Dixie, has your prediction changed?

Jarod, it wasn't so long ago that you were predicting Romney would win. That's when his campaign was weaker than it is now. What made you change your prediction?
 
Dixie said:
Yes, my prediction has changed several times actually, and could change again before the election. Originally, I predicted Romney would win by double-digits. Many found that prediction to be a little bold at the time, and perhaps it was. Recently, I posted a thread stating that I predicted Obama would win in a very close race. This was based on Romney's passive campaign to that point, and assuming this strategy would continue, it didn't. Following the first debate, I again changed my prediction.. "too close to call!" I'm still pretty much in that camp at this time, because it all depends on turnout. The double-digit prediction is still entirely possible, so is the prediction Obama will win a close race.
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So now he's made THREE predictions...(four if you count his Cain prediction)

1...Obama in a close race.

2...too close to call.

3...Romney by double digits.

This way, after the election he can come back and say "see, I KNEW it would be Obama in a close race...a Romney win was a real possibility, as was a toss up, but I REALLY knew it would be Obama."

He won't have to admit to being wrong again this way.
 
ZappasGuitar said:
So now he's made THREE predictions...(four if you count his Cain prediction)

1...Obama in a close race.

2...too close to call.

3...Romney by double digits.

This way, after the election he can come back and say "see, I KNEW it would be Obama in a close race...a Romney win was a real possibility, as was a toss up, but I REALLY knew it would be Obama."

He won't have to admit to being wrong again this way.
Click to expand...

Well, first of all, I never "predicted" Cain would win the nomination, in fact, I said quite matter of factly, that he probably wouldn't. At one point, I did say that I "liked his chances" ...that's not a prediction, that's an opinion. I have changed my prediction a couple of times on the Romney/Obama race, much like a sports bookie may change his prediction several times leading up to a big game. Now most non-idiots realize, the sports bookie goes by the last "prediction" made, not the previous ones. Once a new "prediction" is made, it nullifies the previous one. The same is the case here, my current prediction supersedes previous predictions. If Romney continues to bludgeon Obama in the debates and poll numbers continue to shift toward Romney, I might again go with my original prediction of Romney by double-digits, but that remains to be seen. As of now, I have it "too close to call" and that is the current "line" from Dixie. It supersedes all other predictions made previously, just like the sports bookie.

Dumbasses.
 
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