Cancel 2020.1
Canceled
if trump wins it will be very fun to watch the media explain away all their polls and make a case for why they should be trusted again
Here is the explanation: "Comey."
28% Of Fla. Republicans Have Early Voted For Clinton
- Thread starter Althea
- Start date
Here is the explanation: "Comey."
Althea
Althea told me...
Yes....they do.
Althea
Althea told me...
Teflon Don
I'm back baby
I will judge the accuracy of this based on Clinton actions. If this true and I am skeptical then this campaign is over. It would mean Trump is in trouble across the board. There had been nothing in polling up to now that would indicate this. If Clinton believes this, then Florida is over and she can redeploy resources. If she doesn't then I doubt the results.
Remember 2004 when the exit polls had Kerry winning and Shrum famously said to Kerry "let me be the first to say Mr President"?
Althea
Althea told me...
Even if his claim is valid....at the very least it shows that citing numbers of who voted by party affiliation doesn't give an accurate picture of what's going on.
I saw one tweet from a Right Wing hack who claimed it isn't true....with no data to back that up.
Other tweets referenced something that I didn't take into account:
A large Jewish contingent of Republicans who will not vote for Trump because of his Nazi backers.
Althea
Althea told me...
Agree on all counts, but if you want to research the company, you can.
This isn't simple polling, or even exit polling. They reference 'propietary voter file' that gives them registration info. This info allows them to make calls to people who voted.
As I've already said...you have to believe that these people told the truth.
evince
Truthmatters
and your fucks cheated big time in ohio traitor to democracy
evince
Truthmatters
and your fucks cheated big time in ohio traitor to democracy
Trump isn't a republican you fucking fruit.
evince
Truthmatters
Have you lol? Fuc king retard
evince
Truthmatters
The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO /ˈneɪtoʊ/; French: Organisation du Traité de l'Atlantique Nord; OTAN), also called the North Atlantic Alliance, is an intergovernmental military alliance based on the North Atlantic Treaty which was signed on 4*April 1949. The organization constitutes a system of collective defence whereby its member states agree to mutual defence in response to an attack by any external party. NATO's headquarters are located in Haren, Brussels, Belgium, where the Supreme Allied Commander also resides. Belgium is one of the 28 member states across North America and Europe, the newest of which, Albania and Croatia, joined in April 2009. An additional 22*countries participate in NATO's Partnership for Peace program, with 15*other countries involved in institutionalized dialogue programmes. The combined military spending of all NATO members constitutes over 70% of the global total.[3] Members' defence spending is supposed to amount to 2% of GDP.[4]
NATO was little more than a political association until the Korean War galvanized the organization's member states, and an integrated military structure was built up under the direction of two US supreme commanders. The course of the Cold War led to a rivalry with nations of the Warsaw Pact, which formed in 1955. Doubts over the strength of the relationship between the European states and the United States ebbed and flowed, along with doubts over the credibility of the NATO defence against a prospective Soviet invasion—doubts that led to the development of the independent French nuclear deterrent and the withdrawal of France from NATO's military structure in 1966 for 30 years. After the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, the organization was drawn into the breakup of Yugoslavia, and conducted its first military interventions in Bosnia from 1992 to 1995 and later Yugoslavia in 1999. Politically, the organization sought better relations with former Warsaw Pact countries, several of which joined the alliance in 1999 and 2004.
Article*5 of the North Atlantic treaty, requiring member states to come to the aid of any member state subject to an armed attack, was invoked for the first and only time after the September 11 attacks,[5] after which troops were deployed to Afghanistan under the NATO-led ISAF. The organization has operated a range of additional roles since then, including sending trainers to Iraq, assisting in counter-piracy operations[6] and in 2011 enforcing a no-fly zone over Libya in accordance with U.N. Security Council Resolution 1973. The less potent Article 4, which merely invokes consultation among NATO members, has been invoked five times: by Turkey in 2003 over the Iraq War; twice in 2012 by Turkey over the Syrian Civil War, after the downing of an unarmed Turkish F-4 reconnaissance jet, and after a mortar was fired at Turkey from Syria;[7] in 2014 by Poland, following the Russian intervention in Crimea;[8] and again by Turkey in 2015 after threats by the Islamic State to its territorial integrity.[9]
NATO was little more than a political association until the Korean War galvanized the organization's member states, and an integrated military structure was built up under the direction of two US supreme commanders. The course of the Cold War led to a rivalry with nations of the Warsaw Pact, which formed in 1955. Doubts over the strength of the relationship between the European states and the United States ebbed and flowed, along with doubts over the credibility of the NATO defence against a prospective Soviet invasion—doubts that led to the development of the independent French nuclear deterrent and the withdrawal of France from NATO's military structure in 1966 for 30 years. After the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, the organization was drawn into the breakup of Yugoslavia, and conducted its first military interventions in Bosnia from 1992 to 1995 and later Yugoslavia in 1999. Politically, the organization sought better relations with former Warsaw Pact countries, several of which joined the alliance in 1999 and 2004.
