief upon the so called 97% who think man is the primary cause. You then IGNORE every credible professional that points out why the '97%' is WRONG. You completely... 100%... IGNORE it.
the only thing I am certain of is that the so called 'consensus' is wrong, given that the models they based their decisions on are WRONG.
and yet another straw man from you... how quaint
You did not dispute my assertion? Are you sure?
Do you need to dice up my comments a little more and season with more straw?
.Don't go over the horizon children! You are scaring this old flat earther! There is nothing to see over there. It's just a trick of the liberals. I got some coins and a gun for you to play with.
yes, I am quite sure. You cannot grasp the difference. Can you?
You need to learn what a straw man is. I diced up your comments because you can't seem to comprehend paragraphs. I was trying to make it easy for you.
Speaking of straw men... did you notice how many you tried to create? How many times did I have to inform you that NO ONE SAID what you were being defensive about?
You have offered nothing to prove the 97% is wrong, which is what you just claimed in red above.
Tom offered proof that someone misrepresented what was said.
All you did was post some quotes out of context and without crediting the orignal source. None, of it countered the consensus. It only addressed policy proposals and conclusions based upon what they said.
You have offered nothing to prove the 97% is wrong, which is what you just claimed in red above. Tom offered proof that someone misrepresented what was said.
All you did was post some quotes out of context and without crediting the orignal source. None, of it countered the consensus. It only addressed policy proposals and conclusions based upon what they said.
or challenges the theory that MOST of the warming is likely due to MAN made greenhouse gases.
well to be honest....the fact that the same thing is happening that happened a hundred thousand years a go and two hundred thousand years ago and three hundred thousand years ago might make the average person conclude that since man made greenhouse gases didn't have anything to do with it the other three times, they might not have anything to do with it this time either.....
well to be honest....the fact that the same thing is happening that happened a hundred thousand years a go and two hundred thousand years ago and three hundred thousand years ago might make the average person conclude that since man made greenhouse gases didn't have anything to do with it the other three times, they might not have anything to do with it this time either.....
Yes, everything you have posted has indeed been BS. Thanks for the warning that more was to follow.
I have indeed offered up proof that the 'consensus' was wrong. You continue to ignore it.
This is where you are confusing yourself. You are talking about a quote... not the consensus opinion that man is causing global warming.
No moron... the quotes were in context and I did source them. Maybe not on this thread, but I did on the original. So once again you are lying out of your ass.
As for the quotes only addressing policy proposals and conclusions, you are yet again either a liar or a moron. You tell us which it is.
Post 62 on this thread moron.... read it again. It addresses the validity of the models, the methodology of the fear mongers, the absence of transparency, the non scientific method of the IPCC, the lack of scientific evidence, the problems with the CO2 theory due to saturation...
Are you really to ignorant to read all of that?
So what you are saying is the 3% really exists? Okay, I am sorry if I SEEMED to disagree. You might be right.
I have addressed the validity of one set of predictions. If your guys have good scientific theories, and I am not saying they do not, then they will be able to make some predictions or be able to better explain past climate change. Where is that? And no I am not going to go do your leg work anymore.
You don't listen. You don't want to listen because you are a liberal and like all liberals you are married to your ideology.
When bested on the available evidence you crawl into a corner and screech "where are the skeptics predictions?" As if a lack if weather predictions is proof your side is right. What is astounding is that you think people who can't accurately pick the weather more than a week out can predict climate 10 years out. You are funny.
I am convicted the Tamponstring here is a troll lefty trying to pass himself off as a libertarian
You have not bested me on anything. You have not offered any evidence against my position or in support of your own.
The request for some predictions are NOT proof of the position I have taken. I made it quite clear that was NOT my intent. My intent is to show that the faux skeptics have NOT shown much effort to further the science that surrounds their hypothesis. As far as I can tell the "skeptics" have not moved past the state of forming a hypothesis. Until they do that the weight of the science will remain against them. That does not mean they are wrong or that someone else is right. It means they have not done much work to support their position.
Your accusations of troll are not going to work. I have been with this community too long. If anything they will grow suspicious that you are my troll. I have no clue what your angle is, but it cannot be the promotion of your stated ideas.