Projections for Tuesday Night
- Thread starter Rationalist
- Start date
If Romney wins, A real possability but not a probability, I will lay off the mocking of your prediction abilities untill you prove that you have gone back to your wild speculation out of bravado days.
I remember all the way back to when you predicted Iraq would be a resounding success.
I dont see Virginia happening, but hopefully I am wrong. If the President wins Virginia... It will be an early night, I might even make my bed time.
Mott the Hoople
Sweet Jane
We should have a JPP betting pool
My guess is;
Obama - 294 ev
Romney - 244 ev
My guess is;
Obama - 294 ev
Romney - 244 ev
WE dont need a JPP pool, just go to intrade to place your bets. The guys on here so sure Romney will win should put all of there savings on it. Its currently 33.5% odds.
Dixie - In Memoriam
New member
What will be really funny is, after the elections are over, all these broke liberals who bet with their hearts and not their minds, moaning and complaining they were duped by the 1%ers into taking a sucker's bet, and something needs to be done about it, because it's just not fair they lost all their life savings! I'm going to be LMAO.
Cancel 2016.2
The Almighty
Very similar to mine, though I think IA and NH go the other way. Still an Obama win... just a bit closer.
VOL, dont backdown from the PA predictions, I am in agreement with you regarding PA. Its not going to be a cakewalk, its going to be very close, I think 1-2% if that. The Romney ads are running there. Obama totally buried the coal industry in PA. Obama will get the votes in Phiily & Pittsburgh, but the rest of the state is Romney's for the taking. I am hoping personally that it rains on Tuesday and keeps the lazy fair-weathered liberals away from the voting booths, that would swing it for Romney I think.
Cancel 2016.11
Darla
I had no idea until today that so many Republicans believed Romney was going to win PA. See there's an alternate dimension here that I am not in touch with. YOu guys should send more inter-galatic telegrams so I can know what's going on in the woo-woo dimension.
I got it now. Okay, carry on.
I got it now. Okay, carry on.
Cancel 2016.2
The Almighty
It boggles the mind that some of you think Romney has a chance in PA... while it may be closer than usual, I just don't see a big enough surge to carry PA for him.
OH and WI are certainly in play for Romney and could go either way. As could NC and FL. Though if you were going to call the states right now it would be the opposite of what you have. NC is almost a lock for Romney at this point, FL is the next closest. OH and WI will depend on turnout... If Dem early voting in Ohio is indeed down as is being reported, that is a bad sign for Obama overall. VA is at this point more likely for Romney than either OH or WI.
Cancel 2016.2
The Almighty
Definitely possible. I think VA goes the other way right now, otherwise you have the current leader in each state.
I actually like Dixie's numbers-
Romney 50.2%
Obama 47.8%
Other 2%
Electorates- Romney 271
Obama 267
or, if it actually runs real strong for Romney- 291 to 247
No matter what, I think Romney wins the popular vote, which gets me angered up about the outdated Electoral college, but thats a whole other issue
Romney 50.2%
Obama 47.8%
Other 2%
Electorates- Romney 271
Obama 267
or, if it actually runs real strong for Romney- 291 to 247
No matter what, I think Romney wins the popular vote, which gets me angered up about the outdated Electoral college, but thats a whole other issue
Cancel 2016.11
Darla
Oh well. You should have thought ahead and caused a rukus in 2000...but I betcha you were grinning then.
I am praying Obama wins the EC and loses the popular vote. What goes around comes around and there is nothing like watching a bunch of hypocrites gettin all hopped up.
Dixie - In Memoriam
New member
Well I think the reason the polls indicate a lead for Obama in PA is because they are weighted more toward Pittsburgh and Philly, where liberals rule the day, and vote in every poll available. I don't think that translates to actual votes on election day, and I don't think Obama will ultimately win the state. I admit, it will be close, and I might be totally wrong, I just get the feeling the polls are probably more off in PA than anywhere, just because of the demographics. The same can be said for WI and MI. Keep in mind, I said Obama MIGHT pull off an upset in NC and FL, it would be an upset in my opinion, I fully expect Romney to carry both. I am giving Obama CO, but again, I could be totally wrong, did you see the size of the crowd at Red Rock? Romney has HUGE support there, and the polls might be completely off target with regards to who is leading on any given day.
Make NO mistake, the Tea Party will be a big factor in this election, they are primed and motivated, and THIS is really their first national presidential election, as a well-organized political group, when you think about it. That means MILLIONS of voters who did not vote last time, who have not participated in the polls or were not counted because they don't normally vote. They are going to have a tremendous and somewhat shocking impact on election day, mark my words. Contrast that with the disillusionment we see from the liberal left over Obama, people like Bill Mahr jumping ship, along with other die-hard liberals who supported Obama in 2008... it's nowhere near the same level of energy and excitement as it was in 2008, when he only defeated McCain by a few points. I could be wrong, but I see a huge shift in enthusiasm here, and one that no one is really wanting to acknowledge. They've written the Tea Party off, and think they've evaporated back into the woodwork, but on election day, you are going to see just how strong they still are... this is their moment to shine, and they are ready.
the only hypocrite would be you, who all of a sudden wanted to upend the nations system of electing presidents as soon as it went against you. Republicans don't do that. That's why we are conservatives, we like conssseerrrrving shit. I guarantee you most conservatives on JPP will continue to support the EC either way. Probably most talking head conservatives will say the same thing.
because they aren't wrong and you have nothing to say?
Take the recent NYT poll. It over sampled democrats (based on recent election results) by almost 7 pts in some cases. It has 8% more democrats in the ohio poll even though only 2% more democrats showed up for obama in 2008 in a record outlier turn out year for dems. is dem turnout really going to be 6% higher in ohio than it was in 2008? seriously doubt it.
Cancel 2016.11
Darla
That's interesting Dixie. I had a man tell me just last week, in a very confident manner, that there are over 150 thousand Jews in PA and what nobody realized was that the Jews were turning against Obama and not being polled and that's how Romney was going to win PA. I thought he was drunk. Me and my friend Darren looked at each other and tried not to laugh, we were drinking ourselves, but we laughed ourselves silly afterwards.
I had no idea that guy was actually representative of the average Republican. That's great.
I had no idea that guy was actually representative of the average Republican. That's great.
Cancel 2016.11
Darla
Um, I don't support the EC either way, and never have, so I fail to see how that makes me a hypocrite.
I will LMAO over the bush-smirkers who scream bloody murder when the shoe is on the other foot though. You betcha!