You're prediction here is based on the swinging pendulum theory and nothing else.
Good trends overall, quite honestly. You can make a lame joke about "moral victories," but every special election - in deep red districts - has seen wins that Republicans used to coast to by big double-digits reduced to single digits. On average, Democrats have gained 8% in those elections.
Clearly, not enough to win in deep red districts. But come '18, a lot of the contested seats will be in more purple areas.
It's not really theory. It's the history of our country.
Add in that Trump is an historically unpopular President, and I'm not really that worried about the next few elections. The GOP is maxxed out - if you think you're going to keep gaining seats, that's pretty delusional.
You are such a political novice. I can't believe you are still spouting the "these are seats Republicans won by double digits". It is an ignorant position lacking any nuance or substance.
The reason Price's election isn't relevant is that you are trying to compare an election with a long term incumbent with that of an open seat. You are comparing apples and oranges. Had Tom Price for some reason been up for election he probably would have won by another 30%. Essentially when there are open seats that is when any district has its best chance of flipping.
As I said before the election, anyone trying to extrapolate these results to 2018 is a fool. For one, what we need to know is those politicians who are retiring.
It is sad that you are so politically ignorant
It's not really theory. It's the history of our country.
Hang your hat on that
Add in that Trump is an historically unpopular President, and I'm not really that worried about the next few elections. The GOP is maxxed out - if you think you're going to keep gaining seats, that's pretty delusional.
Trump was an historically unpopular candidate and yet he won. Remember his approval numbers pre-election? Didn't stop him from winning, but you thought it would
I'd also add that it's based on Dems consistently overperforming historical trends in the districts where there have been special elections so far.
They aren't over performing. You can compare open seat elections to elections with long term incumbents. You are politically naive.
I think that was Ossoff's campaign slogan.
Of course the pendulum swings. It is still swinging to the right and will continue to do so for years to come. The Dem's time in power is over for now.
You keep clinging to your conventional wisdom. It worked so well for you in November sugar tits
Why do you continually focus only on Price? Look at the margins in that district the past 3-4 decades.
Look, you can believe whatever you want about '18. Your posts are always 100% wishful thinking, so it doesn't matter to me.
Just remembering a country that once was:
“Give me your tired, your poor,
Your huddled masses yearning to breathe free,
The wretched refuse of your teeming shore.
Send these, the homeless, tempest-tossed, to me:
I lift my lamp beside the golden door.”
Nah. The bolded is delusional - pure wishful thinking.
I think that was Ossoff's campaign slogan.
Of course the pendulum swings. It is still swinging to the right and will continue to do so for years to come. The Dem's time in power is over for now.
You lose again. You must be accustomed to it by now.
https://apnews.com/9c78ee01f1ab45ffba852974fb229487
Now the race is on to prevent or prosecute non-profit lefty groups who will invent fake families here already who supposedly are "sponsoring" them. Let the lawsuits begin.
I used to have something about the pendulum swinging in my sig.
Had it there for months. The damn thing doesn't swing near fast enough when it's going in the wrong direction lol.
And this is the first year of the Trump era.
First year of the Trump era - but it's been swinging the GOP's way since 2010, mainly as a response to Obamacare.
Trump won't help the pendulum to keep swinging right. I know you believe he will, but he is historically unpopular. Things start going back left now.
The bold is your problem, that you believe that. Just because liberals hate Trump so much means squat relative to the population as a whole. Each lib only gets one vote, no matter how loud they scream and cry.It's not really theory. It's the history of our country.
Add in that Trump is an historically unpopular President, and I'm not really that worried about the next few elections. The GOP is maxxed out - if you think you're going to keep gaining seats, that's pretty delusional.
I'd also add that it's based on Dems consistently overperforming historical trends in the districts where there have been special elections so far.
The bold is your problem, that you believe that. Just because liberals hate Trump so much means squat relative to the population as a whole. Each lib only gets one vote, no matter how loud they scream and cry.
His approval ratings are terrible. You can make a snarky comment about polls, but the nationals polls were pretty close in '16, and you guys always post the approval polls when there is an anomaly & it looks like they're getting better.
They're not right now. He is down in the 30's. Trump is an historically unpopular President - it isn't just libs. There are a LOT of conservatives who have disdain for this guy.
any idea on the voting?