Polls in Ohio

I have more faith in America, plus in my few years on this planet, Ive been hearing, mostly conservatives, talk about America's imminent demise since the Carter days.

I have more faith in America, we are a strong nation with a strong melting pot of people. We are changing and will continue to change, that is a law of nature, but we will endure. Its simply in the nature of some people to constantly predict doom, that is why television channels like FoxNews do so well.
 
Romney can't win Ohio.

Can't win Ohio ..

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You've obviously have not been to western Ohio. Cincinnati, the last great bastion of the anal retentive conservative, is the captial of Kentucky and there are more hillbillies in Dayton then there are in West Virginia and the western rural part of the State is absolutely loaded with German Catholic Farmers who are still stuck in the 19th century (know these people and you can understand how a Hitler can happen a hell of a lot better). Yea....Romney can win Ohio. The hard sell for Romney is northern Ohio where the auto industry is a major employer and central Ohio which is the most culturally and economicaly diverse section of the State. How suburban Columbus goes will probably tip the balance.
 
I am getting a chukle out of the Time magazine poll out in the last 24 hours that shows Obama up by 5. Every other poll has Obama up by 1 or so, some have it even. Also, BOTH Dems & Republicans show it as very tight. No surprise from the liberals over at Time, they have oversampled dems before, and always trend towards a dem lead. The Real Clear Politics average has Obama up by a 2.1 average, and that is with the questionable Time poll included. Also, this does not include the blowback over the emails released yesterday showing that Obama admin knew about the 9/11 attack
Let me ask you a simple question. What was the margin of error on the poll?
 
The time poll is bogus. They are trying to mash together two separate polls with their own margins of error to try to come up with a result.
 
You've obviously have not been to western Ohio. Cincinnati, the last great bastion of the anal retentive conservative, is the captial of Kentucky and there are more hillbillies in Dayton then there are in West Virginia and the western rural part of the State is absolutely loaded with German Catholic Farmers who are still stuck in the 19th century (know these people and you can understand how a Hitler can happen a hell of a lot better). Yea....Romney can win Ohio. The hard sell for Romney is northern Ohio where the auto industry is a major employer and central Ohio which is the most culturally and economicaly diverse section of the State. How suburban Columbus goes will probably tip the balance.

Unfortunately, I've been to Ohio more than I care to remember. I'm from Michigan .. and I've spent lots of time in Ohio .. as everyone from Michigan has. My fondest memories are the annual Kool Jazz Festival that no longer exists .. and lots of trips to Ceder Point.

Spent one semester at Baldwin-Wallace College before I moved on to California.

I know it's republican-leaning state .. home of the Klu Klux Klan.

But let Ohio go banktupt is why Romney won't win there.
 
The time poll is bogus. They are trying to mash together two separate polls with their own margins of error to try to come up with a result.

If that helps you sleep. But I would think that the Liberals would want you to belive that Obama was just slightly behind, not ahead... to spark more to go to the polls.

What would be the political purpose of showing your guy comfortably ahead?
 
The thing is, Obama has yet to break 50% in a significant number of Ohio polls. The vast majority of them have Obama at around 47 or 48 percent, with Romney 1 or 2 points behind. This is significant as it indicates a large percentage of voters are undecided. Undecided voters typically vote for the challenger, and I believe they will in this case, too.

That said, I don't think it'll matter if Romney loses Ohio. Things are looking competitive in other states, most notably Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. If Romney can hang onto what he has and add just one of those three states to the lineup, he wins the Presidency.
 
The thing is, Obama has yet to break 50% in a significant number of Ohio polls. The vast majority of them have Obama at around 47 or 48 percent, with Romney 1 or 2 points behind. This is significant as it indicates a large percentage of voters are undecided. Undecided voters typically vote for the challenger, and I believe they will in this case, too.

That said, I don't think it'll matter if Romney loses Ohio. Things are looking competitive in other states, most notably Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. If Romney can hang onto what he has and add just one of those three states to the lineup, he wins the Presidency.

You may be correct, but you are inconsistant with even the more conservative polling data. Romney's momentum has ended, the race has been stagnent for about a week. I suspect something will break between now and election day, but if it does not we are in for a late night November 6th, in my opinion.
 
The thing is, Obama has yet to break 50% in a significant number of Ohio polls. The vast majority of them have Obama at around 47 or 48 percent, with Romney 1 or 2 points behind. This is significant as it indicates a large percentage of voters are undecided. Undecided voters typically vote for the challenger, and I believe they will in this case, too.

That said, I don't think it'll matter if Romney loses Ohio. Things are looking competitive in other states, most notably Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. If Romney can hang onto what he has and add just one of those three states to the lineup, he wins the Presidency.


What does he have already?
 
You may be correct, but you are inconsistant with even the more conservative polling data. Romney's momentum has ended, the race has been stagnent for about a week. I suspect something will break between now and election day, but if it does not we are in for a late night November 6th, in my opinion.

I suspect the race will remain stagnant for about a week. The only thing that could change it would be Libya, or if Obama recruits his Chicago thugs to invent a scandal about Romney. Either one of these could tip the election one way or another.
 
Not much of a bet. You'll just resurface with a different moniker.

I have a better bet.

$250.00 .. $500.00 if you're so sure.

We can send the money to Bill Cosby by Monday.

You being banned means nothing to me .. but your money will.

Deal?

Watch him slink away. I don't get the banning deal anyway, is he that afraid of liberal posts that he wants to ban speech he disagrees with?
 
Leads in Florida, Colorado, Virginia, and North Carolina. The odds are strong that he will carry all of these states.

You are funny, so if Romney leads in Florida or Colorado, the odds are strong that he will cary that state, but if President Obama leads by the same margin in Ohio or Wisonsin.. the odds are still strong that Romney will get those states also?
 
You are funny, so if Romney leads in Florida or Colorado, the odds are strong that he will cary that state, but if President Obama leads by the same margin in Ohio or Wisonsin.. the odds are still strong that Romney will get those states also?

Pay attention Jarod, he said IF Romney holds his leads in those states AND can gain ground to win in another. That means he is well aware Obama currently leads and that Romney needs to gain ground there, while holding ground where he has the lead. It is not rocket science Jarod. It isn't even 1/3. Even you should be able to comprehend this.
 
Unfortunately, I've been to Ohio more than I care to remember. I'm from Michigan .. and I've spent lots of time in Ohio .. as everyone from Michigan has. My fondest memories are the annual Kool Jazz Festival that no longer exists .. and lots of trips to Ceder Point.

Spent one semester at Baldwin-Wallace College before I moved on to California.

I know it's republican-leaning state .. home of the Klu Klux Klan.

But let Ohio go banktupt is why Romney won't win there.
Ohio? Home of the KKK? Methinks you confuse us with Indiana! LOL Oh granted we have our share of knuckle draggers but what State doesn't? Ohio doesn't really lean one way or the other. It depends on what part of the State your in. There's a huge difference between urban industrialized NE Ohio and rural, agricultural southern and western, Ohio.

The point being, even though the odds favor Obama at about 70 to 30% (538 Blog) to win Ohio, the margin of error in the polling shows that Romney clearly has a good chance to win the State. Not as good as Obama's chances but good non the less.
 
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