Ohio: Romney 50%, Obama 48%

I'd say Ohio will come close to mirroring the national popular vote, albeit slightly closer. Probably 51.0% - 47.5%.
 
Didn't I Love the Confederate States Of America say Romney doesn't need Ohio?


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Voltaire said:
In recent days, two polls revealed that Romney and Obama are tied in the state of Ohio.

According to the latest Rasmussen poll released today, Romney is now leading Obama 50 - 48.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...al_election/ohio/election_2012_ohio_president

Things are not looking great for the President.
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You're desperation in palpable Brent.

Survey USA 10/20 - 10/22 Obama +3
Time 10/22 - 10/23 Obama +5
ARG 10/23 - 10/25 Obama +2
CNN/OR 10/23 - 10/25 Obama +4
Purple Strategies 10/23 - 10/25 Obama +2
PPP 10/26 - 10/28 Obama +4
Gravis 10/27 - 10/27 Obama +1


Then you have two polls with known conservative bias.

Cincinnati Enquirer - 10/18 - 10/23 tie
Rasmussen - 10/28 -10/28 +2 Romney

Not only that but Intrade has Obama at 61.8% odd of winning the election and 61.1% odds of winning Ohio
538 has 74.6% odds of Obama winning


But keep grasping at Staws Brent. It's giving us a pretty good chuckle. :)
 
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I am not panicking, mostly because Romney is fairly liberal by nature and if he is elected, while I belive it will be a small step back, its not going to be awfull. In short Romney is not GWB.

I am starting to feel this election slip away for the President. Its just a feeling, call it intuition, but its a growing feeling. The polls should have me with better spirits about the presidents chances, alas they do not.

I hope President Romney does not roll back the provisions of the ACA that keep me insured. Otherwise I dont see it affecting me or my family much.
 
Voltaire said:
I'd say Ohio will come close to mirroring the national popular vote, albeit slightly closer. Probably 51.0% - 47.5%.
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Hamilton, County is where you need to keep your eye open on election night Brent. If Romney wins there it's still possible for Obama to win the State but difficult. If Romney loses Hamilton county then he's sunk. One thing that could give you pause for concern is that in the last 4 years Hamilton counties population has decreasted by about 50,000 people but the African American population has increased by 7,000.
 
this election is just so weird. There are so many traditional "signs" and metrics we use to measure of which no incumbent president has ever won with but then you look at the state polls it's a lot closer. I don't even know what to think anymore I just want next week to come already and get this shit over with. I'm tired of the speculation.
 
A white moon's hot said:
this election is just so weird. There are so many traditional "signs" and metrics we use to measure of which no incumbent president has ever won with but then you look at the state polls it's a lot closer. I don't even know what to think anymore I just want next week to come already and get this shit over with. I'm tired of the speculation.
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Part of the problem with those metrics that point to Obama losing is that the majority of the Population still blame Republicans and the Bush administration for those lousy metrics and not President Obama who is viewed as having inherited them.

Romney's not a bad guy and if he were to win the right wingers will make his life a living hell. I'm extremely pleased that he has run to the center and he's a notably abandoned the southern Strategy. Even if Romney were to lose this election the Republican party will owe him a large measure of gratitude for killing the southern Strategy and bringing the Republican party closer to the center and away from the extreme right.

Two problems with that though. There are a large number of Americans who's political views are still to the extreme right and this country needs another supply sider plutocrat at the national helm like we need a bullet through our collective heads.

Romney's only got it half right. For the Republican to gain viability in the NE, Great Lakes region and the Pacific coast they need to abandon both the Southern Strategy and Supply Side economics. There's just not enough angry dumb white guys to go around to make those viable strategies anymore.
 
the only problem with what you said here is that robmoney would have gladly done the southern strategy IF it could have won him the election
 
Mott the Hoople said:
Part of the problem with those metrics that point to Obama losing is that the majority of the Population still blame Republicans and the Bush administration for those lousy metrics and not President Obama who is viewed as having inherited them.

Romney's not a bad guy and if he were to win the right wingers will make his life a living hell. I'm extremely pleased that he has run to the center and he's a notably abandoned the southern Strategy. Even if Romney were to lose this election the Republican party will owe him a large measure of gratitude for killing the southern Strategy and bringing the Republican party closer to the center and away from the extreme right.

Two problems with that though. There are a large number of Americans who's political views are still to the extreme right and this country needs another supply sider plutocrat at the national helm like we need a bullet through our collective heads.

Romney's only got it half right. For the Republican to gain viability in the NE, Great Lakes region and the Pacific coast they need to abandon both the Southern Strategy and Supply Side economics. There's just not enough angry dumb white guys to go around to make those viable strategies anymore.
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LMAO... so we should continue trying the failed warped Keynesian economic theory of the Obama clan?

Both economic theories are valid if implemented properly. The reason they both fail is because the idiots in DC don't follow through on either of them.
 
Adding to what Mott said, even if Romney were to win this election, in some ways, what he had to do to get it will drag the Republicans forward to more liberal terratory, something that seems to happen every 10 to 15 years. To stay viable they have to conceede some ground. We are all moving left, its just that the Republicans are dragging us while the Democrats are pulling us.
 
This is hilarious. It seems the demalquedacrats on the board are going through the the five stages of grief just out of order

First we had denial that Romney could win. "Obama won the last two debates" and "Yeah, Romney may be leading in the national polls but it is all about the states". Now they are bargaining saying "Well, it looks like Romney will have to govern as a moderate" and "the right wingers are done".

Next will be acceptance and depression. Then they will get angry calling everyone in America racists
 
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