Trump in a landslide? This historically accurate model predicts exactly that

Centerleftfl said:
If, if, if, if, if. ANYTHING is statistically possible. Won't happen. TRUMP WAS IN THE BOTTOM 20% of electoral wins in all 58 elections. And got 3,000,000 less votes. He's going to sweep the board next time?

Unless maybe he can get RUSSIA to fix the electoral college.
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what are you rambling about now? Bottom 20%? Link to your data please.
 
Trump won several states by very narrow margins. Michigan was especially close. So were the other midesest states. Those are the facts. Trump was helped by the Russians. The vote was so close, that it is obvious that Putin selected our president. Is Putin running a huge operation to keep Trump ion office again?
 
Gonzomin said:
Trump inherited a vibrant and growing economy. He took credit for that from election day on. He is eroding it and has done damage due to his ignorance (like tariffs). I am sure the rightys will blame anyone but Daffy when it continues to crumble.
Trump also said the debt was easy to deal with and he would wipe it out. How's that working? It is like everything else, Trump does not have a clue.
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There's another insult from you. According to your own criteria, that makes you 'childish'.
 
Gonzomin said:
Trump won several states by very narrow margins. Michigan was especially close. So were the other midesest states. Those are the facts. Trump was helped by the Russians. The vote was so close, that it is obvious that Putin selected our president. Is Putin running a huge operation to keep Trump ion office again?
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YALRMA (Yet Another Lame Russian Meddling Accusation)
 
archives said:
Two things, Moody's, understandably, weighs economics heavily, but Americans today don't necessarily see today's economy happening because of Trump as they do in spite of Trump, no sitting President with a healthy economy had favorability numbers as low as Trump has now.
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The model is not necessarily based on whether Americans see the economy happening because of the president. It is based on those factors accurately predicting the election results.

Is there any evidence showing voters are less likely to credit Trump for the economy than for any other president?

"From 1952 to 1976, whenever the American League won the World Series, the President to win in that year's election was a Republican. If the National League won, then the election went to the Democrat."

Obviously, there is no connection between baseball and election results, but that was the most successful predictor during that time period.
 
Flash said:
It is not a technicality but it is an anomaly when the popular vote winner does not also win the electoral vote.
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But it happens. The founding fathers were so forward thinking in that they didn't want the most populast states deciding all presidential elections.
 
archives said:
Two things, Moody's, understandably, weighs economics heavily, but Americans today don't necessarily see today's economy happening because of Trump as they do in spite of Trump, no sitting President with a healthy economy had favorability numbers as low as Trump has now.
Click to expand...

The model is not necessarily based on whether Americans see the economy happening because of the president. It is based on those factors accurately predicting the election results.

Is there any evidence showing voters are less likely to credit Trump for the economy than for any other president?

"From 1952 to 1976, whenever the American League won the World Series, the President to win in that year's election was a Republican. If the National League won, then the election went to the Democrat."

Obviously, there is no connection between baseball and election results, but that was the most successful predictor during that time period.
 
Eagle-Eye said:
But it happens. The founding fathers were so forward thinking in that they didn't want the most populast states deciding all presidential elections.
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The plan by the Founding Fathers did not involve any popular votes. And, the Constitution still makes no (specific) provision for popular votes.
 
WELL! You are right about everything......except one thing!

DONALD TRUMP IS THE EXCEPTION!

DOnald Trump could fuck up a wet dream!

Even the Moody Model!

Donald Trump is the abomination of anything pure and right!
 
Adolf_Twitler said:
WELL! You are right about everything......except one thing!

DONALD TRUMP IS THE EXCEPTION!

DOnald Trump could fuck up a wet dream!

Even the Moody Model!

Donald Trump is the abomination of anything pure and right!
Click to expand...




crying_baby.jpg
 
President Trump would SOUNDLY defeat ANY of the Dim Dems' front runners. I don't think any of their pathetic candidates would have a chance of winning more than 10-12 states. They would be more soundly defeated than Killery was in 2016. I believe the Dim Dems know this and that's why they're so feverishly pushing their impeachment nonsense.
 
Grokmaster said:
crying_baby.jpg
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Yep! That's YOU!! Crying like a little baby because Donald Trump got himself impeached!

I didn't impeach your asshole president!

If you're mad, take your frustrations out on Donald Trump- as no one is to blame for his stupidity but himself!

In fact, you should thank me, because I was the one who tried tio warn you that Donald Trump was a loser, with mental problems, and not fit to be the president.

Now go ahead little crybaby- CRY ME A RIVER!

tenor.gif
 
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