Article*5 of the North Atlantic treaty, requiring member states to come to the aid of any member state subject to an armed attack, was invoked for the first and only time after the September 11 attacks,[5] after which troops were deployed to Afghanistan under the NATO-led ISAF. The organization has operated a range of additional roles since then, including sending trainers to Iraq, assisting in counter-piracy operations[6] and in 2011 enforcing a no-fly zone over Libya in accordance with U.N. Security Council Resolution 1973. The less potent Article 4, which merely invokes consultation among NATO members, has been invoked five times: by Turkey in 2003 over the Iraq War; twice in 2012 by Turkey over the Syrian Civil War, after the downing of an unarmed Turkish F-4 reconnaissance jet, and after a mortar was fired at Turkey from Syria;[7] in 2014 by Poland, following the Russian intervention in Crimea;[8] and again by Turkey in 2015 after threats by the Islamic State to its territorial integrity.[9]
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Thank you Capt. Obvious.
Althea
Althea told me...
“In addition to having the most accurate and up to date voter file data in the United States, our polling professionals at TargetSmart conduct hundreds of surveys each year. We’re incredibly excited to partner with the College of William & Mary to bring academic rigor and perspective to our research. We will be releasing this survey data to the public, backed up by voter file data in an unprecedented way,” said TargetSmart CEO and campaign veteran Tom Bonier.
The effort brings together industry leading voter data and experienced survey researchers with leading academics in the fields of American politics, public opinion, survey research, and polling to produce research and analysis on some of the most competitive elections this cycle.
“By utilizing enhanced voter file data and actual levels of past voter turnout, we will be able to both predict which respondents are most likely to vote, and to simulate results at differing levels of turnout far more accurately than typical web or telephone surveys,” said Ron Rapoport, John Marshall Professor of Government at William & Mary. “It is our belief that the synergy created by this collaboration will allow us to better understand this election in crucial swing states.”
http://targetsmart.com/news-item/targetsmartpartnershipwm/
Make your own judgements
The effort brings together industry leading voter data and experienced survey researchers with leading academics in the fields of American politics, public opinion, survey research, and polling to produce research and analysis on some of the most competitive elections this cycle.
“By utilizing enhanced voter file data and actual levels of past voter turnout, we will be able to both predict which respondents are most likely to vote, and to simulate results at differing levels of turnout far more accurately than typical web or telephone surveys,” said Ron Rapoport, John Marshall Professor of Government at William & Mary. “It is our belief that the synergy created by this collaboration will allow us to better understand this election in crucial swing states.”
http://targetsmart.com/news-item/targetsmartpartnershipwm/
Make your own judgements
Teflon Don
I'm back baby
You are missing my larger point. For a second put aside your desire to want this to be true and look at it logically.
Has anything we have seen in Florida state polling indicated that this was a remote possibility? Again, I am not saying that this is bogus or correct, just skeptical.
If this data is in fact correct, then we have to believe that there was this hidden Republican vote supporting Hillary not captured in the polling? If that is true, then we should eliminate all polling because it would be worthless. Do you really believe that all the polling companies out there got this that wrong? That is a HUGE miss wouldn't you agree?
Personally, I am against early voting for a whole host of reasons, but if we are going to do it, this kind of thing should not be allowed as I see it as a way to depress the vote.
Teflon Don
I'm back baby
The left says there is no instances of widespread voter fraud. Are they lying?